Both IMO, but greater confidence in PNA.
I feel like the one mistake that I may have made is not emphasizing the rapid decay of la nina enough with respect to February, but we'll see....the friendly Pacific in January was a no-brainer...and I have a big March, but February maybe somewhat better than advertised given the apparent decay of la nina.
This season is a looooong way from over.
One thing that was clear to me dating back to last fall was that the Pacific would behave in January.
This is our big dog window in a about a bit over a week to like the 20th.
Yea, I have mentioned....I was commuting out to Devens getting ready to deploy with marines, and it was like 18" of powder there, compared to about a foot of cement in Wilmington.
I'd rather that, than a foot of powder to 18" a the coast.
TBH, I would rather take my chances with a meh airmass in January then arctic air....I am just so done with CJ steam lines and subby slivers. Not to mentioned that I'd take a foot of paste over 18" of dust.
Well, if you want a good winter in SNE, your odds are much better if December doesn't suck..that can't be denied. But there are exceptions and I have stated why this may be one.
Yea, that is a page right out of the 2007-2008 playbook with a better airmass....but the primary originally making it to MI won't cut it with that airmass in SNE. No margin for error...even as we approach peak climo.
To each their own...I mean, I will certainly take it over 90 and humid....but I just don't care to freeze after being blue balled by mother nature all of last March and now this December. I mean...I have had one warning event (Feb 25) since the blizzard that bent me over last January. Sorry, but that just isn't worth it...give me warmth.