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This morning was the coolest morning so far this season. Parts of the regiono experienced freezes and frost. Lows included: AlbanY: 29° Allentown: 31° Atlantic City: 36° Binghamton: 29° Boston: 37° Bridgeport: 38° Danbury: 29° Hartford: 28° Islip: 40° New York City: 41° Newark: 38° Philadelphia: 41° Poughkeepsie: 28° Providence: 31° Trenton: 36° Westhampton: 42° White Plains: 36° Temperatures will begin to moderate starting tomorrow. Most of next week will see highs in the lower 60s. A strong storm will stay too offshore to bring rain to the region this week. Some elevated high tides are possible. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.3°C for the week centered around October 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.03°C. ENSO Region 3.4 has set a new all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -32.94 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.460 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.6° (0.7° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Go Bills!

Low of 36

Was 61 today and already down to 56.

We had first flakes yesterday and then a low of 24 this am. IMG_7877.mov

Week ahead is basically a chamber of commerce autumn spectacular.

About 20 or 25 years back I went to the NE Weather Conference and one of the presenters mentioned that there is no such thing as a thundershower, just thunderstorms. My reaction then as it is today is that is a Thundershower is a thunderstorm that you can only hear but hits the next town over. A thunderstorm hits you. Not scientific but it is how I differentiated them.

Just a beautiful day with a high of 62 and back down to 57 degrees currently. Some may drop lower than last night I think.

Saw this on FB. Did it really look like this? Just I saw no pix on this thread or other Mid-Atlantic threads. I figure at least one would have been posted. Just being cautious b/c DCA METAR did indeed report "shelf cloud," but you know how it can go when something get reported and what some will find from other events, and them claim it was on X day. And the date is listed as 10/15. The line of tstms was on 10/16!

I think that is extreme....probably between 1997 and 2015 anomalies as competed to 91-20 baseline.

This tied into what I have been arguing....there are going to continue to be other competing forces dictating the weather in the mid latitudes....in addition to some competing convection in the central ENSO zones, there is another high latitude teleconnection at play that is tied to the Kuroshio current.

That DPI was bogus, but the loss is on the offense. Yeah schedule gets real tough now. Hopefully the defense has figured out some issues and offense can look good with Lamar back.

https://x.com/nwsmobile/status/2111902543853035763?s=46&t=0ZvB_AF2VfA6c0SDxf53yA .

Only got down to 32f here

Meh. Huntley reminded us why he is a backup QB. He should have had 3 ints. Doyle failed as well. Bad loss, but if Lamar is back next week and the Ravens were 1-1 in his absence, not the worst. Next 3 games are brutal though. Gotta have Lamar back. Not likely winning any of the next 3 with Snoop.

Oh look another game where the refs make a borderline call that leads to a "crazy ending". It's almost laughable at this point.

The nice thing about the Eagles sucking is my Sundays will be more productive.

I switched over to the Steelers vs Bucs and I don’t understand what McCarthy and Rodgers were thinking by trying to pass twice with first and goal inside the five yard line in a tie game with 1:40 left in the game.

Was hoping the Ravens would make Watson look terrible enough to end my nightmare but I’ll take the ugly win I guess.. Can’t believe anybody can defend that dude when your getting outplayed by Tyler Huntley

We were just there and tested the gauge. Likely just got missed, but I’ll go back into the radar estimates and check. Yeah, it’s in a bit of a local cold sink.

POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST NEAR 36.0N 71.0W FOR 20/1800Z.

LOL at these dorks on Fox making a big deal about the Browns being in first place with the same record as the Ravens this early in the season. Give em credit, but they haven't looked impressive in any of their wins. Ravens handed them one.