Fozz

Snow showers in Nashville, rain on Jay peak. What a time to be alive.

Glad to see the GFS is most likely still alone.

Just the GFS and its ensembles. We'll see if the GGEM, UKMET or Euro catch on to this. Hopefully not, of course.

You sure it won't be the other way around? This is the third run in the row that the GFS has done this, so it's not like last night when you could maybe dismiss it as a fluke run. Not to mention we do have a monstrous 50/50 low and strong Canadian high.

Yep, it has a changeover to very heavy snow in the favored spots afterwards. Multiple inches per hour.

Well never mind. Incredible hit for the northern tier even if Kuchera ratios are a bit overdone. @psuhoffman come on this is an excellent run up your way.

Does that map count sleet as snow? If it does then it may be misleading, though I have a feeling that I-70 and north are still looking solid.

Yeah let's hope not. The storm strengthens at literally the perfect timing here.

Euro says early Thursday morning will be an incredible sight!

UKMET is so close to being a great hit here, I can’t even complain at this range.

This GFS is bringing back my dark memories of early December 2018 in the mid-Atlantic

Normally I’d trust the GFS over the GGEM (I recall the GGEM being not that good), but the drastic run to run shifts from the GFS don’t make it look very credible at the moment.

Wow... this is ungodly.

It is not wise to unnecessarily hype a storm when things are far from certain. Not sure if you remember March 2013 or March 2001.

I was 12 years old at the time in MD, and that was my second winter of tracking the weather. 2002-03 was nearly as good in the mid-Atlantic as it was in SNE, so I have all kinds of great memories of that one as well. I was actually out of town for the Christmas storm, which might be my one disappointment of the whole season, but I was told it delivered a quick 6-7" where I lived after changing over from rain. And then PDII remained my all time favorite for many years. I was too young to remember 1996 well.

I always preferred for winter storms to be named after their dates. I never was a fan of calling a snowstorm "Nemo" or "Jonas". I guess that makes me old fashioned.

This is feeling so much like December 2009. Days and days of seeing double digit and sometimes HECS totals on the models while telling myself not to believe them, all the way until the watches went up and it could no longer be denied.

I wouldn't panic just yet. Not unless the other models catch on to this.

Didn't Feb 10, 2010 fringe this area in a similar way? Granted, that was very rare setup.

Lol... a Delmarva capture.

Same here. I think we still have a good shot of at least 8-12". I'm just sick of the 1-3" events so anything warning level would be nice to see. And I missed the October storm since I went to MD a week too soon, so I haven't seen a real snowstorm here since early last December (2 rounds, 5" each so technically not warning level).

Same here. I'd take the UKMET but still be a bit jealous of NYC metro

Uhhhhh no. It's looking very good, but this is no lock if you're north of Baltimore, especially not 4 days out when you aren't far from precip type issues.