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ROOSTA

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Everything posted by ROOSTA

  1. I remember a Storm Feb. early 2010's rates dropped D/S I think and all that it did was drizzle a few flakes mixed, modelled to fill-in and dump, well it never did. Talk about an implosion on the board. Very reminiscent, this storm has more potentail and still time!
  2. VIS SAT A thing of beauty. You know the models did have a hard time latching on. What's going down is pretty much what was being runout. Adjustments being made in what you see is what you get. North Shore of Ma. (might, could) still pull double digits. I'd be happpy just to see a flake. Nah, I can go to Walmart for that. 2' OR BUST.
  3. If the models are to be believed the Ocean LOW should start to retrograde reaching it's most eastern track. Phase almost complete, dry-slot should fill-in with a firehouse commencing aimed into NE Ma.
  4. Finally the whole R/S line is collapsing across all of SNE. Occasional fatties should be mixing in across all area's!!!!!!!! Rejoice.
  5. I don't know if these maps I post help. They be an hour behind but they do point out what's going on at the SFC. Ocean influenced E winds into ME. Can see the dual LOW.
  6. Storm is at @ 993Mb and modelled down to 970 something. Still a ways to go! WOW
  7. Measuring with a yardstick? Or CT, ruler? Looks like about 24 maybe a little over.
  8. I asked jokingly in jest, as a fellow member and friend. One thing I've learned over the years now especially removed 1200 miles is not to become emotionally invested. It's not easy to accomplish.
  9. All that matters HAS Methuen FLIPPED YET?
  10. CC is steadfast not budging on the W side, with slight movement toward the S on NW periphery. Going to be like watching grass grow for the next hour or two.
  11. If you look up marginal airmass you'll find this in the dictonary. Crash baby, crash!
  12. If I were back in MA. I'd be going apesh*t. All this wasted QPF! Look a dual- SFC LOW. The Ocean L is starting to explode, take over the circulation. Fear not the change-over will be swift, estimating change to be complete by 12z in the Metro BOS area, 13z in the SS and clear the S coast by 15z. Should go to town tonight for several hours. Est. rates of 2-3"/hr. Smashed potatoes. Accumulation maps are useless- all boils down to obs. and nowcast.
  13. Ok someone must be on a website that can post a 700 VV map at the height. Guaranteed that (pic) map in this case will tell a story.
  14. Pilot to bombardier: Give me a vector Victor and don't call me Shirley! This is going to be fun watching it unfold. Target insight and it's going to be explosive bomb equipped with an eye and spiral banding.
  15. The actual 5H VORT on satellite WV seems to be slightly S and E of what the 12z models initialized. Getting close to real-time, nowcast analysis.
  16. The RAP does give the Dacks 4FEET! Ya thats going to happen!!!
  17. Things that are going to occur. I think the winds along the E coast will approach Storm Force 12z NAM
  18. With that 12z HRRR you could overlay a Topo Map almost an exact match Meanwhile I'm 80F with a Td of 72F. Stiff SW winds 20-30mph, with gusts Oh and a threat of Thunderstorms. I've lost my emotional attachment.
  19. Do not look at 12z HRRR. There are some 3' amounts in them their Hills of W Ma. A thing of beauty! Two feet or Bust!
  20. The BUST potential +/- is larger than any storm as far back as I can remember. Two areas in particular: Ctrl NYS forecast 2' could bust by 2' SE Ma. CC forecast 2" could bust by 2' Today's War Cry "2' or BUST" All together now...
  21. Drew Barrymore: "Back-off, back-off. FIRESTARTER There is something wrong with models. Houston We Have A Problem. Each model has a bias and well known but this is ridiculous. Over programmed and overloaded with unseen data? No way to explain...
  22. To be honest I really hate SF maps from the assorted models. It's not representative of the pending changes in model runs. Now a personally drawn map is an individual forecast inclusive of start to finish. With that said my weenie side results in a possible outcome to this chaos... SUBJECT TO CHANGE Stated days ago, that ORH S and E would get burnt. Probably way off but it's only fun at least for yours truly.
  23. The more you start TOSSING you'll end-up with nothing. One of these models is (will be) less wrong then another. Million-dollar question, which one?
  24. Some clarity... ummm, back to uh oh ummm... Fog incoming down to vis < 1/8 mile. Ah, just stick with elevation. Cut back amounts. "Everything gonna be alright."
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