40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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If it sucks, then I'll just go back to sleep. -
As Tip would say, the cinema and dopamine drip.
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Who cares at this point. Just watch the radar
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IMHO, if guidance is still reversing trends this late in the game, its simply going to be a nowcast aspect that models can not resolve. This doesn't necessarily mean it works out favorably either...its not a weenieism to ignore unfavorable trends, but rather an acknowledgement that if it's not resolved at 10 hours lead, then maybe it won't be.
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I don't think I will...greater shot of band being NW of me.
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Gotta think a deformation area will be near that QPF gradient in these more robust solutions
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For everyone, or just western areas? I heard the same thing about the NAM, and it was worse north.
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Could that be a sign this ends up a major blizzard in your opinion?
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The QPF on the N end is compressed more, but the heavier echoes are tossed more to the south....if the H7 low closes fast enough, this will be be fine bc mid level banding will have higher totals north of QPF, but if the mid levels don't get going fast enough, its a slightly worse solution for northern folks.
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I liked 12z better...if this continues, fine...but this provisional solution is not as good for me.
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No, Monday, but I didn't buy it at first. I thought I would be ramping up from 6-12"...
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The snow map actually cut back a bit in my area, but haven't looked at mid levels.
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That is where I thought this was headed with my original 6-12" call on Tuesday, but that convective dual low crap ended up real.
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That is what I noted to scooter with respect to the GFS speeding that process up at 12z...NAM slowed it down.
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Looked like it was loading up a N stream goliath after the mid month warm up.
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If you value more accurate snow maps, F5 weather...if you just want better overall graphics, then weathermodels.
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I agree...the higher end totals are reserved for interior eastern Mass IMO. That's why I made that other graphic in my write up denoting that.
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If Holliston gets 10", sure.
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Maybe a lolli to 15" where the wind upslopes off of the balk head a bit.
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I actually cut back a hair...I was general 6-12", but that dual low limits this a bit.
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Final Call https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/final-call-for-fast-moving-winter-storm.html
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Cool...I was comparing to 06z. I mean, it looks fine...just trying to clarify.
