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  2. Rmine1
    Expectations quickly changing for the island. First batch will obviously miss, all bets remain on the stuff in Pa. Not the setup that brings the big rains
  3. Brian5671
    Yeah I saw that-took 2 yrs to really recover up there-14 inches in 6 hr or something like that.
  4. WxUSAF
    Already storms popping in Loudoun and WV panhandle
  5. snowman19
    Back in May, Eric Webb argued that the ++PMM was acting as a defacto +PDO. +PMM or not, my guess is that we see a flip to a weak positive PDO by the end of fall given the historic strength and strong coupling of this El Niño One thing is for sure, this El Niño looks more and impressively by the day, regions 3.4, 3 and 1+2 are in overdrive, as are the WWBs, subsurface, SOI and DWKWs….
  6. Picard
    Pretty wild up here with CTG lightening and booming thunder. Day has become dusk and the temp is down to 65. I've got speakers paired together all throughout the downstairs for the dog which is helping her today thankfully. Already over 1/2 inch of rain and looks like we're not done with this round yet.
  7. BooneWX
    Fwiw Rufus seems to have a better handling on the convection rn. At least when comparing the most recent runs of RRFS vs HRRR at 3 pm and the the radar.
  8. Keith Central PA
    Were you alive in Feb 83 or January 2016?
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch for for everyone until 10 pm.
  10. NEG NAO
    another area rapidly developing storm near Old Bridge moving up Route 9 - more of these pop up storms this afternoon thoughout central and north jersey
  11. Keith Central PA
    Actually inland area's like Harrisburg where I live now,did ok in 97-98..the coast was a disaster
  12. Stormlover74
    Just light rain here
  13. dendrite
  14. FPizz
    A little over 1" now
  15. olafminesaw
    Wow! That has to be near a record max forecast for them at a 3 day lead. Some question marks around intensity for the moment though as it appears to be starting an ERC
  16. CT Valley Snowman
    Heaviest to my west but a decent downpour here. Estimating about .9 on the day. A PWS a bit to my east is at .80 and one a bit to my west is just over 1".
  17. Great Snow 1717
    I read your post and for some odd reason I thought of this
  18. NorthHillsWx
    It certainly cleared up in a hurry. Full sunshine in Raleigh now. Wonder if the atmosphere can destabilize in time to take advantage
  19. OrangeCTWX
    Would be sad if so! There is a mini golf course there right next to the river that closest for two years after the last historic flooding event, it literally just reopened last week.
  20. BrianW
    Working on a house on the water in Milford and its been pretty sunny all day. Tons of people on the beaches.
  21. Damage In Tolland
  22. FPizz
    Yesterday you got it, today I got .70" Monster rains for a few minutes and some epic bolts. I may get one more quick downpour in a few: Edit, it is here
  23. NEG NAO
    I wouldn't let my guard down in Northeast NJ from Northern Middlesex through Union Essex Counties as of right now can hear thunder here in Northern most Middlesex county as a storm is developing in Plainfield area - should use a sensitive radar app that can zoom in and that updates every 5 minutes
  24. Torchageddon
    I got 1mm from the system that gave a few flashes & thunder at 11pm. 8 out of 10 t-storms this year have been between the hours of 11pm-3am. I got just that one okay tstorm a few weeks ago to break the smoke but even that is garden tier nothing much; a solid tstorm in mid summer here is rare. Today is mainly cloudy but the cooler air felt good 22C/75F. Smoke in the high levels causing mod AQI 75.
  25. Stormlover74
    Hrrr has us in the screw zone but it will change every run so who knows
  26. Stormlover74
    Yeah its moving almost due north from somerville
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