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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    You hate that kid lol
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    This has been one of the more useless NAO blocks that I can recall.....shreds everything but the cutters. I get that it prevented us from experiencing nice weather...I mean in terms of snowfall.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    2017 a few days before xmas.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    That rendition ended in a yuletide restraining order from the merry elf, Christine.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just mean that it isn't going to be like a 2019-2020, or 2011-2012 death star parked over the NP. Its also likely to fragment again during the second half.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is exactly why I don't bother tracking that crap...if it happens to snow at my house, great.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see the other side of the argument.....record warm fall followed by a very warm December during a healthy la nina season screams rat....but, there are conflicting signals because the blocky December and coolish Novie following a warm October does not. We will see what happens, but my money is on the latter indicator.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree. He was using the EPS....which as Forky just pointed out, has been having to correct milder.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Watching DT's latest video, I got the impression that he feels that the cold will bleed east after the New Year, but that the boundary will stall out down in the mid atl...with overrunning from the OHRV into the mid atl. Looked cold and dry up here. Not sure I buy the gradient setting up that far south....at least I hope not.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I just don't care enough to at this point. I need a break from that...probably until near the NY.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not even scanning models for threats right now because I just can't place any stock into it.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can't remember a period in which my confidence in guidance was lower. The only thing that I can say with confidence is that this isn't going to be one of those super PV seasons, January thaw not withstanding.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    It is, and posts like that are great....but there isn't any doubt some of his posts are just meant to break balls. lol
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    88-89 was averagish....at least where I was.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the first half of the 80s were better....the late 80s early 90's was the absolute pits. The only good winter in the second half of that decade was 1986-1987. 81-82 was very good, and 82-83 and 83-84 were salvageable.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    It doesn't necessarily need to....but it will relax from record levels.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one accused him of trolling there...that is a good post.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not saying that it can't be made up...what I mean by a loss is that it wasn't fulfilling for winter enthusiasts.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that's mainly due to guidance initially trying to rush the MJO into phase 8, which I was always skeptical of.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, when you spend a month writing, you hope to not just flush it down the toilet when its all wrong lol As far as being upset, I think we are all angered by that which we can not control at one time or another....doesn't mean that I don't understand that I can't control it. Believe me, December is proof of the fact that I don't control it.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, you are off to a good start...we'll leave it at that for now.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    December was a complete loss form SNE points southward...that isn't really debatable. Again, its frustrating because the blocking materialized, but unfortunately, so did a record breaking RNA at the same, precise time.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    It has, just a little further north than you had thought...Brian and Jeff are doing well. lol
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    This seemed like a preemptive back pat, but perhaps I read too much into it.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Per my definition of it, I was right. Its going to be in the upper 30s on Xmas.
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