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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. It's so frustrating how brutal December has been. Kev is right that snowfall is more enjoyable this month for a variety of reasons, but unfortunately it's just not a snowy month where we live. March is better.
  2. How difficult is it to realize that an analog from the 1960's will not yield as cold of a result at the surface? Its not rocket science and it's pretty easy to account for. I use them liberally and have had 2 awful seasonal calls in 8 years. That is at least as good?as any other method.
  3. 6 hourly method is total storm snowfall. Just distinguish between snowstorm snowfall and depth. Problem solved. It's totally normal to have a 27" depth after a 30" snowfall. Your storm total snowfall is 30" with a 27" depth.
  4. I would be pretty suprised if the first week of January is warm, regardless of what guidance is currently doing.
  5. It's not climate change...enough with that toxic vomit. Sometimes things don't work out in a good pattern.
  6. I quietly still have some hope, but it's not worth discussing. Just wait and see. SWFE is still an option IMO.
  7. I never liked the look of the ULL in se Canada, but I tricked myself into getting excited.
  8. I had one of the more benign December depictions around TBH.
  9. I never thought the medium range would fail this spectacularly, though...not trying to imply that.
  10. I would be suprised, but could I be wrong? Of course...and I'll be wrong again. But I am relatively confident that that will not be the case. That said, expect a very mild period during January...I am also confident of that. It should be a very dynamic month with drastic changes. .
  11. What I mean is the sensible impact was rushed...a favorable pattern did indeed develop in December, but it was still biased towards the interior and the coast didn't cash in. As dissapointing as this is, I feel as though everything is on track as was originally outlined. However, I am no longer as concerned about having underestimated this season as far as cold and seasonal snowfall.
  12. January will rock. Mark my words. I was always tepid on December.
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