All guidance has it not closing off at H7 until in the GOM....I think that limits the potential for major deformation banding well NW, but it could give a quick boost to NE areas of SNE on the way out.
Yet another event in which I am probably too far in one direction....could see you and scooter getting like 7", while I get like 3".
I'm at peace with it, at this point.
I guess I wasn't that unnerved by the EURO going a bit east at 00z BC I expected it, and likewise RE west shift at 06z. I don't really care about the GEM and NAM.
Its not ideal if you're looking to max out on ceiling, but I think that ship sailed a couple of days ago. Its fine for a light to moderate event that jacks CJ land.
Not sure that is a fair statement....as far as spiking goes, we have a borderline advisory/warning event, which I feel like warrants spiking in a season that has yet to fully cover the grass in most of the area.
Get a grip-