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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Yeah not a clipper. Nice timing with the upper level features. The region is gonna be under the left exit region of the jet streak with PVA as the shortwave approaches. With cold air in place, perfect for a quick shot of moderate to heavy snow.
  2. CAPE
  3. CAPE
    6z GFS expanded/shifted north the southern precip max
  4. CAPE
    Latest blend. Best so far.
  5. CAPE
    The very beginning of March doesn't look too promising. Roll that pattern forward and there may be another chance in the 7-15th window.
  6. CAPE
    6z GEFS
  7. CAPE
    This is still on the table.
  8. CAPE
    18z EPS
  9. CAPE
    Euro always seems to do something wonky at this timeframe. Ask the NE crew a couple days ago when they were all jumping off the ledge. It had next to nothing in your yard and like 3" here for a run lol.
  10. CAPE
    Where? PSU's yard? Forecast high for greater DC-Baltimore area is 40 with plenty of sun.
  11. CAPE
    Other than padding stats a tiny bit, what's the difference? With mid Feb sun and and high temps of 40, 3 inches will disappear just as quickly as 1-2.
  12. CAPE
    Yes, looking forward to yet another beach chase. At least we can get some legit cold in a Nina at times. The typical 'domestic' cold in a Nino doesn't seem to work so much anymore. Once again we see LR guidance advertise the epic sustained NA block in conjunction with an amped -EPO with cross polar flow, and as usual it's a unicorn.
  13. CAPE
    Well, he is chronically hyperbolic among his other issues. Not sure why anyone bothers reading his crap.
  14. CAPE
    The blend suggesting 1-2 the last couple runs. Seems reasonable. This is a fairly moisture starved fast mover, and not very cold either. Boom is probably 3 in the lowlands.
  15. CAPE
    Go ahead and pass lol. I'm way good with that outcome. Never kick a few inches of snow out of bed, even if it only lasts a few mins. Better than more rain, or sunny and 55. We have 6 months of summer on the doorstep.
  16. CAPE
    That is a tenuous way to get a legit block. Transient -NAO, sure. Guidance did indicate a retrograding Scandi ridge for a time, which is a path to a legit, sustained NA block. Clearly that idea was wrong though.
  17. CAPE
    Damn I wish. Jonesing for one. Drank a KBS though, and now sipping on an old fashioned.
  18. CAPE
    Weed(or 120s) clearly aren't working for me.
  19. CAPE
    Then stay the fuck home. No one here cares what triggers you or what kind of day you are having.
  20. CAPE
    Thanks chuck.
  21. CAPE
    Snow TV in Easton for maybe an hour. Looked at my security cam at home and there was a coating on the grass and tree branches. Better than nothing.
  22. CAPE
    Same sort of signal on the 6z GEFS. Getting NS energy to dig far enough south to phase in time has been challenging this winter. The weaker than expected look in the NA probably doesn't help for this period. Still 10 days out.
  23. CAPE
    0z EPS v GEFS for Saturday. GEPS is closer to the EPS. If everything breaks right, maybe a light to moderate event for at least part of the region.
  24. CAPE
    This weekend/early next week is still on the table. Guidance still hasn't resolved the storm for tonight.
  25. CAPE
    Pretty close to NE MD PUMMELED!
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