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ROOSTA

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Everything posted by ROOSTA

  1. ROOSTA
    Say it, go ahead make my day...say it... okay BLIZZARD. Don't jinx it! Potential is there. I mean what possibly could go wrong?
  2. ROOSTA
    Perfect time for a radio show. Does the forum still do them? They were fun and informative.
  3. ROOSTA
    ATT Early prediction: O/U 100 pages? I'd go over. Which model is least wrong, EURO or GFS? EURO has been fluctuating lately. Go GFS Locked: I'll get no snow LOL
  4. ROOSTA
    I think it's gonna snow. This set-up is "CLASSIC" Whether it be reports of 100mph gusts, blizzard conditions, or a CF that has 2' cut-off amounts over a stretch of 10 miles. This baby is gonna have it all. Disclaimer: "As depicted NOW" And of course BOMBS AWAY!!!
  5. ROOSTA
    Looking mighty fine, mighty fine. Adrenaline flowing already, by far the greatest threat this season for the starved. And yet a 2footer will not satisfy the masses. What a hoot it would be to see a 4 seed play a 6 seed in the SB.
  6. ROOSTA
    Slip-sliding away? Not necessarily, the players have yet to enter the playing field. WAY to MUCH emotional posts, (taken verbatim) is a weenie trait) do not fall onto that trap. The mean trough is still present, hgts upstream, downstream are going to fluctuate, strength of vorticity, orientation of trough axis will change. It's an OP model output. IMHO it's wrong especially with such lead-time. Relax, because nobody can control the chaos. It's only a threat, being something to track is better than nada.
  7. ROOSTA
    Already read the book. Rommel?
  8. ROOSTA
    Way out in la-la-land (outside of 3 days) the 00z GFS snow depth change maps have 2' amounts in SEMA. Now to get some consistency and agreement on models. Way overdue, increasing interest and threat.
  9. ROOSTA
    I have to give credit to my elder sister (a teacher) who got me started at the grasshopper age of 6. I've forgotten most of what has been learned over the years. Florida is a bore with the exception of tropical season. Once in your blood it never just goes away.
  10. ROOSTA
    THAT THERE IS "POTENTIAL." Could be a contender, consideration of timeframe (168h) that's all anyone can hope for. I think February is going to deliver.
  11. ROOSTA
    '78. Just the mention of "78" only one thing comes to mind. A benchmark that's been rivaled but not surpassed. I was in AZ. to this day I regret missing.
  12. ROOSTA
    Don't look... Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued out of Mt. Holly. Dynamic sucker!
  13. ROOSTA
    SFC wind. Not good for snow. (NAM 00z) Time to move on I think
  14. ROOSTA
    IDK. IMHO thinking is it's way to early to be putting numbers out. Present models (well, GFS anyway) has a more N to S orientation to snow amounts with the Metro Boston area briefly starting as snow and end up with zip to 1" of slop. Double barrelled L's that never consolidate. At the height of the tempest the surface is flooded with warmth out to roughly the Berks. Throwing in the obligatory ----ATT
  15. ROOSTA
    "We have all been here before." "Move along, there's nothing to see here." _____________________ The solution has yet to be revealed. I'd go snow to rain coastal plain. Snow to mix to rain out to Rt128. Snow to mix back to snow outside 495. SAFE BET...ATT
  16. ROOSTA
    It's easier to accept when you don't have a dog in the fight. Emotions will always dictate some of the responses. Imagine for one moment the region gets back-to-back KU's, MBY has 3' of snow on the ground and still not satisfied. Still a long way to go before critiquing an outcome that is least wrong in the end. Analysis of reason is lacking. Just a personal observation.
  17. ROOSTA
    Overall (model consensus) ensembles have a snowstorm, dependent on the member to choose but trending 70/30% wise to a white solution. The OP's on the otherhand are literally all over the map, LOL. Something big as in deep, I mean deep this way cometh. Big model runs forthcoming.
  18. ROOSTA
    Ocean Bomb storms are my favorite to track. The unpredictablity of going from a clear and cold forecast to a 2' blizz is on a razors edge. They tend to be slow movers and back in at the 11th hour. Something to watch. Big model runs upcoming, there's a big one in there somewhere
  19. ROOSTA
    LA-LA-LAND on steroids, piqued my interest. It's there no doubt, something BIG is going to pop. Please send me a bone...freeze, frost, I'd buy a flake if I could.
  20. ROOSTA
    I'll post a grid map for snow depth in that timeframe if you insist, but for what reason I have no idea? Heck even MSLP is way "off" (wrong) in the LA-LA land of modelling. Potential is there, support from ensembles, some model agreement. Further runs needed to validate threat... something to watch. I think something else is going to pop in the interim.
  21. ROOSTA
    I'm extremely jealous. One of these days, maybe in my old-age I'm going to move back somewhere in VT., NH., or ME. Pass-away with a smile on my face. NEXT?
  22. ROOSTA
    KUDO'S to those who stuck to their guns in predictions. GUESS IT PRODUCED(ING). Congrats weenies...it's snowing. Ratios FTW.
  23. ROOSTA
    Development off the Delmarva
  24. ROOSTA
    Someone earlier was asking. What to use for latest obs: MesoWest Data (utah.edu) Change Network, Map and overlays.
  25. ROOSTA
    Observations (next 2hrs) in this thread will telltale the outcome. A nowcast of nowcasts. I don't like the meso models for double digit accumulations. The slide-east for dynamics is a redflag, we shall see.
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