40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Good advice anyday.
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@STILL N OF PIKEDifference is that I attributed it more to general RNA, as opposed to ridge positioning once the PNA built in. I didn't think that that major low would end up screwing us as horribly as it did in the longer term. I was very happy with my medium and short range effort
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I cited back in November that it would be an up and in look for December, but I just didn't expect next to nothing within 50mi of the coast.
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Looks realistic....crushes you and fringes me. UK is the last 5 years in a nutshell.
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Which 5 were west based? 14-15, 09-10, 04-05, 02-03 and either 77-78 or 57-58?
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Good.
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We also have good patterns that don't have anything wrong with them and just fail to produce.
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Right, but all I'm saying is that the pattern that people were excited about materialized for the most part. We got a huge NAO block and the PNA went positive. Details like the ridge being a bit too far to the west and the PV getting stuck out there are details you worry about closer in.
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Pattern didn't suck at all. The resultant snowfall in our back yards did
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I give it a D with 2" on the month...not an F because at least I got a coating the night before xmas eve and xmas didn't torch.
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Agree.
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I'm just laying naked under the Christmas tree...mistletoe toe directly over head and no one insight except for the KU book
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Hey, I admitted yesterday it's a reach...but that is the luxury of not having your living depend on this stuff...you can have some fun and not be so close to the vest.
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@Ji
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A watch requires an adjustment?
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Most storms fall somewhere along a Miller A/B hybrid continuum. All I meant in my blog is that I don't think they will close off in the GOM.
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I ignored the EPS in my blog yesterday.
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Ironically enough...there was a bit more blocking during December than I had expected, yet we ended up witha little less snow relative to my expectation near the coast. Strange month...
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HECS watch this month.
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Yea, I at least let New Year's pass...
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Sit tight guys....its coming. Yesterday's update...
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I'm hoping for some OES for my snow starved se MA brethren.
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Just completely ignore.
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Wolfie and I have been noting it, too...odd.
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First time I have ever done this, but I ignored the EPS and went all GEFS. Its handled the Pacific better and is a better match for the shift in tropical forcing.
