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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons
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9 Years Ago - Feb 9th, 2017 Blizzard Amazing storm. Extremely high confidence forecast. One of the few storms i can remember where there was extremely good run-run consistency on models and every model was on board for days. Had thundersnow with this event with 2-4"/hr rates during the day. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-9-2017
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im curious what the eps/AIeps will look like
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better than 00Z, models are all over the place with this one right now. A south strung out whiff appears more likely on the table imo than anything. AI has been consistently on the south train for a while, at this range we're gonna see a lot of shifting on ops for the next few days.
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thanks, just in time
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id change it to 0.8, ill add it in
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yea theres nothing over an inch so you're gonna stick out but ill include it of course if you think its right
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
The 4 Seasons replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
thrilling stuff -
sorry that was a typo, the storm that just happened Feb 6-7 @CPcantmeasuresnow
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i think he meant for the storm lol. Westerly got 11.6" and there was a Voluntown 4SW report of 10.8 but thats the only report i saw over 10 in CT. How much did you get for the Jan 6-7th event? and @IrishRob17 what was your total for Jan 6-7th I have like hardly any reports for Orange County, besides a few
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i think he meant for the storm lol. Westerly got 11.6" and there was a Voluntown 4SW report of 10.8 but thats the only report i saw over 10 in CT.
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They did, 14.2 in Kingston, RI cocorahs. With many reports 11-12"
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who had 13 in SECT? must have been tossed
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Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
The 4 Seasons replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
@CoastalWx i see 2N Weymouth at 6" on the PNS is that you? i know you said 5.5, did it change or is that someone else? -
Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
The 4 Seasons replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Looks like BOX did toss that 16.2 cocorahs report for some reason. They issued a final PNS for this and didn't include it. -
80s dews and all things summer for Morch
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Yeah that's what im sayin'. After about the first week-10 days of April our snow chances down here virtually drop to zero. Barring some weird freak event. As long as its not like 2020 and snowing May again, im good with the last week of March/first week of April. I was just looking at Feb 2018 climo and i forgot that after that late February 4-8" paste storm we nearly hit 80 a few days later. Totally forgot about that insane torch in Feb. Then March 18 happened. We had little snowpack that season... it would snow-melt-rain-snow repeat. Late Season SNE Late Season CT
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
The 4 Seasons replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
This looks like dong down here, other than the Canadian -
I only have 25 years and it's on the site. I still gotta go back and not only fix and update all the seasonal maps but do ones for 94-99. Season total maps are pretty much non-existent pre 2008 so i have nothing to base it on except the COOP data and climate sites. They are rough and just meant to give a general idea of the season. But i did do an average for 25 years when the archive only went back to 2000. There's also NWS maps for each climo 30-year period. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/average-seasonal-snowfall
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Yeah i just recently read through NWS' 14 page COOP snow measurement guidelines PDF. On the surface you wouldn't think that it's that complicated, but theres so many different variables and things to consider. I guarantee the average person who sends a public report thinks, "how can that be? you just stick a ruler in the ground after it snows and thats it" We have all these different programs with different standards with CoCoRaHs, CO-OP, Skywarn..etc. It would be nice if there was just one umbrella for everything I ran across this other program when looking at old PNS from the late 90s and early 00s that i can't figure out what it is. Something called SWIN observers? I tried searching but couldn't find anything. I was thinking maybe it was an acronym for SkyWarn Independent Network or something like that? Or it's something completely different that's obsolete.
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enjoy Lava Lake, i know that thing has burned you countless times over but not this season
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weenievista at it again. wxbell is like 2-5 mean for that period. But still a huge improvement from 00Z so thats all that matters
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prob be 33 and R/S everyday if you smooth it out
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this place gives me whiplash
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Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
The 4 Seasons replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Fixed ranges. So the 13" reports will pop a 12-18" color range even without including the 16.2. -
Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
The 4 Seasons replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Of course he did. There's also plenty of 3-4" reports in Cumberland
