ROOSTA

Giving credit to where credit is due Start with GINX and go from there, give or take a day or two, NAILED! Pattern recognition. This event was on the playing field back a few weeks with even a thread started. As all, most start digging out... here a killing freeze. Wouldn't be surprised reaching the teens, for this climate it has prompted headlines of "extreme cold".

Just add 12" to any "official" accumulation map. Still time to adjust up...LOL

Phasing perfection = SNOW I would chase this baby without hesitation "if" my health were better. Open heart triple bypass, a half a dozen stint's in various locations, filters for clotting, arterial aortic bypass. Swear I've aged 20yrs. in the past 5. Have lost over 100lbs, legs are toothpicks, constant pain, AFib- heart rate spikes over 250 often and severe neuropathy. Oh, and throw in getting struck by lightning. Youth is wasted on the young. Everything is relative, personally if not for Meteorology I'd have gone crazy. I'm really "diggin" the lastest runs!

Y'all gon need a bigger boat. Snatched from the "jaws" of doom! The overall solution has been revealed. Criticized for mentioning 2', now they don't talk so loud! Just going to sit back here and watch the awesome power of Mother Nature deliver.

Devil in the details from here in. Initialization issue? don't know. Those four will come back and all this angst will be in vain.

Don't..., won't use it. 2 days in and only used for QPF in unique situations.

I'm missing something? One run of the NAM, people start a panic! PLEASE. Friggin model bounces all over the place. Like a broken clock it's right twice a day. In winter it's put in the garage. Oh, look another bounce. Instead of describing E or W referencing to individuals BY why not reference the move a map location like say the BM.

12z NAM. The weenie made me do it

Some of the output running the grids is spitting out 4ft amounts in EMA running here at ROOSTA Central Command. I find it hard to believe. The clown of clown maps thus not posting. Is it possible, it's happened before so sure it's possible? I'll start believing when in mid-event. Tough first call. Go high or go home, start at 2' (conservative) then go up from there.

Will never change in here. It's always been the chase, to a lesser degree the event. Anytime a widespread 1-2' occurs the IMBY complaints of not jacking are unfounded. I already know how much I'm getting 0.0" but it's the old stomping grounds Braintree, Arlington and the 100's of friends I weenie out on FB for.

CMC has a sub 960 just E of ACK with a slight slow-down bombing out into the haba.

A step closer to detailed finer points. A thousand miles away and still get stoked. You can take the person out of New England, but you can never take New England out of the person.

TQ is still around. Still runs contests although I no longer participate. Year (2) I won the seasonal forecast, and a storm or two.

LOCK and LOADED! Details..., the nuances will define the haves and those who get really haves. From here on out, noise, a wobble here or there. I'm sold.

In '78 it was known as going to be BIG. Not many predicted how BIG.

Beware of the Mid-Latitude Tempest that develops and eye. BOMBS AWAY!

Grew-up watching Jack Chase and Don Kent. Kent lived in N. Wey. Stood-out in the neighborhood because he had an anemometer rooftop. I once tried to visit him, must have been a bad day. Told me to screw! LOL The first true meteorologist, a giant, pioneer for many who followed. In his illustrious words. "Friday will be a weather breeder day."

Not too often does a storm like this one I think is going to occur. Maximizing every component, re: track, strength, barometric pressure, VV's off the scale, coverage, on and on. Think about it. Sure, they happen from time to time, tracked and forgotten always looking for the next. One analysis for that wrench that could possibly screw the IMBY. Well, this one could be a contender for Top Five of all-time.

Repeat after me- "PHASING AND TIMING" All together now, all together now. Clown maps are fun but at this range useless except maybe for the jack fetish amongst us and then post emotional attachment. Three days out they become somewhat useful i.e. HRRR, RGEM, and yes, the NAM. Signature for a CF is becoming clearer, but hey it's only a model output. Use the tools given.

And then it's taken straight up the arz. LOL Sorry, couldn't resist...

These events beat tracking a tropical entity hands-down, twice on Sunday. The variables to consider are far greater, damage far lesser and fun if you know what to look for. From a personal perspective it's always been the time leading to the event not the event itself.

NESIS rating? I think this is a better way of categorizing instead of giving events a name. Thank-you K and U. I just glanced at the website. I believe this one will make top 10. Paul hasn't posted in the forum for eons. Brings out the best of the best.

As for the Tides, leaving that to Steve. New or Full moons always seem to coincide with the biggies, the multiple cycle with a fetch do the most damage and makes sense.

I don't get the poo-poo-ing. Guess you need a dog in the fight to critique. The more it changes accuracy wise, (as the models turn) the more it's the same. Accept no control and you have control. Will never be an exact science; acceptance is the key. Contemplating a "road-trip" if only my health where better!

Must be the season of (witch) "Noreasters" Don't look now but, Pattern locked, reloads and there she blows. Always thought this winter would deliver in a short timeframe! Could be a memorable February.