ROOSTA

A LITTLE DRY OUT THERE. Teens and twenties. Question is: Does the column saturate in EMA?

With that OES banding in PLY County. I can recall cweat going from exit-to-exit reporting conditions. Some white lawns down that-away!

The obligatory weenie snow map Latest HRRR

Great pictures many familiar, many have never met. Someday... one of the first gtg was on CC for Noel in Oct, 2007. Combo gathering and chase. Always good times meeting! Meanwhile bring on WINTER.

Any SNOW is good SNOW! I'd be going to the GTG in a heartbeat only if I lived 1k miles closer. Today I can envision the uproar when the 12z comes rolling in reminiscent to the gathering in the South-end of Boston years ago, (almost booted out) LOL

December rarely delivers the goodies. Disappointment waits for those who think so. It's more a transition Month for most of the time in the three southern states. Cashing-in Winter because of a bad early start? All it will take is one or two blockbusters in a 6–8-week timeframe. I used to despise the 1-3" pinpricks, hours of wasted time for what? Someone should post soundings for assorted cities by model and run time. First place, well maybe second or third place in a storm threat to look at. Crunch time it's soundings less the slam-dunks.

Multiple threats going forth, staggered sleeping, run to run nuances to diagnose, TILL FURTHER NOTICE! There's a widespread big one in there. Probably before the New Year. Great looking pattern for New England.

So much, more and more as the years pass. Almost as if "why bother posting anything useful?" Such are the times of free speech. Other than that,.. IT GON SNOW maybe, might, could it be. I'll awake when the 1ft'r threatens. Oh, by the way it was 80F here today. I gots to move!

Stakes rising with every model run. In years past many a threat has come and gone. I'm getting antsy! Seems the time invested (Climo Winter) 3 months' worth of... just doesn't seem to pay off. One can surmise "winter" is a month's timeframe. Early Jan. to mid Feb., and for myself it's always been the chase, still holding on to my bias. I'm ready, going forth (curse of death) may "we" all get the fix we deserve and want.

Instead of waiting, wanting, wishing for first snow. Y'all (I think that's how to say it) come on down to the Cape and watch the most powerful rocket launch into the heavens. It's 60 miles to my ESE. Put it on your bucket list, most assured you will not be disappointed. Appearing first snows for most is going to have to wait. This is not the event.

As in Spring also in Fall, elevation will be a determining factor as a general rule.

Wind gusted to 100mph. atop Artemis. I'm getting frequent gusts in the 60 range. Oh, that sound a ferocity greater than Ian. Power going out all over the place.

TS wind field. HUGE On the current forecasted track my location will be in the RFQ for an extended period of time. I'm about 40miles W. abeam of DAB. Already observing gusts in the 30mph range

GOES-EAST MESO1 PSeUdo-Color LOOP (psu.edu) One-minute close-up animation. Getting its act together! Not good. Depending on how strong Nicole gets, being so big to begin with... Can the inner core stay intact longer after LF being so insulated? Bueller? Any case studies or examples.

GFS 18z: Looks tropical, looks like it has an eye. The worst-case scenario for East Central Florida. Thankfully a week out.

I'll still be basking in the 80's. Always a thrill to see at least the threat. Transitional Seasons are the best. I don't think the tropics are done.

DO NOT LOOK AT THE L/R OPERATIONAL GFS. And so it begins, a threat of snow over a wide area in SNE. Should garner a topic thread if subsequent runs continue to show.

I got lucky. Untouched only 18hrs without power.

The exact opposite. Tampa Bay emptied out.

Not confirmed but reported on local TV station, gusts near LF in the 170 range. Water rescues everywhere. Moving into feeder band right now. This is knocking power out... see you's all on the otherside. New Smyrna Beach 74G in the last hour.

Reverse Surge, Tampa Bay emptied out. What? First strong feeder band knocking. Highest recorded gust 135mph. 4th strongest hurricane in history to hit the US.

I'm already gusting into the 30 range. I think my IP address has been blocked from desktop? 2 feet of rain inbound. As ready as I'm ever going to be.

No propane, no gasoline, water flying off the shelves. Highways jammed and then you have the yahoo's who are oblivious and stay even along the coast, D'OH I fear the power will be gone for days. Irma was 6 days prompting a generator purchase. This is going to be stronger, longer. I'm glad the latest are going S. A few runs back tracking right overhead. AFD has 100+ gusts, isolated 24"+ in wordage with a lot of extremes to boot. Venice to Daytona Beach. In at 140 out at 40

People get more upset about "their" The Second Amendment Rights then they do about "their" First. I digress. Ian's general movement since entering the Gulf is approx. (per radar) at 16.3 degrees which if extrapolated places LF just S of Venice.

The width is expanding. Whom ever gets into the eyewall is in for a wild ride, damaging too. So wide the State is becoming dwarfed. Not often do you see H force winds gate to gate across.