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ROOSTA

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Everything posted by ROOSTA

  1. ROOSTA
    AMAZING STORM. Timing absolutely sux. The expanse is impressive, debatable its effects are Hemispheric. The unfortunate aspect is that recovery will take some time. HRRR continues to show S coast, CC accumulations.
  2. ROOSTA
    BRUTAL Guess where the FRONT is?
  3. ROOSTA
    This event might have a few curves yet to unfold in model-land. So, you're saying there's STILL A CHANCE? What a total disaster for travelling!!!
  4. ROOSTA
    OH NO. No surprise a D10 storm. There is always a DAY 10 storm. Let the chaos settle, get it to D5 and maybe thread-it.
  5. ROOSTA
    I would much rather see that Vort close off over MN, better yet not even enter into the CONUS. Hounds be released and set-up the next chance. People down here are going to freeze! Blizzard in the GL, Arctic Air will be the headlines. Oh, the hype.
  6. ROOSTA
    Regardless of what transpires. A huge letdown for many, no doubt. It's a "tracker" a huge storm at that. There are things that can be controlled, weather is not one of them. Attitude toward emotional involvement surely can be controlled and tempered knowing there is always another chance. As a hobbyist, serious business for sure, I try to keep it fun. NEXT...
  7. ROOSTA
    Looks fine! Only umpteen runs to go. LOL Nice just to be alive and tracking.
  8. ROOSTA
    The snow-cover is expansive. Have all 50 States at once experience a White Christmas?
  9. ROOSTA
    Takes a longtime learning how to hype...LOL
  10. ROOSTA
    Day Ater Tomorrow. On the precipice of EPIC PROPORTIONS.
  11. ROOSTA
    That's what you call a tease. Verify every decade or so. Pattern looks locked in, expect miracles
  12. ROOSTA
    To sedate "our" fix. Model agreement would be the next step. Predict this thread will surpass 200 pages.
  13. ROOSTA
    Expect changes? Understatement of the model run and without question accurate. Sure, does look nice thought.
  14. ROOSTA
    BOMBS AWAY Need this to be inside D5. As is I might get to a flurry. "The road is long with many a winding turn." Looking mighty fine!
  15. ROOSTA
    12z HRRR Initialized To t 49 Not much gain in the snow department. NEXT
  16. ROOSTA
    Just bend-over easy. I mean break 'em easy. It's officially a Big-Dog Zeus is in the house!
  17. ROOSTA
    George001, Slow down buddy. You're getting way out ahead of your skies. Odds of verification <10%. There's about 30 model runs before it should be taken seriously. Strong signal, yes but all your doing is setting yourself up for a let-down. Read more, play the devil's advocate, ask self what could go wrong? Play it conservatively till it's inside D5.
  18. ROOSTA
    The big ones most always present themselves with a huge signal even in LaLa Land. Anything close to verifying would be Major...details to be worked out.
  19. ROOSTA
    Just looked at the 12z GFS. Looks like some good frontogenesis at the height of passage. Temps look a bit high at 850, 925 include surface out to about ORH, that could be where the CF sets-up. Surface reflection tracking a little too far N and W but might be enough time to correct for a score. Going to be close. haves to have nots with a huge gradient.
  20. ROOSTA
    Appears there is still hope for the Coastal Plain. Trends look promising. I only have a frontal passage with what their calling a temperature "plunge" 80 to 65F. A slight chance of severe mid-day tomorrow.
  21. ROOSTA
    12z NAM A little Paintshop Fun
  22. ROOSTA
    For the sanity of many a whiff could be the best medicine. Blasphemy! Just accept if you don't have a combo of LAT and elevation this isn't the storm. NEXT
  23. ROOSTA
    Personal observations analyzing R2R models. Comparing knowing the individual bias of each. ML's are torch city ATT. Parent Low doesn't transfer the energy in time to get the Coastal cranking. #1 Rule on Miller B's (circa 2010) Somebody is always going to get screwed. #2 As long as it's not a Miller Lite Discussed Ad nauseum. Miller A vs Miller B - New England - American Weather (americanwx.com)
  24. ROOSTA
    It's going to be a lonnnggg week ahead. The emotional Roller-coaster of despair to elation. The "storm" is exactly why it's the best group of Weeners out there and when this forum shines. I'll state the obvious. Go ensembles, watch the trends AND avoid the pissin as-to-say from the OP's until Wednesday. Let the freak flags fly. Read more from the METS, try to keep the IMBY bellyaching to a minimum. It doesn't look bad for a crush-job.
  25. ROOSTA
    And there you'll find the nice 3-6" accumulations, maybe a lolli or two, max in around 8" probably somewhere in Tolland County. Wanna bet? It has never snowed where I live. I find that hard to believe because flurries have been recorded in the Keys. All I want for the Holidays is a flurry. Y'all are spoiled
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