Fozz
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Everything posted by Fozz
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Up in North Conway now, looking pretty good for this area. No snow yet.
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Dec (Edit: Jan1/..2 ) multi-faceted ptype mess potential...
Fozz replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I booked a motel at North Conway and reserved two days at Wildcat. This should be a fun weekend, can't wait! -
I vaguely remember seeing that Foxboro received 2'+ from Dec 2003. I think one of the TWC mets was there. It would've been a good time for me to live where I am now.
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Dec (Edit: Jan1/..2 ) multi-faceted ptype mess potential...
Fozz replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I'm considering a weekend ski trip somewhere in NH, especially since they allow fellow New England residents without too much trouble. -
December 5, 2002 at 32:12. The start of an excellent winter. I even remember when the forecast was initially for snow showers, before getting better and better as it got closer.
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Why? Last winter was atrocious here in SNE, but I enjoyed some really nice powder days in Wildcat and especially Stowe, because up north it was much closer to normal.
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I knew those runs the other day didn’t make any sense. Glad to see some much better trends on the latest guidance.
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It was right around this time last year when it became clear that 2019-20 was going to be a dead ratter.
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Seems like that run has a 50/50 high instead of a low. It would be comical if it verifies like that, but at first glance I am skeptical.
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I find it hard to believe that it would be a SNE rainstorm with that track and strength in early January.
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Is there any good climatological reason why early January has usually been such an unimpressive time for storms for most of the last 20 years? Even worse than December. Of course 2011 and 2014 were exceptions, but more often than not the first half of January has been a lame period ever since the turn of the century.
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Yeah that makes more sense, especially with colder SSTs later in the season.
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That's very good to know. Might be yet another reason why the second half of winter is much better for skiing. Do ocean temps have a role in this?
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Yeah whenever there is any talk of SSW, it's usually when people are desperate.
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What does the EPO look like? That page doesn’t include the EPO even though it really should.
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You’d think with all that blocking we wouldn’t get those kinds of cutters. Maybe the models are especially clueless, or we are in for a massive longitudinal super ridge which I don’t recall ever seeing.
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Yes. Seriously. I never for the life of me thought that I'd see a Christmas derecho in New England.
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I'm really not looking forward to losing my power tomorrow, which is inevitable. Nasty Grinch storm indeed.
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The temp anomalies this month look very Niño to me.
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Around 18" to date, including the 5" in October that I missed.
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I’m surprised Concord hasn’t had more 20”+ storms. I think Baltimore has had 9. Seems like a lot more of these types of storms are on the way in the next several decades.
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I’m a big snowpack guy and I rarely saw extended snow cover where I grew up, so I’m very interested to see how long this pack lasts. It’s a spectacular scene right now, almost straight out of a Christmas movie, and I don’t want it to end.
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How is all of this, especially the STJ, happening in a borderline strong Niña? It all sounds way too good to be true, and something I’d expect from a Modoki Niño.
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That was one of my favorite December storms of all time. Picked up 3” in the span of 45 minutes, and ended up with nearly 6 just before driving back to Millersville. There were two other storms that followed, and we soon ended up with single digit lows in Millersville with the pond near Wickersham Hall freezing over in mid-December, which was truly amazing.
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11” per hour would be an inch every 6 minutes. I think it’s believable, especially since heavy thunderstorms can easily deliver the same rate of precip in the form of rain.
