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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    60-day percent of normal precipitation and drought monitor for possible landfall areas, show a minor drought near Corpus Christi, but above normal precipitation around Houston.
  2. Chinook
    Typhoon Hato intensified from 45 kt to 90 kt in a relatively short time (JTWC analysis) . Here is the typhoon on Aug 22 at 22:30z (which was morning for this part of the world). Hong Kong is just north of the eyewall. Macau is north of the eyewall. On the HWRF map you can see Hong Kong getting the tip of the 64 kt winds.
  3. Chinook
    Phil Klotzbach tweeted this: After 14.25 days as a typhoon, #Noru has finally weakened to a tropical storm. It is 2nd longest-lived NW Pac typhoon on record (since 1950)
  4. Chinook
    Typhoon Noru has been a named storm since 7/21/12z. It has 31 ACE units, the most in the year thus far, beating out Hurricane Fernanda. It has the highest intensity (Cat. 5, briefly 140 kt) and highest ACE of any storm in the northern Hemisphere this year. I believe it has been the strongest storm in the world since Super Typhoon Haima (2016) of 145 kt intensity.
  5. Chinook
    On June 24th, Dallas/Ft Worth Airport had 3.84" of rain, which breaks a daily record. 7.93" of rain this month.
  6. Chinook
    Fort Worth Airport had 2.91" since Friday morning. That's quite a bit of rain.
  7. Chinook
    107-110 in Texas. heat indices over 100 covered an area from central KS down to Mexico.
  8. Chinook
    Dallas Executive Airport (KRBD) had 1.10" of rain today and has already had 5.30" of rain this month, before today.
  9. Chinook
    1 storm report in Oklahoma. What a tragedy
  10. Chinook
    This is about 1-2 months worth of precipitation
  11. Chinook
    Looking back 18 years in the past, to a deadly, historic storm of May 3, 1999. Loop of this radar is at US Tornadoes twitter feed.
  12. Chinook
    Tornadoes seem to hate Oklahoma (again) this season. Back in 2014, a grand total of 13 tornadoes it Oklahoma through the whole calendar year, i.e. much below normal for that state. tornadoes haven't come much north of I-70 in April
  13. Chinook
    The 00z has 42 degrees in Toledo with over 1000 J/kg of MUCAPE. That could be a pretty nasty situation with cold temps, thunder, rain, small hail.
  14. Chinook
    The NAM has 65-66 degree dew points into SE Oklahoma Monday. My guess is that the SPC will issue a slight risk on Monday. Until a couple of days ago, the GFS runs had basically no CAPE for Monday. But now I think a localized hail/wind threat is possible.
  15. Chinook
    SPC has an outlook (15%) for Day-4 Arkansas, Day-5, AL/MS/TN. The GFS has over 1000 J/kg of CAPE at 12z on Wednesday, in Arkansas. Synoptic details will probably change a lot, but that's a lot of CAPE for 12z in the winter.
  16. Chinook
    Thrall, TX
  17. Chinook
    I have not heard of any damage report, but here is the warning - THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... * UNTIL 1115 PM CST * AT 1038 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SAN ANTONIO INT AP, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
  18. Chinook
    I figured this might be relevant for anybody interested in Houston's heavy rain.
  19. Chinook
    There is a reference to CASA radar in this tornado warning. This could be a dangerous situation if there is a tornado on the ground near the metro area. (not sure if a tornado is on the ground)
  20. Chinook
    tornado reported at Laguna Park
  21. Chinook
    The SPC has put out a slight risk for severe weather in mid-Texas tomorrow. Some NAM forecast soundings west of San Saba at 00z Monday (36 hrs) show 1000 J/kg of CAPE, 59 kt effective shear, 410 m2/s2 effective SRH. Convection-allowing models all seem to have a squall line around San Angelo.
  22. Chinook
    It looks like the CAPE will be higher at nighttime than in the daytime. There might be a half-dozen storm reports at 4:00AM. The convection-allowing models show showers and thunderstorms traveling or developing some 300mi+ eastward across Texas in the time frame of 06z to 12z. There could be a number of severe storms. It would be very climatologically unusual for a severe storm at 3:00AM on January 2nd.
  23. Chinook
    NWS Cleveland created a map and a snowfall summary for the lake effect snow that happened recently http://www.weather.gov/cle/event_20161208-1210_LakeEffectSnow
  24. Chinook
    flash flood threat in New Mexico. WPC mesoscale precip. discussion: SUMMARY...A FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ERN AZ INTO WRN NM INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS... CONTINUED TRAINING AXES OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN AZ INTO WRN NM THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WITH POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING FROM LOCALIZED RAIN RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR.
  25. Chinook
    Typhoon Haima, now a lot weaker, is approaching Hong Kong, and the large ragged eye is visible on Hong Kong radar. JTWC predicts it will make landfall ENE of Hong Kong.
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