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All these advisories for heat and here you have winter advisories in Montana and Idaho

Still out but they say somewhere between 4-11 it will be restored. Kemp Mill and Takoma Park got hit really hard

https://nutwizard.com

MCS exiting Maine is classic backdoor scenario. Heat in jeopardy?

Euro has almost all of NYC and interior LI at 107° Tue. It looks overdone to me given the 850s. Looks like a lot of MU90s with a hundy here and there.

Definitely need a good canopy cleanse.

This is what I mean by a wetter atmosphere. From my own personal observations, it's made it harder to reach or exceed 100 and especially to get higher than 102 especially in the city and at the coast. Even without a seabreeze. In all our big heatwaves, like in 1993 and 1999, even in 2010 and 2011, I've seen clouds billow up as the temperature reached 100 or when it got into the lower 100s. Even on W or NW flow this tends to cut off the temperature rise. During the 30s, 40s, 50s, 60s, I deduce in our very hot summers there was less in the way of clouds and thats how NYC hit 106 in 1936 and how JFK hit 104 and LGA hit 107 in 1966. I know that 1966 was our driest year on record and no other year was even close.

Apparently, Erick beat the record for earliest-landfalling major hurricane in Mexico. And specifically, it beat the record for earliest-landfalling major on Mexico’s pacific coast by over two months! The next earliest was…August 26.

It's much more logical to assume we needed lower heights to reach 100+ in the 30s, 40s, 50s, 60s, because the air was much drier back then. We got a taste of that in 2010.....

YES, 1936 redux!!

wild, so 2 99s in 1949, one in June and one in August, and one 98 in July Tony? and did the 3 100+ in a row in 1948 at JFK and NYC both happen in August Tony?

12z Euro AI still focuses highest heat over NJ intsead of sweeping it to the beaches. It also has a seabreeze for Monday.

Oh I know.. Keep expectations low and hope for a surprise..A metaphor for life in general I suppose

After a few mows they all seem to die off

Yes, I cant wait!!

I can definitely see low 100s in the favored areas Monday and Tuesday... maybe Wednesday too

I liked your idea of a feeble kind of onshore wind unable to really cool beach/shore roads down much below 87 or so, while the baseball fields just inland have EMTs hauling heat victims away... (well, you didn't say that but I'm havin fun with it ) This could also be a great way to draw sharks closer to the Atlantic side swimmers, huh.

i have baby oak trees growing all over my lawn from last years acorns. I really don't want that again. i am actually kicking around the idea of taking down 3-4 big oaks in my yard. there will still be some, but those 3-4 trees make a ton of acorns and fall clean up is no joy with all those leaves.

Euro is a torch Wed-Thurs SoP. Bumped a bit warmer there. Still the same Sun-Tues. One of the days could have a weak seabreeze, more likely on Monday.

Major seabreeze on the 12z Euro for Monday, but Tuesday we go to 106 for a fairly large area

Expect it to be wasted.

Of course what you say is true, I was being silly lol I was being sarcastic because people blame UHI for everything. How does UHI explain record breaking 850mb temperatures for example? It doesn't, but people will continue to blame the airport or the concrete at sea level.

Granted it’s only the point and click but I don’t think I’ve ever seen “100” in a local forecast especially three days out. With regards to the tstorm potential this weekend I like that there could be an EML in place: but will also lead to the eastward advection of extremely steep lapse rates in the 700 to 500 mb layer from the northern Plains and Rockies, which meteorologists refer to as an "elevated mixed layer".

In Saratoga until Sunday - quite nice up here, 75F but a bit breezy. Just looked ahead and Tuesday looks downright hot even back home on the coast. Woof. The central air finally goes on I suppose.