40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I'll still take that if it results in more 30"ers that pork me with 13". I'll gladly trade a few 6"ers that leave me with 3".
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Low hanging fruit -
Wow...you must keep in good shape. How is the gag reflex?
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I had about that when I left around 7.
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Not my home....station still reporting.
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Stunner....just floored.
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Location of the greatest SST anomalies in the crudest sense..you can also look at OLR and VP. I have plenty on that in my outlooks. But I don't mean to imply that there aren't exceptions...obviously nothing operates in a vacuum and there are other hemispheric drivers to consider, but ENSO structure is a key player assuming decent intensity. The position isn't as important for very weak events because obviously the forcing is weaker, thus the relationship is more diffuse.
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It's not a crap shoot....especially once they have some intensity. It determines where the forcing sets up to a large extent.
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Man, I am as sick of this thread as I am la nina.
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89-90 would fit right in with my current strings of winter....lame and unremarkable, but not awful.
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Enjoy, Don.
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No....probably moderate or strong (not super).
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No way. That was east-based. Pretty confident it will be west-based.
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It will cause me to feel every bit as indifferent about them as always.
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Messy cruiser?
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Makes sense....have a last second miracle trend so that its close enough for me to make out the fingerprint of old man winter as he flips me the byrd.
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Well, its done a pretty good job predicting my future for nearly 5 years.
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I'd kill for one right now, which is saying something...
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Good point.
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There is a reason that January averages more snowfall than December. I agree that the cold looks to continue loading to the west...no shock, there.
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I didn't imply that it was frigid, but the point is that somewhat above average at our latitude during peak climo is not necessarily a deal breaker, as you implied it was.
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I never said that....you know yourself that a weak el nino is out money ENSO phase. I was speaking more on a personal level because the last several years have been fine for most of SNE TBH...especially your area. But I am not "out" on this season. I still think that there will be to hell to pay at some point in January.
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I've seen much more intimidating "torches"...
