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2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
They're just using the standard el nino climo like always lol -
It’s 29F up here with snow caked trees.
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I have a small bit of Aspergers for shit like this ...whereby I remember things that are utterly useless haha... But it serves me once in while to see or sense patterns? I sense that you are probably located in a bad geographic circumstance in relation to elevation forcing - because every time you complain in that sort of same vein, it's a similar issue; this image looped shows that's actually trying to clear everywhere but those standing wave patterns are killing you
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DTW is overcast and 35° at noon. What a way to run a nationwide torch day
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Some models have an inv trough look on Monday in ern areas with decent instability 700 and below. Maybe a burst that coats the ground into the evening?
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The middle post was sarcasm ofc ;p. Decent day
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AWT. Some knew.
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53-55F here gorgeous out
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Don’t feel as good about Sunday-Monday as I did about Friday’s system. Looks pretty weak now.
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48F and partly cloudy. Can't complain.
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Absolute shit day. Overcast and haven't had a peek of sun yet. 34.7F
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because you fucked around with the data to make it look that way
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Time for Kev to check out of S Wey
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Interesting because 2015 and 1997 had similar strong 7/8 in March to 23. OTOH, the strong to super Ninos of 1982 and 1991 didn’t while the weak 2014 did: 2014 had strong 7/8 but ended up very weak Nino:
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2026-2027 El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks for providing great information as to why a super Nino isn’t a slam dunk like twitter believes it to be. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Updated annual average temperatures for suburban Chester County PA vs the PHL Airport....UHI FTW! In fact in analyzing the warming slope - PHL is now warming at a 6x faster rate than the Philly burbs! -
Found this little sapling growing under my deck. I am guessing its eastern red cedar? Can any of you tree guys confirm? Think I am going to try and move it out into the yard somewhere if it is.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Updated annual average temperatures for suburban Chester County PA vs the PHL Airport....UHI FTW! In fact in analyzing the warming slope - PHL is now warming at a 6x faster rate than the Philly burbs! -
Updated through 2025 - who knows why PHL is warming so much faster than non-UHI spots at airports?? In fact the PHL warming slope is now growing at 6 times the rate of Chester County Pa!
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let's get one of those beastly western ridges to flex up this way
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2026-2027 El Nino
so_whats_happening replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The strength of the of westerlies will fluctuate over the next week but it is more so the actual motion and presence that are the more important factors, showing things have at least started to change. As of now it looks like the MJO and the westerlies are not in tandem, MJO seems to be front running but if MJO slows or westerlies speed up they will be much more connected which could mean we have finally reached the point where things really start to get going with the Nino event. Time will tell -
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Yup, good until Labor Day.
