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7-day WPC total pcpn shows what one would expect in strong El Nino. However, i do not see any signs in the next week of the STJ dominating or emerging. Miller As will be our SAVOIR this winter!
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Follow-up: As expected based on the model consensus having significantly warmer 2m maps on Sep 30th vs Sep 29th at 80N+, the DMI warmed notably yesterday (>1C) vs Sep 29th as it rose to the blue line (mean for 1958-2002). It should warm further tomorrow: -
Central PA Banter (Banter Less?) Thread
Nomz replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Speaking of Mike Tomlin https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_h_pQ1-5iQg -
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I received 1.49" today. My September total is a whopping 10.73".
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CT Valley Snowman replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Everyone knows Carville's "It's the economy, stupid". When the economy,inflation,cost of living etc are hitting Americans hard, it usually doesn't bode well for the party in power. -
Yankees actually playing smart baseball. Hmm...
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Nebraska has managed to steal much of the moisture. Some communities up there have gotten 6-8 inches of south central Texan rainfall. Give us back our rightful rain. We want our rain back, NOW!
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
40/70 Benchmark replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
4.65" on the month. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, but 500mb, temps and precip look ok. Check the winter thread in your forum. -
1.53" today. Will finish close to 9.5" for September.
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6.9 or dare, I say, 7 on the [insert combat club] scale for foilage this season. this season will not be a 5/7.
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Hard to say… I mean the signal before was pretty significant so coming back to neutral signifies collapse so to speak, but it doesn’t necessarily mean a warmer than normal pattern. At the moment the look resembles a 36 hour cool followed by 36 hour warm transitory
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That looks best in December and gets progressively worse. -
Adding the obvious… When the climate is rising(falling) along a non-linear curve any fixed period of linear average thus becomes a false reference
