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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, this is what I was getting at it in my exchange with scooter...I know he is aware, just saying. I made an annotation illustrating this last week. Often times at this latitude, the most detrimental impact of RNA on snowfall is that is provides deconstructive interference for SWs, rather than rendering it too warm to snow...the latter is more common points south.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sorry to hear about your diagnosis. Get well and here's a to a better weather pattern in the new year.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    People forget that even the great seasons have a shitty month...February and March 2011 were meh....mid January to mid Feb 1996....bleh...hell, December through most of January 2014-2015, and even March 2015.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    @Snowcrazed71I apologize for posting your PM, but in the future, please do not DM me a slew of insults. If you do not have the balls to call me names publicly, then don't do it period. You are taking this too personal, man. I have nothing against you...I was just trolling you because you were heated.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    The thing is....when you lose a significant portion of the early winter, and then end up near average, it implies a pretty damn good period or two.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the essence of what I missed in December....the RNA was deeper and less variable. The lower heights also hung around AK a bit longer than I had thought early on in the month. Pretty small misses in the grand scheme of things have a very big sensible impact and can really flush a forecast.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think he over embellishes in an attempt to derive humor from a sea of weather shit.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    We really only had two stick-bomb winters when your kids were growing up....2006-2007, and 2011-2012.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Take that, and stick in your deep, dark no-no place!
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, that is a subjective ratter.....I am speaking of a statistical ratter in terms of total seasonal snowfall.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I disagree, but we'll see. Stratosphere dependent.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its been dry in large part because of that RNA....even when the NAO block developed, we had the compression between the NAO ridge to the north, and RNA ridge to the south. It would not have been dry if the RNA were just a little less prevalent.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that is what killed us....even if it had reached between -1 and -2 nadir, we probably would have seen significant snow with that NAO block.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is why seasonal forecasting is sooooo difficult. 1970 was one of my December analogs, and its really didn't evolve too much differently, but the RNA and NAO being in perfect synch porked us out of the snow. Obviously it was warmer, too...that was over 50 years ago.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. Get it out of the way, sooner or later we won't have to hear you chirping us incessantly about regression.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I need to see early Feb to go ratter territory just because I expect the stratosphere to get active around that time....if that isn't happening, and it looks bleak, then yes....rat it is.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    He isn't perfect, but one thing that I will say for DT is that he doesn't utilize forecasts as clickbait like so many other internet mets.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is the complete inverse pattern of 2014-2015.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I am no where near that. However, if we somehow make it into the second week of January without anything significant on the imminent horizon, then I will be worried about some of my seasonal forecast ranges.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Light Snow 29.7
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely agree.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly don't care...in fact, whereas I work in the AM, CT can have the inch.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    The 18z has the right idea....pin the good snows in CT, and pork my area.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    The RNA is so prominent that the blocking is what makes it possible to even snow in NNE.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Believe me, take a look at most of the NFL owners....just lucky sperm that are born, roll out of bed and collect billions.
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