Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    72,413

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Trust me man, my original stuff from November gets graded as is, but I will not hesitate to blog about how we are doomed if I see fit. And if Friday still looks like crap tomorrow, then I will change my tune.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't changed a thing with respect to my thoughts on the season. December didn't work out...I've moved on.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just made a first call 2 hours ago, and explicitly stated that I was nervous about it and hedging....how should I have conveyed it to sound less arrogant? What call was I arrogant about and refused to change? If this looks like shit tmw AM, my mind will change.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    It has nothing to do with that. I'm not sure what that has to do with anything....I don't control the weather.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    As is, the mid level snows are near I95.......I don't think a 75-100mi correction west if that vort gets sampled stronger is a particularly tall task.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see it the same way provided the initialization of that vort is correct...we should know soon.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm obviously nervous and can see how this can end up a nuisance...but more often than not, the wild convective goose changes end up more fact than fiction. Maybe it will work out like that this time....we should know in just under 24 hours, maybe even tonight.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great visual to illustrate how your sense of humor usually lands with the majority of the forum.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, all of the ensembles deal with the same ingest...if they all are underestimating the vort, then it shouldn't be a surprise. If it still looks like this in 24 hours, okay....but I have a hunch those 970s on the western end of the envelop may gain more credence.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    We'll probably be high fiving online at 115am tonight.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    About 40oz of my first call
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know the clown maps are 2-4", but I think it would be a little more than that...like 3-6".
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a little better here...the early reads are so dramatic.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Need to see H7 and ensembles....
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Slow, timed release through seat of pants
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll let you know in about 10-15 minutes.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, the maps are better than when they were totally made of arrows lol
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not a pro anything, aside from social worker, and am pretty nervous about that map, but trusting my gut here.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Classic weenie goggles focusing on the higher end outcome.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think those numbers are that big if this comes together as it should....
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    If current guidance is to be believed, sure.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is my first crack at it. Final shot at it on Thursday. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-fast-moving-major-winter.html
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEFS illustrate this nicely in the mean.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even that GFS solution would place the best snows around I95 from Taunton to Boston up through the N shore, looking at H7. Not that bad.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    No. The GFS just grazes...its not LBSW. System still maxes out NE.
×
×
  • Create New...