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Where is ineedsnow

12z NAM buckin' for a 1953 redux - even gotta hook there

I’m stirring the pot but yeah, I do think we could see an ENH kind of day tomorrow in part of New England and the Mid-Atlantic.

From 109 to 88, this is why talking about temps 10 days out usually fails.

This has been the best spring in a while to plant grass seed. I got really lucky with the lack of heat/drought....

Low chance you get something interesting, but you’re far enough west to watch. Front is too far west by late aftn for these parts.

.56 in the 24 hours ending at 7:30 am in Fallston at her farm - that particular area has struggled to get the rain to hold together as compared to even 10 miles west like Hunt Valley for quite awhile now. A little over an inch of rain at her location since Sunday AM.

12z GFS maintains the "cooler" look with temps for the city on Tuesday in the upper 80s to near 90 in the city because of an ocean wind component and near 100 in eastern New England.

there will be two corridors for tomorrow. Climatologically PHL-NYC does extremely well in these setups.

Looks like it’s all west of HFD to ORH. I’ll hear booms and get a token shower at 8:30

Him and Flizz on Sunday clouded and rained out the next 6 days. Can’t make this stuff up

heh.. never was aware that was a requirement - i'll take a look

Yea but that is a different matter. A weather station is supposed to be sited properly. And for the climate change deniers, it's not that I am worried about any agenda. The park is simply not sited properly, period. In fact some of the fastest warming stations are in completely rural locations, that is not the point. JFK should be not be getting hotter than Central Park with a SW wind, ESPECIALLY in June. If people care about data integrity they would have a problem with Central Park's temps. There is no conspiracy.

Nadocast can be weenish but that's some impressive probs for this part of the country

you probably need to delete attachments...probably don't have enough space

Why am I getting this "1 file would exceed the total allowed size of 21,xxx KB" notification when others are posting images that clearly exceed this number ??

12z NAM has the Worcester Tornado at 00z tomorrow

If your whole area is covered in concrete, then why would concrete be a problem for your thermometer? The whole point of a thermometer is to give you an accurate representation of the temperatures you are going to experience.

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1201 PM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025 DCZ001-MDZ004>006-011-013-014-016-503>508-VAZ053-054-505-506-526-527- 190000- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0016.250618T1700Z-250619T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1201 PM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Including the following , District of Columbia, in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford and Southern Baltimore, in Virginia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Northwest Prince William and Western Loudoun. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and thunderstorms are likely this afternoon through early this evening. Some thunderstorms will produce heavy rainfall with amounts around 1 to 2 inches within an hour. Localized amounts up to 3 inches are possible in the strongest storms. The heavy amounts of rain in a short period of time may lead to rapid rises of creeks and streams out of their banks as well as potential flash flooding in urban areas. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. &&

Borrowed from @WxWatcher007

Yeah some guidance is nailing the PHL-NYC corridor. Decent height falls there as mid level temps cool slightly after 18z. I'll enjoy the cirrus.

Mesoscale Discussion 1345 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 Areas affected...eastern IL...western/northern IN...far southwest Lower MI Concerning...Tornado Watch 432... Valid 181557Z - 181800Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 432 continues. SUMMARY...Severe threat should increase substantially through mid-afternoon as an arc of storms intensifies to the east-northeast from central Illinois. A few tornadoes, scattered damaging winds, and isolated severe hail will remain possible. Downstream tornado watch issuance is anticipated to the northeast of Ww 432. DISCUSSION...While the primary surface cyclone and attendant MCV are centered near the northeast MO/west-central IL border area, a downstream arc of increasing deep convection is expected to strengthen across central IL. With mid 70s surface dew points common across southern IL/IN, a pronounced MLCAPE gradient is setting up from south to north. A compact belt of strong 700-500 mb southwesterlies in the LSX VWP, recently sampled by the ILX VWP as well, should support a broken band of supercells within this leading arc as it spreads northeast. The potential for tornadoes has increased and a 10 percent tornado probability will be added in the 1630Z D1 Outlook. The LSX VWP also indicates low-level SRH diminishing behind this leading arc, but some tornado threat should linger near the immediate MCV/surface low. ..Grams/Hart.. 06/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...

For the weenies among us

Plenty of 75° to 77° dewpoints east of I-95 today.

I'm 100% convinced even in an open area it wouldn't be as hot as it was during the 30s-50s period. Why? Because the dryness of the ground matters more.