Fozz

Spring actually isn't too bad up here. There are nice days like today and there are lousy days that are 45 with drizzle, but those days are in the minority. Everything is blooming now and coming to life.

Just saw your thread about next winter. If a 2002-03 season happens then I’d be over the moon

How’s next winter looking? Should we brace ourselves for a Super Nino?

Yes. It was a horrible and very disappointing March. Winter just gave up after that storm late last month. Usually it puts up much more of a fight until the equinox

Very sad to hear. I will miss his updates.

Ouch that sounds pretty bad. I hope he recovers from his ordeal.

What happened?

Geoengineering is probably a bad idea but I think if the world hits 3.0°C+ (God forbid), it might become the less bad option. Unless future AI can invent a vast carbon capture system that scales on a planetary level.

You should’ve just skied east. Vermont instead of Colorado. I’d say if you book a big ski trip months in advance then it might help to get a refundable option just in case. I’ve postponed or canceled a few trips before. I know you usually hit Breckenridge or Vail in early Feb.

I haven’t posted much this month because there hasn’t been much to post about except warmth and snowmelt. After a good winter, it’s been a very disappointing March.

Great news! It appears that BWI will be going with 1” for this event. I do think the airport may have gotten a few tenths more but this is good enough IMO. I don’t know if any LWX mets who are in charge of these records read this board (MillvilleWx maybe?), but I do appreciate them following through what I recommended and so I have to give them credit where it’s due. The reason why I cared so much is because this was an extraordinary event and I want the official record to reflect how it unfolded - from a midnight high of 76 to accumulating snow in the same day.

Looks like BWI changed it to an M, meaning they’re acknowledging that the data is missing for that day. I hope they figure something out eventually. I think they should split the difference between the nearest 1.0 and 1.4 and go with 1.2”. Sure it won’t be perfect but at the most they’ll be off by a few tenths. Better than going down in history as a false zero.

I’m guessing nobody bothered to measure until it was too late and everything had already melted. It’s a huge abdication of responsibility if that’s the case. They should revise it to what the nearest site measured - if they could revise the 2009-10 totals down months after the fact, then they can do the same here the other way around.

So BWI reported a mere trace of snow today while the next town over got over an inch?

Living further north does not give you more knowledge or authority on this topic nor on mid-Atlantic climo. You just don’t know what you’re talking about.

I remember there used to be a traffic cam near Manchester, MD (MD-30 at PA line) but I don’t know where to find it anymore. I wish I could see it because any higher terrain that gets good rates will probably get the best accumulation.

When was it 87 at McLean today? That number has to be from yesterday

He ran away like a chicken. I don’t care if it was 90 degrees the day before. If it gets cold enough and snows at a heavy enough rate then it can stick, even if it’s South Carolina. Of course we all know this but some of these fools need to have it repeated to them.

And again, all of this is happening after a midnight high of 73 in BWI, 77 in DCA and 76-77 in IAD.

I’ve never seen a forecast for a (midnight) high in the 70s with frozen precip later that same day (in this region). Not in my 24 years of tracking weather

March 2015 had a solid anafrontal storm, around 4-8” as far as I remember.

Winter is probably wrapped up by now in the lowlands, but it’s crazy to think that other years can bring a 1993 superstorm or March 1958 level HECS at this exact same time of the year. As for me my emotional investment in winter weather starts going down by mid March especially as we get spring weather, but I’ll still take a good snowstorm if it’s on the table.

A month ago there was an icy glacier over much of the region and now it’s straight to summer with the earliest 85 on record.

For a winter that had BN temps straight from November to February, it was clearly very disappointing in this region. Philly got 30” while BWI got 17 and DCA got 10”. Im not going to sugarcoat just to be positive or “realistic”, it definitely should’ve had at least one solid snowstorm (not just some sleety Feb 07 rehash) between the bay and the far west highlands. By the way, today felt great. In midwinter I’d hate this warmth but mid March I’ll take it.

How reliable is this forecast this far out? Looks like it wants a super Nino but this is only early March.