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Expecting 2-3 here in NYC
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Why do I get the feeling you’re not talking about snow?
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Mostly snow in Durham
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
coastalplainsnowman replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
My favorite webcam out there - seeing what it looks like now compared to when we're on vacation out there, sun setting, the lawn full, restaurants buzzing. I love the snow but that's pretty great too. -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Damage In Tolland replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Saw that . Gonna be some positive surprises for folks expecting an inch or two -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Snowcrazed71 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You seriously posting this crap? You know better than most of us that this far out the scenario is not going to play out like this. I think you're just fishing to see what people say. -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
BBasile replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
All light snow, now. Finally have a coating on unpaved surfaces. 32.2F -
Well, crap. I have a one-month-old. Not sure how that's going to work. Maybe a Red Bull-IV. That might do it.
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Snow globe outside in Durham NC
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
WalpoleJoe replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
I never really comment, but this is incredible. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
the_other_guy replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
absolutely correct. and the radar. look at New Jersey filling in. -
Rain/Snow at RDU.
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Roads and pavement are caving. Really goes to show the power of creating the thread.
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We had a pretty strong stj in 09/10 bully it's way north. Don't have that now unfortunately.
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
WestBabylonWeather replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
33 here. -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
moneypitmike replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Heavy returns over Bristol and Plymouth counties.. Radar looks great for that to continue. Down to 32.4 at Pit1. -
To me It’s interesting to see all these record breaking winter storms across the world the past few weeks. Juneau Alaska had a record month for snow, we all witnessed snow train that dumped on Mammoth in cali, a once in a decade winter storm in Japan last week, places in Russia where people are tunneling out of their houses to their cars due to excessive snowfall.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
CAD would be correct if it stood for cold and dusters. -
2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
xMacis can sort by years, months or days, but that many days overwhelms it. When sorting by month or year, it defaults to the last day of each month or calendar year, so daily resolution is not available. With that said, if no more snow falls this month, the 120-month rolling total (ending 1/31) would be 75.6" at DC. The current record is 92.8" ending every month from March 31, 2025 to November 30, 2025. DC would need 17.2" to avoid a new record by month end rolling. Probably the same for the daily unless some additional snows fell in 2016 between the snowmaggedon and the end of the month. -
After a brief lull, light snow starting up again as radar continues to fill in.
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Jan 30, 2010 was on the CIPS analog list @wxmvpete showed earlier
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I remember discussions that your area was under 700mb lift normally found on the northern edge of precip shield if iirc correctly.
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Snow will redevelop and then continue into tonight. By the time the storm departs, New York City and nearby areas will likely see a storm total 2"-4" of snow. Parts of interior southeastern New York State across Connecticut into southeastern New England will likely see 3"-6" on account of higher snow-liquid ratios. Some 8" amounts are possible in southeastern New England. Tomorrow will be brisk with highs in the lower 30s. Arctic air will move into the region on tomorrow night. Tuesday could be the coldest day so far this season with highs struggling to reach the lower 20s and lows in the teens in New York City. Suburban areas could see single-digit lows, especially on Wednesday morning. Wednesday will be another unseasonably cold day. Another shot of cold air could arrive Thursday or Friday, possibly with some snow flurries or snow showers. Temperatures will remain below normal through next week. After January 20th, conditions could become favorable for potentially larger snowfalls, as a generally cold pattern continues. The probability of a PNA+ regime has continued to increase. PNA-related developments would have large implications for snowfall. A persistently positive PNA would have above climatological risk of moderate or significant snowfalls. A mainly negative PNA would favor mainly small snowfalls. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around January 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.67°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +22.15 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.660 today. The PNA was +1.107. That's the highest value since November 1, 2025 when the PNA was +1.698.The last time the PNA was at least this high on January 18th was 2014 when the PNA was +1.263. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 85% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 32.0° (-1.7° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.6° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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I drove to my parents' place in Calvert as they were expecting 8-10 while Germantown was looking at an inch or two. They got 8 and Germantown got 7 LOL
