At least the GFS op has teased with a potential hail mary event on recent runs. Yesterday it looked like maybe around the 5th. The 6z run now has one on the 9th. Clipper incoming at hour 384!
Not at all. All guidance has been heading this way for days now. I don't think anyone here is surprised. I just think its fitting if it ends this way. There was really never any tangible reason to believe the pattern would be notably different going forward, outside of shorter wavelengths.
Just to expand the futility area a bit, Philly is at 0.3". Their worst snowfall season was 1972-73, recording a trace.
As of now, this winter would rank second, just ahead of 1997-98, with 0.8".
Just looked at some snow obs for down south. 1-4", with a lone report of 5. Mostly in the 1-3 range. Pretty much as expected, except for those buying into the ridiculous NAM runs.
Decent event for them considering the horrific pattern.
Yawn. This h5 look is as bad as we have seen all winter.
Lets just hope we don't get our seasonal flip to a -NAO until June, where the only damage it can do is make things warmer.