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50 degree low here this morning

Yeah, the warm up this week turned into more of an over the top one than the models were showing last week. So the warmest departures will be up in Canada like we have been seeing so often. The usual warm spots will see their first 90° potential. But the onshore influence remains east of NYC. June 2 to 9 new run June 2 to 9 old run

I agree with all of this.

I don't remember this smoke from Canada ever in my 46 years of life. Maybe the haze in the 90's was smoke? I'm definitely not saying it's some conspiracy. I'd like to know why now and never before. Or was i just not noticing it years ago? Cloudy with thick smoke and 56

Yup. Yesterday was last day till mid autumn

The global temperatures that I am citing are directly related to the ones experienced across the CONUS. The days are long past when the concept of a warming climate remains an abstraction. Now it dictates the ranges of winter temperatures and patterns along with other seasons.This is why the winters across the globe and the CONUS are much warmer with each new jump in global temperatures. The idea is that these baseline jumps in temperatures are permanent across the globe. But the door is always open for very high end volcanic activity which would shift us back temporarily to colder regimes of the past. Though after a number of years we would revert warmer again. This storm track shift to warmer and further north is still a work in progress after 7 seasons with the record low snowfall totals. I think it’s possible the there could be some shift in the way the Pacific is warming which could lead to benchmark snowstorm tracks returning from time to time. But I don’t think it’s very likely the record 2010-2018 with the 50 to 100 year concentration of KU Benchmark tracks will return absent major volcanism. Through the 1970s the world was still in a much colder climate. This allowed the CONUS to have the #1 coldest winter since 1895 in 1978-1979. The CONUS also experienced their 7th coldest winter in 1977-1978 and 12th coldest in 1976-1977. The Northeast recorded their #5 coldest winter in 1976-1977 and 11th coldest in 1977-1978. Our first baseline jump in temperatures across the world occurred in 1982-1983. Across the CONUS the coldest winters of this era were 1983-1984 at #18 and 1984-1985 at #19 coldest. For the Northeast the coldest winter of this era was 1993-1994 which ranked as #13 coldest since 1895. The next global baseline jump in temperatures occurred in 1997-1998 and was much larger than 1982-1983. So the coldest CONUS winter of this era was 2009-2010 which ranked at #22 coldest since 1895. The coldest Northeast winter of this era was 2014-2015 which ranked as #22 coldest. Another major baseline temperature jump happened in 2015-2016. So the coldest winter of this era was 2018-2019 at #84 coldest for the CONUS. The most recent even larger baseline jump in temperatures started in 2023-2024. Our coldest CONUS winter so far was 2024-2025 at #104 coldest. This past winter was also the 27 warmest on record for the CONUS even with the coldest temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere focusing into the CONUS in January. But December was so warm for the CONUS at #4 warmest that is balanced out the winter average to much warmer.

There's a large area of below normal SSTs east of us into SE Canada while drought conditions are present in the plains and western regions. I wonder if modeled heat waves in the LR will keep getting muted for our region because of this.

It was nice for like 3 hours between the morning rain and then the stinger on the back end, and then misery mist the rest of the day, even for central areas. So phail overall except for maybe the bluefish in Nantucket sound. It's not going to be great in either nne or sne this weekend. One gets drenched, the other gets clouds with frequent showers.

Yeah, looks like a brief warm up this week before we get another cooler weekend with onshore flow and rain. So a continuation of the May theme into June. The upper low keeps returning to the Northeast.

February 1983 Megalopolis event was very good for my area (about 18"), but January 2016 was a fringe job....I got like 2" of pixie dust. Too bad the southeast ridging wasn't as strong in this "new climate" as it was back in 1983 ; )

Wonder how my plants will take the frost this morning…

For my current location, you can probably exchange 1995-1996 for 2000-2001...my area now did much worse in the Jan 7, 1996 blizzard and much better in the March 5, 2001 event than my former locale.

Yea, I'm going to bet against a -NAO at this juncture, but will see once I do my polar domain research and you get your index calculation in.

My area was a local min....the Worcester hills and Boston area down to the south short did much better. i was only likw 10-15" above average...pretty blah. Similar to 2013-2014 in that regard....those are my two most overrated winters...they both lack signature events.

Slight chill in the air but otherwise gorgeous morning driving into work.

44 this A.M. in Westfield, couldn't deny the hoodie this morning again, fantastically fall like

I’ll take that euro run…just keep the heaviest axis south of here. 1” will feel like Stein compared to recent weekends. Goofus is north of the St Lawrence. Best case for all. CMC splits the difference and floods NNE.

Hopefully October

Which is 99% of the time it seems for us.

44 this morning.

51 when I left the house. Beautiful morning.

42.4F. Last 40s for a bit?

Euro south again but gfs north. Still hoping it stays north.

42 degrees this morning with the high projected at 83 degrees. The deer come through early this morning, probably after a night of raiding people’s gardens.

So my May monthly rain total ended up being.... 12.99" One one hundredth of an inch short of 13.