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  2. Nothing crazy but some nice steady banding setting up in central PA. Wonder if places like State College or Altoona do better than forecasted?
  3. A lot of these posts were hidden before I read them but seriously guys, get a grip.
  4. Those who get under that will get at least 6" IMHO, thats where my bullish over/under comes from.
  5. H5 trough is going neg tilt with the surface low directly east of Virginia Beach. Not much to hate about the setup. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-eastcoast-truecolor-96-0-100-1&checked=map-h5ana&colorbar=undefined
  6. I went low on the KNYC/CPK forecast - 15.1" I think - largely because I think this will come in under the extreme projections but also because the heat island with this storm will be very real. We'll lose a lot of the early accumulation. People will bitch about NWS underreporting at Central Park, but the reality is the ground is warm and wet. I surveyed Riverside a short while ago and can’t find any place that won’t either lose accumulation to the warm wet ground or blowing.
  7. In the 1 in 10 chance now has 30+ burgers in SEMASS. Don't see that to often. BOMBS AWAY!
  8. I’m trying to that with that heavier band near Trenton that is struggling to move NW. Not working out too good.
  9. Seaford is not going to mix. I'd go if I had the chance!
  10. For all of you freaking out about a travel ban for NYC. Nassau County announced one last night. This is bipartisan and it's about public safety and having the roads clear for the trucks to take care of the snow so we can get back to business as quickly as possible. Some of you are completely unhinged.
  11. I'm not a met, but in environmental science at the college level. But part of the reason for what you are seeing for on-air mets, is many of them are actually not mets anymore. I think Lonnie Quinn is great, but his formal training is not in meteorology. His degree is in communications. He has really committed to learning meteorology though. Many have not though and simply follow the models.
  12. Which website should I use to track where the low level winds converge as this evening gets going. Weenie in me wants to say where the current band is setting up on the radar (overtop you and next to me) is where the Norlun will appear but I don't know.
  13. Back in the lowlands. What a difference lol. Wet, rainy and 40. Now for my next move. Stay here and risk a skunk or head to Easton. I'm afraid Seaford is going to mix.
  14. Deb'n is on steroids in here..Read the red letter folks posts and chill -goodness
  15. Snowing at the beaches and raining in Hanover Pa. What backwards weather is this.
  16. Looking at the SPC 700mb FGEN and I'm loving this band which is slowly rotating with the cyclonic flow. Hoping it'll spread west some and move west as the low starts to get tugged by the H5 ULL. Would align near perfectly with the DGZ too.
  17. Ahhh, I read into your comment incorrectly. No worries!
  18. Sad rain and 36, will be lucky to see flakes out here
  19. Metro-North to be hourly tomorrow. Sigh... I hope they don't damage more trains trying to keep service going. It was a disaster after the last storm for weeks after because of the mechanical failures caused by snow getting into electronics.
  20. Been snowing all day on western Suffolk, 33.3, nothing to show for it
  21. Speaking of which at some point would love to get you and other mets / technical folks take on what you think about on air mets increasingly showing the models and kind of deferring to them, rather than interpreting them along with all their other inputs and making a forecast. Just showing me, for example, that the GFS gives us a foot and the Euro gives us 2" doesn't really tell me anything, other than that it might snow or it might not.
  22. Snowing at my parents place west of Rehoboth. Massive flakes and sticking to the grass and tables outside.
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