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Fozz

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Everything posted by Fozz

  1. Fozz
    Well, I may have spoken too soon. I'm going to trust the experts who just put me in a Blizzard Warning, and hope they are right.
  2. Fozz
    GFS would be a massive let down… how much should I weigh it at the 11th hour? GGEM also isn’t looking great. But the meso models are all systems go.
  3. Fozz
    Also temps in the area seem to be 33-34 with banding setting up. If the column can cool and if there’s nothing to bring in more warmth then things will be looking very good. I can see today potentially resembling an elevation storm from early December 2009 that I remember.
  4. Fozz
    I told my parents last night it might snow earlier than the forecasts are saying and they might not see much rain, and then they sent me a video a few minutes ago showing me the snow getting started. I also told them to expect 6-10” even while they were thinking 2-6” - and now LWX has them at 5-10” with more to the east. Now I know it’s still mixing and going back and forth in many spots, but I imagine those at higher elevations will be at an advantage before the evening.
  5. Fozz
    Man I came back north at the perfect time.
  6. Fozz
    I’ve really enjoyed the persistent pack we’ve had for the past month, even going back before the big storm. And it’s still around a foot deep even now after almost a month and a few smaller events.
  7. Fozz
    And just like that, the warnings are up.
  8. Fozz
    I think they’re waiting for the 12z suite to be finished but it’s clear as day that this storm will happen for much of the reason. Coastal areas really need the blizzard warning, because by then the public will take it very seriously.
  9. Fozz
    Feb 2006 was a hostile pattern as far as I remember.
  10. Fozz
    IMO it’s all about when the H5 low closes. In Feb 9-10, 2010, it passed under the region. But this time it closes just a little too late for the big totals. Hopefully it happens just a bit earlier than the models are saying.
  11. Fozz
    I remember not very long ago the exact spot that’s now in the 24”+ dark red was a nasty snow hole that kept getting screwed so many ways in December. But in the end, snow holes get filled up.
  12. Fozz
    Dude you’re getting buried in NYC. Enjoy.
  13. Fozz
    Measured 2” around an hour ago. Looks to be tapering off. Looking forward to the big one.
  14. Fozz
    And it’s not even close to being done at 48 so it’s going to be a beast. Hopefully it will beat last month’s storm.
  15. Fozz
    Ouch what happened?
  16. Fozz
    This almost happened to me last year when a potential HECS showed up for the second week of January while I was away. It sucks because you either have to miss a storm you’ve waited for years, or be seen as antisocial. In the end, the normie social obligations win.
  17. Fozz
    I was looking at the winds for coastal MA, and if Cape Cod remains all snow then it will be a brutal blizzard there. 12-18” with sustained winds 45 mph and gusts to hurricane force. In any case if this storm is even half decent for this region then the GFS is owed some massive kudos.
  18. Fozz
    I think they will. They can’t downplay this anymore.
  19. Fozz
    If the Cape manages to remain snow, it’s going to be a brutal blizzard there. I imagine those spots there are currently in a watch are going straight to Blizzard warnings.
  20. Fozz
    GFS is a Worcester bullseye 24”+… Unbelievable.
  21. Fozz
    I was ready to write it off as another OTS disappointment… even I’m not mentally ready for what might be coming. The NAM is probably overdone but it’s an incredible track and evolution.
  22. Fozz
    So is this a blizzard?
  23. Fozz
    Snow is accumulating on the roads and elsewhere now, down to 32°F.
  24. Fozz
    I can’t stand these TWC names and I’m so glad that NWS still refuses to acknowledge them. They are a cheesy marketing gimmick and always were. Thankfully I don’t think any TWC name after 2015 really caught on with the public like “Nemo” and “Juno” did.
  25. Fozz
    Snow is coming down hard, but not sticking since it’s above freezing. It’s probably accumulating at the airport and in the hills.
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