All Activity

This site seems to be pretty updated. If someone has a better tracking site then post in here. https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html From my amateur knowledge on this you want big Kp (usually over Kp of 6 gives us a chance) and big negative Bz values. I’m not sure how much the other stuff matters but maybe it does.

Getting close to locking in a trip to the Cville/Statunton area tonight. Aurora is finicky but thinking it could be worth the whirl. Vibes seem to be good.

G4 geomagnetic storm ongoing right now. Hope some of us can get some pics to post

Bz at -25 too.....you know this is going to line up perfect and then we're gonna get stuck in clouds.

We're currently in a period of very high solar activity, with Uncle Sam issuing a warning for a level four solar storm impacting the Earth. I'm expecting to see the Northern Lights again locally when skies clear over the next few nights. 1998/1999/2000 all had pretty high solar activity, with 1998 following a big El Nino. I don't really like any of the more recent La Ninas except for maybe 2011 or 2022 as similar to this event. 1988 also had subsurface La Nina conditions when the surface showed El Nino in Spring, with high solar, like this year. Not really a fan of any of the other La Ninas from 1960 to 1990, although something like 1970 or 1971 may not be terrible.

I see that. KP index 7.7 Will these clouds tend to dissipate after sunset? Moon phase is good too.

This!

Dude…. Ahhhh. Why can’t we just have clear skies. This is potentially epic. .

Outside of any rogue storms, you won’t see any days consistent with dews in the 60s thru MDW. Accept and deal. And your 6” is gone…

I doubt there’s ever been a year when you’ve had more 70 or 80 or 90’s than here

Same here

Man, I can't wait for this. We're doing ok, not getting fried/blow touched for now. Need some lingering stationary/back door/cold fronts Hurricanes/T-storms/Tropical stuff off the E coast to keep things in check. A tornado or two wouldn't hurt... Let the Phils keep rolling and Birds start training camp and we'll be in Fall mode in a jiffy... 47F

Prepping for a short drive north to view the Aurora tonight. Looks like a very strong event is coming together. If I didn’t have two little ones I’d be heading up north of Duluth but I think an area near Cambridge MN will have to do.

https://www.spaceweather.com/ SEVERE GEOMAGNETIC STORM--NOW!! The first of six CMEs hurled toward Earth by giant sunspot AR3664 just hit our planet's magnetic field. The impact on May 10th at 1645 UT jolted magnetometers around the world (e.g., 108 nT in Boulder CO) and sparked a severe (G4-class) geomagnetic storm. This storm is underway now. More CMEs are following close behind (see below) and their arrival could extend the storm into the weekend. Stay tuned! CME impact alerts: SMS Text UPDATE--SIX CMEs HURLED TOWARD EARTH: The number of CMEs heading for Earth keeps increasing. The total is now six following this morning's X3.9-class flare from giant sunspot AR3664. All six storm clouds are captured in this time-lapse movie from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO): The two bright objects are Jupiter (left) and Venus (right). The CMEs will miss those planets and hit Earth instead. According to a NOAA forecast model, the first three CMEs could merge to form a "Cannibal CME." Cannibal CMEs form when fast-moving CMEs overtake and gobble up slower CMEs in front of them. Internal shock waves created by such CME collisions do a good job sparking geomagnetic storms when they strike Earth's magnetic field.

Maybe. North is best as usual.

Dry here-rain ended around 7am and hasn't been able to get back in

That's a given

Hellz yeah...a little more than a month to go and we start losing daylight again!

Give me days like this until June 18th please

ugh yeah I just wish we could at least have normal temps and sunshine though lol

Probably because it’s like 1800 miles from you. lol

52 and drizzle

We will revisit 6/20 at the solstice

I thought that + part of the cycle was supposed to be ending soon? Hmmm lol When did the PDO switch to negative though, was that around 2017?

No, the AMO is currently positive and very strongly positive at that