40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I remember I was commuting to Devens back in Jan 2003, as my reserve unit was training to deploy after being mobilzed. Wilmington was pretty much on the right side of things, with about a foot of concrete, but over in Ayer, it was about 18" of powder. I drove down to NC and we picked up a guy in PVD on the way down and it was just a barren wasteland hahaha.
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I had that one in mind lol I think where I am now made out better than Wilmington did....I remember even the next town over, in Billerica, had a couple of more inches of paste than I did.
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I was thinking like a January 2003 vibe when I wrote up the early season portion of the outlook.
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That was my early season call, too. Hopefully more like a I495 thing, and not a Berkshires thing.
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I'd probably end up having DCF enter my life after destroying all of the kids toys...do irreparable damage to therapy clients, the whole works.
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You would think at some point that I am going to catch a break, but I guess I have been paying for March 2018.
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I would absolutely go unhinged.
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"Looks great at H5"....famous last words.
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I mean mid month onwards... -
I never waivered... what a first outlook.
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My yard work crucible pretty much ended this past weekend.....not too much left, but I took full advantage of the mild interludes.
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He's passively aggressively trolling Kev....can you come up with a marginally humorous meme for that?
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I'll comment a lot more once I have access to the data.....totally valid point on your part.
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Its not only about color shades on the H5 maps....its about the heights relative to the ambient envt....its tough to get warm with very high heights to your north, unless you have a raging PAC jet, which we do not in that image.
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My guess is relatively cool with the cold bleeding down from central Canada and being pinned into place underneath the block.
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Oh, I saw 1969 and immediately assumed Feb.
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Yea, I had about 3'.
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I'm kind of glad that I haven't started my subscriptions yet.....I remain on an oasis of sanity amidst the AMWX sea of neurosis.
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They have their xmas party in the afternoon?
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Maybe 6-10'ers, too....
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Gonna need a bigger boat.
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Yea, its a sheared-gradient pattern until about mid month.
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I am not worried at all about suppression given the Pacific. Totally different setup from 2010. Now, maybe as the block is developing we get some of John's gradient saturation, which could cause a sheared wave to go south due to attenuation, but that is different. Its more about getting the NAO to wax and wane for higher end storm potential....you want to avoid stagnation.
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Yes, mid-month towards the holidays offers higher end potential. Agreed.
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Not to mention that the block will relax a bit towards mid-month, which is normally when we see the higher end potential.
