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Let the parade begin

A bunch of meteorologists online have a total crash out this week regarding the total unreliability of weather models this winter (cough cough MU). You think him being a professional meteorologist he would understand this is a known result of blocking / big Rossby-wave amplitude patterns in weather models. We just haven't had to deal with it much recently. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Next week looks pretty good imho. That first system is the weaker of the two and it’s prob also the warmest but it could still snow right down into most of SNE…second one looks a bit colder. Really good arctic airmass lurking north and most guidance wants to advect a slice of that in here ahead of of the Friday system.

I have that picture somewhere of me on a sled after the December 81 storm. It was quite the outfit lol.

It wasn't 2007-2008, but they did much better than we did relative to normal.

Yes, I think we have plenty more snowfall to go. I have never bought the early-ending banter for a moment, although I see the argument.

I think you’d be surprised how bad NNE did in the 1980s too. Esp the latter half. Lot of stein up there. Early 80s we’re great there.

Should be an interesting ride the back half of February probably right into at least the first week of March. After about the second week of March or so I will be game to start looking for warmer weather. Until then lets pile it on

I lived in Brockton much closer to the cape but far enough to get boned.

15.6 IMBY. I usually radiate well, but not last night.

Let’s do 6z gfs

I recall one event where we have like 5" at my dad's in Woburn....I was ecstatic, until I heard the cape had over a 1', then my mood dampened rapidly. Even at like 7 years old, I was IMBY to the core.

He's at the "bargaining" stage of acceptance, I see.

Yeah I remember NNE doing well in the limited times I went up there. And then I remember hearing about the random biggies the Cape got and down toward the mid Atlantic.

If the Niña is on the way out and the floodgates finally open this time the drought will be gone by May.

It was the decade of "-EPOoooooo no", as @CoastalWxsays. The 80's was a decade heavily predisposed to +NAO/-EPO...which made for a high volume of messy snow to rain events in SNE, but NNE cleans up in that regime. I remember we would have 3" of crust on the ground where I grew up in Wilmington/Woburn area, only to get up to our camp in Heniker, NH and just be awe-struck when they had like a 3' pack.

This has been our coolest November to mid-February in over a decade. But since the Northern stream and Western ridge was so dominant, we couldn’t achieve the snowfall totals of 1996, 2014, 1994, 2003, and 2011. Some lingering influence from the longer term lower snowfall pattern since 2018-2019 even though this winter was much colder. But I am very happy we got our big benchmark snowstorm which brought many close to the long term 25 to 30 average with the more active STJ for a week in late January. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Coolest 11-1 to 2-12 periods since 1991 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1996-02-12 33.7 0 2 2014-02-12 35.1 0 3 1994-02-12 35.3 0 4 2026-02-12 35.4 0 - 2003-02-12 35.4 0 5 2011-02-12 35.8 0 6 2001-02-12 35.9 0 7 2015-02-12 36.1 0 8 2004-02-12 36.2 0 9 2009-02-12 36.8 0 10 2018-02-12 36.9 0

100 or bust^

We were at a cross roads and one again went the opposite way

I always reference that, as I just did One of two events where my area slayed ORH.

This morning's AIGFS is about as weenie as it gets for the full run.

December 5, 1981 was a mini Feb 1969.

Feels like we haven't had a Spring with nice long lasting ridging in quite some time!

6z Euro next Thursday starts the parade early.

Time to ban lol