Fozz

I vaguely remember seeing that Foxboro received 2'+ from Dec 2003. I think one of the TWC mets was there. It would've been a good time for me to live where I am now.

I'm considering a weekend ski trip somewhere in NH, especially since they allow fellow New England residents without too much trouble.

December 5, 2002 at 32:12. The start of an excellent winter. I even remember when the forecast was initially for snow showers, before getting better and better as it got closer.

Why? Last winter was atrocious here in SNE, but I enjoyed some really nice powder days in Wildcat and especially Stowe, because up north it was much closer to normal.

Around 18" to date, including the 5" in October that I missed.

Maybe a lot of people moved from further south.

I'm looking for reasons why this might fail IMBY but can't seem to find any. Perhaps a dry slot or coastal front from hell would screw things up, but I don't see that reducing my total to less than maybe 8".

That's exactly what I did last year when I returned from Thanksgiving just in time for the early December storm. Rescheduled for an earlier flight, and arrived just as the storm was getting good.

Yeah it seems like our heaviest rates will be pretty late at night. Midnight to 3am.

Another improvement is that I don't see much of a coastal front compared to previous runs. Just a stone cold shellacking.

Absolutely incredible NAM.

I'm pretty sure that's still snow. Just might not accumulate that well for those few hours. And that's if it doesn't shift back SE.

grrrr.... I'm on the wrong side of that little front. Must be a boundary layer because the sounding otherwise looks good.

Sounds like a very mid-Atlantic mindset. I'm used to thinking in much of the same way for many years considering where I came from.

This is way, way inland at 54.

That surface low looks to be right at the benchmark. Perfect track for SNE.

My understanding of H5 vort maps isn't the best, but when I compared 12z at 72 hours to 18z at 66 hours, there seemed to be a clear south shift of the best forcing, and it seems to be due to a stronger high to the north. In case I am reading this wrong, what else should I look for to better understand the dynamics?

Winter storm watch is up for many. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 345 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020 CTZ002>004-MAZ017>023-RIZ001>008-150445- /O.NEW.KBOX.WS.A.0004.201217T0000Z-201217T1800Z/ Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Northern Bristol MA- Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA- Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA- Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI- Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI- Block Island RI- Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, Putnam, Willimantic, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, Foster, Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham 345 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 or more inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph along the immediate coast. * WHERE...Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts. * WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow developing by Wednesday evening and becoming heavy at times Wednesday night into early Thursday. Snow tapering off by Thursday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$

What is your reason for thinking anyone north of Hartford and PVD will get less than 8"?

I'm fine with this, assuming the QPF is realistic with the track it takes for this storm. But I don't want this any further south.

Honestly I’d be thrilled with half of that total, and I think that’s well within our reach.

Wow there’s a Fozz jackpot right there.... can we please lock this up??

IMO — 10”+ is major. 20”+ is historic.

Wow... an amazing run.