I keyed into several sentences from the NYC Forecast Discussion and edited. Here are three:
..overall model performance this winter has been subpar regarding similar precipitation type (PTYPE) events, with
too much wintry precip forecast versus actual observations..
..a reasonable worst case scenario with a snowier outcome is for 1-3 inches east and 3-4
inches from NYC on west..
..of note is the 12z European ECMWF Ensemble EPS mean probability for greater than 3 inches is generally less than 30
percent..
So I wouldn't get my hopes up for heavy snow in NYC for the Wednesday-Thursday event. Unfortunately for snow lovers, only 8.7 inches of snow recorded at Central Park, New York to date this winter.. Anyway-good luck..there is still time this winter and I'll watch from Florida :).