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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    The SPC has put out a day-3 slight risk for the Red River area. The forecast soundings have around 75 kt of 0-6km shear, if any (high-based) storms develop there. The College of Dupage GEFS page shows higher supercell indices on Wednesday 5/13 and Thursday 5/14, as well as several days beyond that. I don't know how many people usually look at the GEFS for this, but it might be interesting.
  2. Chinook
    SPC's web page is breaking all over the place.
  3. Chinook
    Radar base velocity shows up to 75 knots aloft heading for Nashville
  4. Chinook
    There have been about 9 recent severe wind reports with this line of storms, nearing the Mississippi River.
  5. Chinook
    I downloaded Nexrad level-2 data to make this 3-d image of the Moore tornado, 5/20/2013
  6. Chinook
    I guess this is the TDS for the confirmed tornado near Rome, TN. it's possible the tornado went over I-40
  7. Chinook
    Yesterday was the 9-year anniversary of some terrible tornadoes in NC, including this one that went through the city of Raleigh. I downloaded some data from NOAA to make this map. I hope this never happens again. The year of 2011 just had a way of making tornadoes go through cities.
  8. Chinook
    Not sure if anybody replied Here's what I use
  9. Chinook
    Models are generally showing a deeper warm sector developing near a low pressure/warm front on Easter Sunday, 12z. I wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of outlook for central/east Texas on Saturday. As for Sunday, I would expect possibly an enhanced outlook for Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.
  10. Chinook
    I believe we should start a new general severe weather thread, since it's a new decade.
  11. Chinook
    A confirmed tornado was at Troy Alabama earlier, at 15:36z (Troy Airport)
  12. Chinook
    With this severe weather threat moving east, Valdosta/Moody AFB radar is not working at this time.
  13. Chinook
    It looks like a tornado tracked from Baker Hill, AL (south of Eufaula,) to Springvale GA.
  14. Chinook
    Anybody know if there has been any confirmed damage at Triana to Owens Cross Roads AL?
  15. Chinook
    As for now, this is a radar-confirmed tornado warning at Sewanee.
  16. Chinook
    It looks like this storm north of Huntsville is trying to develop a stronger rotation
  17. Chinook
    The southern supercell near Vina, AL is ramping up with stronger rotation and a tornado warning.
  18. Chinook
    Thunderstorms near Tupelo MS seem to be increasing in intensity quickly.
  19. Chinook
    It seems quite likely that scattered severe storms will move across Tennessee and Kentucky, as well as adjacent areas of Mississippi and Alabama. According to most CAMs, the storms may be quite late in the day, with some stronger storms at 00z (8:00PM eastern/7:00PM central). With strong wind fields aloft, these storms will have fast movement, and I would expect a wind/tornado threat
  20. Chinook
    I am wondering if we should start a new medium-range tornado/severe weather thread, for general purposes. At the current time, there are no days with a slight risk or 15% risk on the extended SPC outlooks. This could change soon, but I'm not sure.
  21. Chinook
    Low-level rotation track for the tornadic supercell at Nashville
  22. Chinook
    I am not sure if you saw my recent post about the recent Iceland low pressure. There have been several strong low pressures have been in the Iceland region this winter. Seemingly, no matter what happens, Europe continues to get warmer air masses. I have heard that January 2020 was tied for the warmest January on record. (Source: Brian Brettscheider/ Climatologist49 on twitter.) I have barely seen any TropicalTidbits maps where the surface temperature was below normal in eastern Europe.
  23. Chinook
    Euro/GFS/Canadian all have a closed 500mb low in AZ/NM on December 28th, so it's definitely something to watch for the southern Rockies and areas of the plains into Kansas.
  24. Chinook
    Lorain to Cleveland is 34-36 degrees right now, but you can already see the evidence of the LES north of Lorain on the radar, in the midst of the synoptic snow.
  25. Chinook
    On Monday night (Tuesday 00z) the Euro and Canadian show a synoptic snow/ LES combo for Cleveland, and synoptic snow for other parts of Ohio. Yesterday's GFS run(s) had this also. It might be worth checking some model runs on this. Even if the synoptic snowfall doesn't materialize, the GFS says 850 temps will be down to -17C over Lake Erie. So this is massively cold considering October was some +3F above normal.
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