Fozz

So without that block and 50/50, a negative tilt at H5 around the MS valley would normally bring another cutter and crappy rainstorm? Thank goodness for the NAO.

WOW... awesome hit... my wish for a double digit storm might just happen before Christmas if this turns out well. Amazing what a -NAO with a strong 50/50 (which starts as Monday's appetizer) can bring.

LOL that’s funny. Forecasts were a bit better in MD. I remember a Winter Storm Watch for 3-6”, and as I was listening on my NOAA radio they were downplaying the chance of a major storm, but still said there’s a good chance of 4”+, which of course was good enough for me. And then the day before the storm it was upgraded to a warning for 4-8” and had the Baltimore area in the bullseye. We ended up with 8” in Lutherville where I grew up, with 7.4” in BWI. And I especially enjoyed it because it was so much more snow than the entire previous season, and the snow cover lasted a long time, long enough to be followed by a moderate ice storm the following week (it would’ve definitely been all rain without the snowpack to cool the surface). So many snow days to enjoy, and PDII was still months away.

If everything lines up right, an event like 12/5/2002 might be within reach. One of my favorite moderate snowstorms growing up. This -NAO is the best that we’ve seen in years, especially after so many years of crappy Atlantic setups. A cold 5-8” throughout the I-95 corridor, just before the holidays, would be such a nice break after all the turmoil of 2020, and after the pathetic non-winter of 2019-20.

Pivotal weather has them for free.

With the strong Atlantic blocking in place, I’ve had a feeling that we’d get something good. Of course we are still a week out, but this is New England so these storms tend to find a way to work. In any case, I’d be thrilled with just half of what the Euro is showing.

Wow excellent. This for next Thursday?

When was the last sustained -NAO in a winter month? March 2018?

Depends on other factors. If it's one HECS in an otherwise warm winter, while getting 4 moderate storms happens in a sustained cold period, then yeah I'd agree. But if each of those 6" storms melt in a day or two, I don't see that as any better than just getting one HECS.

Some guys around my age actually cried when it busted. Probably 11-13 years old at the time, so it's understandable. Also I was told that John Bolaris will never live down all his hyping of that March storm that never happened. I lived near Baltimore at the time and grew up there, and I do remember the December 2000 storm. I wasn't emotionally invested in it since I was not yet into winter weather, but that was actually another bust in the mid-Atlantic. I think the forecasts called for 8-12", something major, but the precip shield ended up being so compact that it completely bypassed the area. Philly ended up with 9" and was right near the edge, but Wilmington received only an inch or two. DC and Baltimore did not get a single flake. And then a few months later we all know what happened.

Thank goodness March 2001 happened just before I started paying attention to winter weather. I would've been heartbroken.

Ji is the kind of character you'll just have to get used to. Even winter 2009-10 wasn't cold enough nor long lasting enough to please him, even though Snowmageddon gave him almost 3' of snow. Most likely it's an act, but the most we can do is speculate.

I still miss that winter. It snowed almost every week from northern MD to Philly. Great winter for the whole northeast, and very cold too, unlike 2009-10.

Better than Feb 5, 2010?

Yep, he bought a place in Randolph, NH and it seems like he will be spending his winters up there.

It was basically a 2 hour storm out here. Then snowTV with puddles all around the lot. But it’s December and it’s snowing, so I’m alright with this.

I passed by your area on my way back to RI. 2.5” here

2” here. Not bad for 2 hours since the changeover, but ratios aren’t great.

I was back at my old home in MD for the last 6 weeks, but now I just arrived back in RI, an hour and a half ago, just in time for changeover to snow. I was going to return tomorrow, but I bumped it up a day for obvious reasons. So far, so good. Coming down heavily while I’m out for a jebwalk.0

Massive hit for ORH. If only Wachusett was open...

The latest GFS shows an incredible amount of snow in western MD and Canaan Valley throughout the run. Wave after wave of heavy upslope.

NYC’s average is more like 28” so 90% would be around 25”. I think after last winter most reasonable NYC posters would be quite happy with that.

It sucks to miss this one.... looks like a N RI jackpot on the 3k NAM.

Damn I missed it.

After seeing Diane's Instagram, I had to come to this thread. Very impressive already, especially around Bretton Woods. Makes me want to hit the slopes already.