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Fozz

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Everything posted by Fozz

  1. Fozz
    IMO — 10”+ is major. 20”+ is historic.
  2. Fozz
    I agree. I’ve seen a number of modeled storms over the years where my old home just north of the Balt beltway would get 8”+ while Wes got next to nothing. In reality it almost never happens.
  3. Fozz
    A loud band of sleet just arrived.
  4. Fozz
    Don’t be a snowflake over snowflakes.
  5. Fozz
    I feel kinda bad for Wes... I hope he’s doing well but I bet he really hates this storm.
  6. Fozz
    Wow... an amazing run.
  7. Fozz
    Those of us in SNE mainly dislike the last several GFS runs. Anything else would work.
  8. Fozz
    Yep, Mt. Washington is around 400'. Basically just as good as many nearby northern suburbs.
  9. Fozz
    I think he’s just outside the city line. But yes that area is 350’+ and easily on the colder side of the fall line. Helps a lot in marginal situations.
  10. Fozz
    I’ve noticed over the years that the best way to have extended snow cover in the mid Atlantic is to have a strong, persistent -EPO. Of course a -NAO also helps, but when the Pacific is on the good side then you get amazing stretches of deep winter like Feb to March 2015, and most of the winter of 2013-14. Otherwise, it’s usually just as you said.
  11. Fozz
    Nice move there. You probably gained a few inches in your snowfall average. I believe @AdamHLG lives nearby.
  12. Fozz
    Last winter was my first in RI, and it was a big disappointment. We had one decent storm in early December (10"), but the rest of the season was completely forgettable, and afterwards the only thing I really enjoyed was my ski trips to NNE, which did get some good storms. I'm much more hopeful for this winter.
  13. Fozz
    Don't get me wrong, I still like our chances especially south of the pike, and all other things being equal, I'd rather have the Euro, GGEM, and UKMET on our side vs the GFS alone.
  14. Fozz
    I recall the NYC crowd sweating hard over that one, and I really thought it would jump north just enough to deliver for them. It never did.
  15. Fozz
    February 6 2010?
  16. Fozz
    The GFS really doesn't want to give in, any time soon.
  17. Fozz
    January 2016 was one of my all time favorites back in MD. Second only to Feb 10, 2010.
  18. Fozz
    January 2016 was going to be another Feb 2010 for NYC, until it shifted just far enough north to get them HECS totals.
  19. Fozz
    You've gotta hope the storm isn't so amped, and that the 50/50 low and/or the Canadian high is strong enough to shunt the storm east. A big disadvantage of December storms is the very warm ocean, so the track matters a great deal especially for the coastal plain.
  20. Fozz
    2003-04 also had a very disappointing second half.
  21. Fozz
    Nov-Dec 1989 had a few decent storms for DC, along with one of the greatest cold periods of all time. But then once the clock hit 1990, the rest of the winter torched.
  22. Fozz
    It's a solid run for both of us... 12"+. The preponderance of the guidance basically agrees and several runs have actually improved compared to 0z. Only real exception is the GFS. Yes we have a strong 50/50 and 1030 mb high, but unless we get early February 2010 confluence, I think being fringed like the GFS shows is unlikely.
  23. Fozz
    I'm feeling much better about this now. Not only because the GFS is still alone, but also because other models (UKMET, GGEM) are trending north. We'll see shortly what the Euro shows.
  24. Fozz
    Nice to see the trend in the right direction for both the GGEM and UKMET.
  25. Fozz
    Since when did the UKMET have low verification score?
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