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Really the only difference between the models is how quickly do the mid level/upper level lows fully close off. Euro is the slowest, meso models/GFS the fastest. This is exactly why I had a fear of it slipping east... Because more often than not these are "late" and end up being NYC -> Boston hits. I'm 100% not calling for whatever the hell that 0z Euro run was, in fact I'm still leaning towards a more GFS solution. But it is a valid concern and we will see at 12z here what happens.

It’s a good bet this will be wind smashed dendrites, will it be on the wetter end of the scale though? Thinking of power implications

In general, this set up is so fragile that microscopic differences upstream involving the phasing and tilting of the trough could have substantial surface differences, even in the final 24 hours.

AM all. Nothing more to add. Sitting pretty here in ASEMATT. 20” coming like it’s no big deal in the tropics.

AI is a tad SE of the op and we know how the op can be a little tuck happy, but this is locked and loaded.

Where's her snow map? I don't see any snow map....

I think for our areas, it looks like the IVT is key but I do expect a wider swath on the western edge with all of the energy moving through. It is a classic pass.

I like the model blend idea of a Monmouth and Ocean County NJ to Suffolk County jackpot going potentially 18”+ in those areas. The storm track loop just east of the 40/70 benchmark usually favors this scenario. Most other areas are looking like a solid 12”+. The blizzard conditions will make measurement a challenge and there will be the best drifting potential in years.

6z AI EPS is a banger

5.25. A little less than I expected. But very beautiful outside.

Beauty, runaway will be happy

Doesn’t hurt that’s for sure. Love seeing the EPS remain juicy.

Live being in the IVT. Looks to be IVT or bust here

I'm about a mile or from the 44/495 area, feeling really good about my spot and thankful I pulled the trigger on a snowblower.

I like seeing the euro with a decided move back west

Some of these crush SNE some still more.meh

Perhaps the bleeding has stopped

why does it always feel like as the event gets closer, the scaling back of totals begins?

Ya thinking one.more bump.at 12z

Big jump west on the 6z EPS also

Phew! I think at this point we may see fluctuations now with the models but pretty much looks like we're in line for a Whopper. I'm still thinking you could could trend just bit more West.

Don’t want to get Raleigh’d

The euro did move back west from 0z, I didn’t look at frames but allsnow up in NYC said 50+ miles.

Thank, gonna be tricky forecasting

Well sure but the watch covers all of Lancaster County - where they’ll get on the eastern side likely substantially more snow than MDT. The sharp west gradient isn’t our friend on this one methinks.