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Gimmie a big EPO ridge with a respectable NA. This pattern has worked quite well for much of the region in recent winters for bringing the cold and facilitating multiple moderate snow events. Been a persistent look on the extended products for mid to late month and now showing up towards the end of the ens runs. Latest "weeklies"

and thats fine, but when you admit you have a bias, its hard to not view w/ a tad of skepticism (for those of us who have a modicum of weather knowledge, but to the peeps that just read, and go off thinking whatever is posted is happening, that can be trouble. I'd just say its up in the air.....

A psychologist would have a field day reading this thread. It's amusing from an outsiders perspective. You have those are depressed, those who have anxiety, those with OCD, those with narcissistic disorder and some with bipolar. Then there are those who are relatively normal and rational. Im sure other forums are similar in some respects, but this group really takes the cake. Thank you for the entertainment! BTW, its been a great December on Long Island, which shares more characteristics with SNE than the Mid Atlantic. Cheers to a good January.

Something’s never change in the winter time round here. We all want to score big! .

Oh yeah...great start too! https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202512300000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202601120000

It’s been the tenor of the season so far…let’s keep it going.

To provide the MU guy a tiny defense, James Spann posted the 8-14 day outlook about an hour ago and it shows warmth over just about the entire CONUS while referencing just a couple of days ago it showed "extreme cold." So I wonder if more mets are going through it.

ASOUT

Not for all of us. Out this way has been pretty decent. Thursday you should do better than us. Hope so for you guys.

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quite frankly dont give a rats ass what he wishes for and yeah, he's wordsmithing his warm bias into it as shared above. Just call it like you see it, and keep opinions to self. IF he wasnt a pro, and just a weenie like most of us, and wants to come in here w/ his warm bias, thats fine, but public sector weighs heavily on his "opines". We live in an information era, and peeps rely far too much on other peeps "opines", and can get caught off guard. Out in woods most of the day. Face looks just a tad windburnt. Stopped to see my mom and she all but freaked and said, honey your blood pressure must be terrible. lol

I will check it when I get back home tomorrow evening.

There was a lot of action…your area just didn’t get any of it. Sucks. Maybe Thursday you Jack pot. Be a nice way to ring in the new fresh tear.

I was fine with the last event. I can simultaneously enjoy a snow event and recognize that the big picture has blown

The wind will diminish overnight, but a cold regime will remain in place. Below normal temperatures will continue into at least the middle of the first week of January. Some flurries or snow showers are possible late Thursday into Friday in parts of the region. The first week of January will likely have a mean temperature below 30° in New York City. The last time that happened was in 2018. The only years since 2000 with a sub-30° mean temperature for the opening week of January were 2001, 2010, 2014 and 2018.December 2025 will finish with a maximum monthly temperature of 58° in New York City. The last time December had a monthly maximum temperature below 60° was in 2019 when the monthly high was 58°. This will be only the fifth such occurrence since 2000 (2003, 2004, 2005, and 2019 are the cases since 2000).The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around December 24. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.68°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter.The SOI was +6.49 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.580 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal December (1991-2020 normal). December will likely finish with a mean temperature near 33.9° (5.2° below normal). That will make December 2025 the coldest December since 2010 when the monthly mean temperature was 32.8°. It would also make 2025 the third coldest December since 2000.Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.5° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Yeah ready for the wind to die down already. Tomorrow should be nice, before colder and more wind on NYD.

Gfs is a couple SE Mass. let’s juice this up over the next 48

GFS was juicy up here

I certainly see your pattern. Congrats on Thursday…you should do better than most, but you’ll still bitch and moan.

Current ob: quite cold out. 29 with a wind chill of 22

Didnt you say that about Christmas week? And arent we going to be at or about freezing through the first week?

Absolutely. It does suck for some areas, but it’s been pretty good here. This is the 2015 WOR payback I guess lol.

That’s how averages are made.

The storm or December? I think for CT its been a good-very good December. Definitely the best here since 2020. Probably gonna end up around -5 for December, above average snowfall with many days of snow cover, can't ask for much more than that. Just speaking for CT and specifically S CT. Should end up around 12" for DEC here.

It's not even January yet and this thread is: dumpster-fire-gif-14.mp4