ROOSTA

Ironic that one's perspective changes. 10 years ago or there about I wanted to experience a Major Hurricane. TODAY- no friggin way. Since moving here even the brushed by tropical systems packed a punch, (lucky I guess) there is one out there. I kind of like my possessions, property and especially my life. Here the storms are different than in the northern clims. More often than not they're sheared out weakening systems moving at highway speeds once getting to SNE's latitude. Franklin has been well modelled. Not the set-up conducive for a New England LF. This threat that the EURO has been showing has potential and of course the GFS is OTL just now picking it up. The GOM's SST are rocket fuel. Worse scenario- UL trough moves W, shear abates, and the system explodes. LF in FL. with the E. Coast abused then makes another LF in or around L.I. Not a forecast but it is possible! My interest is piqued. Should be interesting for the next 3 days.

And so it begins. Went from nothing to an explosion of named storms. A week ago, as I was talking to my neighbor the topic shifted to the weather, namingly FL. and the chances of getting hit this season. Trying to keep it simple without detailed factors I told of my estimate 18-20 named storms out of those 8-12 hurricanes, 2-4 Major. I mentioned first would be home grown a Gulf of Mexico LF of what intensity unknown. Given the heat content I wouldn't be surprised with having several named at once. A season that will seem to never end..well into late Oct., odds of a FL. LF hurricane >80% Talk about being vague!

Just imagine for 1 minute you get a direct hit. House is leveled. I wouldn't want that for anyone! Life and property when all is said and done should override the want of one. I get it but...

Berkshire County complex is exploding!

Blitzorgtung is FREE Down here I have a BOLTEK running, ever since I was struck!! I now hide with my dog...

Check it out Kev, LINK: Blitzortung.org - Live Lightning Map Play around to get into New England's realtime map. Shocked you don't have it already.

Don't forget to have lightning detection software running in a back round window. BLITZORTUNG.ORG I find it highly accurate. Side-by-side with GRLevel2. That's all you need! Well, a storm might help. LOL

Some localized area's are going to get blasted. Most will be disappointed, fickle nature of the beast. No marine influence less immediate S Coast. Good Luck!

Speaking of humidity, down here the Td will not drop below 70F till September or October. This past week has had Td's around 80F, combine that with temps 90-95F, Heat Index 105-110F. Even now T92 Td 80 it's brutal but get used to it.

A WILD AFTERNOON INBOUND. I'm talking Severe. Yesterday was a primer - just 5 miles to my S had baseball size HAIL. Freezing levels are around 15-20k ft. Towers are starting to go up, any cells that build over 30k are capable (strong updraft) of going severe! LEGIT SEVERE! Vehicles in the carport! These can be scary; you don't want to be in one. Watch pending. The AFD mentions to be watchful that's a first.

The last eclipse I traveled to SC, one of the most spectacular sights in my lifetime. The one in '24 I'll be traveling to Little Rock, AK., or the surrounding area (weather dependent) for about double the duration of totality of the previous 2min compared to about 4.

Pretty cool watching the Masters. Like playing a Spring round in New England and getting back-door-ed! Tomorrow-- forget-about-it. What a wedge! very pronounced on radar. On the bucket list to go one of these years. Tickets are $$$ and drawn by lottery. Talk about planning ahead. GEEZ

Look at it this way, it's to early. Always next time!

Hard to achieve Severe criteria even under the best condition. Seems like every time the dynamics come to together things go to sh*t. A little thing call the Atlantic Ocean. During "rainy" season I get daily gully-washers 2-3"/hr, prolific lightning with 40-50mph. down bursts none of which are warned.

Never really get into the good dynamics. Mostly tapped further S. A good reason for SPC's MD. A squall line with straight-line winds. Should "bow" out in places as it traverses SNE.

SFC to 1K shear increasing. CAPE is marginal but with the VORT coming through. WIND with a few cells maybe close to severe. Looks like straight-line 8-12 W-E passage. Already Summer here T 92F with a Td 66F. Bone dry here, everything turning brown.

Is it true that NOW WINTER decides to flex some muscle? Can't buy what the 12z GFS is selling yet, need a few runs with it still there. No matter I'll take my 90F with dews and enjoy watching from afar.

Congrats More than I got!

Still a dual LOW. I don't think there's a storm to compare. I put the arrows on showing the direction to which they're moving. Surreal loop! S

From a meteorological standpoint for a spring snow event this has just about everything. Fascinating watching this and it continues to unfold. Surprise, surprise!

Amazing the growth of PWS. Weather Underground has hundreds in Ma., unfortunately there doesn't seem to be any QC. Wish there were a way to filter.

Maybe a consolidation, occludes then drifts E. Net result a blossoming in returns, seems plausible.

The HRRR (who's to say it's right or wrong) insistent on retrograding. If it's even 1/2 correct, well that would indicate this is far from over. ------------ *Edit* The ctr does seem to be backing in.

Springs hope eternal. For those getting screwed- the next one is in striking distance.

Primary Center seems to be tracking farther E then models depicted. The secondary xtension can still be observed in the Satellite presentation. Suspect that is slowing change-over and not consolidating banding. Every storm like a fingerprint: No two are exactly the same.