Maestrobjwa

My money is on PD weekend tracking next weekend...for better or worse, lol

Hahaha PDQ! Bach's long lost son Another master of musical comedy! He's been this generation's Victor Borge, lol

TRGAS?

Dec we were chasing cold air. Snowstorms wasnt even a thought Ah so you'd rather have it be winter of 2019-20 again? C'mon brother...we all know better!

Offffcourse...same up here. Heard a few pity pings at the last minute before it ended, lol I would like to know WHY cold chasing precip rarely works here...is it the mountains? Or more of an elevation issue? (as is the cause of an issue or two around here...lol)

Yeah but so many times though...that's a lot of random. Like 80 years and ya may have 3 big snows in the metro (and maybe a couple of 5 inchers) after PD weekend. And really...isn't the causation just...climo? March sun angle, lower elevation, etc?

Nah not that, lol I think a mental breather was necessary...as long as we can be back on the horse again next weekend to track whatever happens the NEXT week/weekend

I doubt a clipper (assuming that's would it would be) could be picked up at D7, but...then again it's been so long I don't really know, lol

Alright it's killin' me...tell me the joke

Why would I change it? Cata-storphe sounds funnier, lol (I purposely misspelled it like he did) Eta: Ah I meant "is" and not "his"

Forgive me but catastorphe is frickin' hilarious and should be a coined term here, lol

So did climo history with something like this *halfway spikes the football for his prediction*

Well, that would actually be more of what you'd expect in a nina (those are NS dominant) The active stj we've had has been a bit unusual for this enso...

Hey we have one more historically more favorable weekend after that Not saying anything happens then, but in general...for us at the urban corridor elevation and lower, President’s Day tends to be that bookend for warning-level snows (always exceptions, of course). March can be a stat padder, however...might not get a flush hit (but maybe a slush hit), but we can still eek out an inch here or there. But overall yeah...don't wanna have to rely on that, lol

Please oh please!! And if we still can't get something out of that...I hope this will bode better for an El Niño next year!

That day kinda feels like a usually benchmark around here...not much of note happens after that most of the time in the urban corridor. I mean you had a couple of occasions, but if you were to compare pre-President's day with afterward? Yeah it's a bit of benchmark, it seems...but perhaps I'm biased by focusing on moderate to big snows, lol

I attribute our struggles these last 6 years with having 4 la ninas...yeah you had the el nino that wasn't and the AO+++++ neutral. Bad fortune? The other thing not to be named? Probably difficult to tell given that sample size. If ya only have 2 years without a historically unfavorable ENSO, and one of those had an AO+ disaster...yeah ya can't tell!

Yo that ain't even right! I'm wondering if Texas has more snow than we do the last two years...lol This should be on a post for la ninas...sheesh. Man I hope we get a good Nino next year and scratch out a good event or two this month!

Yep!! That's why when Superbowls come...savor them! (I certainly did back then! Can't tell ya how many times I watched both the highlight DVD and the DVD with full games!! My folks kept saying that year "Why you keep watchin' those DVDs all the time!"...and this is why! I mean what a memorable, MEMORABLE run--memories that will last a lifetime. That year erased the Billy Cundiff sting--because the journey, and the story of 2012 was so much better! Hope we can get to the Superbowl soon...GO RAVENS!

Are there any storms on record where that actually worked? Lol

Alright last bemoaning of this (for now): Dang it it DID happen last year...but the stupid dang PAC flood!!! You gotta wonder if we could've been lookin' at a close second to 95-96 had it not been for that! *steam coming from head" On a another note...what effect does ENSO have on -AO/-NAO?

Yeah I know--that what sucked about that. That was just some bad fortune there...that winter could've been so much better with even a marginal pac...dang it!

Oof!!! Thinkin' about that -NAO we had last winter...dag nabbit!! (And dang it if it shows up in March a la 2018 so help me...lol)

Whoa some serious mid-atlantic snow climo knowledge being dropped in here today by the legendary @Bob Chill and @psuhoffman. I'd like to think both posts could be put in the climo thread! And the two of you give a one-hour virtual lecture on what works and doesn't work for snow here (assuming it could be explained in an hour, lol). That would seriously be awesome if you considered doing that! Great analysis as always by you both--nice to see good info instead of us lesser-knowledgeable posters swimming in weenism, not-so-great analysis, and memes...(though those things too kinda make this forum, Iol)I'll. Thanks to ya both!

Yeah it is awful...but I mean not like we got much of a choice! Bone dry next 7-10 days unless we get a bit of a miracle with the two weaker waves. I guess maybe I'm referring to having a break from the tracking disappointment rut that comes after a week of said tracking coming up short. That post-missed storm mental malaise is exhausting by itself. I'd love a 2014 year--as long as we can have the same success rate! Last month was more exhausting tracking what didn't happen after the first week. You can only see so many NS vorts ruin things before wanting a break from that... All that being said, I totally get your position...we got 8 months to have a break, and punting for the next 7-10 days does suck. Hope we can track something again after that!