40/70 Benchmark

It depends why you are doing it......I like to see how accurate I am when I compose it in late October/ early November. While I will adjust ideas in subsequent blog posts, the original outlook gets graded as is from November. At this point, I am going to need a big event or two to catch up prior to the January thaw, or else my seasonal snowfall totals will likely be too high. Still very possible we catch up, but I am obviously frustrated at this point.

At like day 11.....have you noticed a pattern?

Here come a week's worth of isobaric orgasms over minimum central pressure output, which will attempt to drown out the elephant in the room being that an unimpressive amount of snow will fall where most people live. But hey, Hogscrotum Bay in downeast Maine reads an impressive baro! Wonder how high the tides will be at Marriedmycousin Light-

I get it, it's just that I have had four snowfalls, all around an inch and I work this week....rather just hold off til a decent event.

I honestly would rather not, and I really do mean that.

Very frustrating first third of the season. The pattern def was subpar and less favorable than I had anticipated, but it wasn't as bad as the complete and utter absence of significant SNE snow would lead one to believe. December has been warm, I get it, but the RNA flex at the same, precise time that the NAO block set up was just horrible timing. Be that as it may, still had some shots that either just didn't come together in time, or got shredded to crap. The fact that there are no instances of a December that featured such a prominent NAO block during a weak to mod la nina, yet still produced no significant SNE snow is a testament to the fact that there was some bad luck involved.

Just like when last January was a torch, but the positive anomalies where achieve nearly entirely at night....like the vast majority of global warming, ironically enough.

But when the skies cleared out at night, it plummeted to 13 instead of 18

1" Final.

1/2" down here.

Huge flakes right now...accumulating quickly.

Snowing here now with a coating over the ice 32.7 Time to watch out for the change rest of NE Mass

No question that Euro's lame, mild, boring ass solution will be closer to reality.....what a swallow-an-uzi evolution.

You have a ways to go...still frz rain here.

Yea, if you noticed....I checked out this week.....didn't care to blog on 2" in CT, a slight glaze Xmas AM, or a supposed inch or two in this area this AM. Mother nature can take the nuisance waves, sit on them and rotate.

In this pattern, it isn't exciting until its within 72 hours.

The high was 33 here. ...cold day in my book.

Where was this 24 hours ago...

Yea, I'm done with everything else, at this point. Wake me when we have consensus of a warning event at 72 hours.

Gotcha. Hopefully if that happens, I end up north of the gradient because I was also significantly below normal last year, while SNE was raking it in. I have been caught in the middle for several years where as I am N of the goods when SNE gets it, and S of the goods when NNE gets it.

I live how he covers his ass with the "when/where" at the end.

That is a perfectly viable prediction, but it's not climo. Unless you mean in a regression to the mean sense...

Okay, but surely you understand why predicting "record snows" anywhere as the climatic norm is a bit confusing....its fine to predict an unfavorable outcome, but that was articulated strangely.

I mean....if this is climate change, than the PNW will love the new weenie world order....hell of a way to run a warming climate out there.

Well, record NNE snows with very little in SNE is not the climatic normal...more snow in NNE is.