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Fozz

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Everything posted by Fozz

  1. Fozz
    That’s what I was thinking as well. Simply based on climo and the most recent guidance, I’m thinking more like 6-12” (or perhaps 5-10” per MillvilleWx) for the nearby north and west Baltimore suburbs such as Cockeysville, Owings Mills, and probably also Reisterstown, with the 12”+ totals north and west of a line from Hereford to Mt Airy. I think @Ellinwood’s map is a better guess.
  2. Fozz
    What is your reason for thinking anyone north of Hartford and PVD will get less than 8"?
  3. Fozz
    Emmitsburg is a very nice little town, which I've always passed on my way to ski Liberty, which is right on the other side of the border. The surrounding landscape will certainly give it a very wintry feel.
  4. Fozz
    I'm fine with this, assuming the QPF is realistic with the track it takes for this storm. But I don't want this any further south.
  5. Fozz
    You’re just rooting for New England if that’s the case.
  6. Fozz
    Honestly I’d be thrilled with half of that total, and I think that’s well within our reach.
  7. Fozz
    Wow there’s a Fozz jackpot right there.... can we please lock this up??
  8. Fozz
    Chasing is so rewarding when it succeeds. Hope it works out for you.
  9. Fozz
    I think @MillvilleWx would have the best answer on that, especially since his mesoscale analysis is always top notch.
  10. Fozz
    IMO — 10”+ is major. 20”+ is historic.
  11. Fozz
    I agree. I’ve seen a number of modeled storms over the years where my old home just north of the Balt beltway would get 8”+ while Wes got next to nothing. In reality it almost never happens.
  12. Fozz
    A loud band of sleet just arrived.
  13. Fozz
    Don’t be a snowflake over snowflakes.
  14. Fozz
    I feel kinda bad for Wes... I hope he’s doing well but I bet he really hates this storm.
  15. Fozz
    Wow... an amazing run.
  16. Fozz
    Those of us in SNE mainly dislike the last several GFS runs. Anything else would work.
  17. Fozz
    Yep, Mt. Washington is around 400'. Basically just as good as many nearby northern suburbs.
  18. Fozz
    I think he’s just outside the city line. But yes that area is 350’+ and easily on the colder side of the fall line. Helps a lot in marginal situations.
  19. Fozz
    I’ve noticed over the years that the best way to have extended snow cover in the mid Atlantic is to have a strong, persistent -EPO. Of course a -NAO also helps, but when the Pacific is on the good side then you get amazing stretches of deep winter like Feb to March 2015, and most of the winter of 2013-14. Otherwise, it’s usually just as you said.
  20. Fozz
    Nice move there. You probably gained a few inches in your snowfall average. I believe @AdamHLG lives nearby.
  21. Fozz
    Last winter was my first in RI, and it was a big disappointment. We had one decent storm in early December (10"), but the rest of the season was completely forgettable, and afterwards the only thing I really enjoyed was my ski trips to NNE, which did get some good storms. I'm much more hopeful for this winter.
  22. Fozz
    Don't get me wrong, I still like our chances especially south of the pike, and all other things being equal, I'd rather have the Euro, GGEM, and UKMET on our side vs the GFS alone.
  23. Fozz
    I recall the NYC crowd sweating hard over that one, and I really thought it would jump north just enough to deliver for them. It never did.
  24. Fozz
    February 6 2010?
  25. Fozz
    The GFS really doesn't want to give in, any time soon.
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