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  2. The coldest air at 850 is just about over us now. With the wind persisting overnight and the coldest of the air overhead currently (at least from the city on westward) I would not be surprised to see temperatures bottom out around mid night and then hold steady or rise slightly before daybreak. CAV is just about peaking now. Temperatures across NY southern tier (BGM area) are holding rather steady last few hours. Maybe another 2-4 degree drop from the city west and another 3-5 across LI.
  3. We were spoiled with no wind for the last 2 weeks.. this is bitter .
  4. Can you tell me why Pivitol shows the following? I was not able to see it while it was coming out.
  5. It’s out. Targets central and southern VA the most but still a good number of hits up our way. It was a colder souther run than 12z. Same as the op.
  6. Thank you, and what little effects I know of that and the rossbry wave. This helps me to understand things. Thank you again.
  7. It’s an ice storm for western Virginia and cold rain elsewhere
  8. It’s not a 60 day lag but yes what’s happening there has a downstream impact on us. The impact is much faster than 60 days.
  9. I would say B- here as of now
  10. If I'm understanding your question correctly, I was refrerring to the 18z OP Euro AI. The EPS-AI doesn't come out until later on
  11. I'll be pulling into the Shit Face station pretty soon. Had to go in on a Saturday and it was kinda rough.
  12. Question; back in the day some poster whether it was doorman or others. Said to looked towards the Aleutians and look to 60 day lag. Is that correct?
  13. I can agree with that. Went out this afternoon for a small grocery run. All the roads are plastered with salt residue. Absolutely disgusting looking
  14. Aifs trended colder too. Most of the misses are to the south not north.
  15. There is a lag. I’m worried about CAPEs 18-20 window. I think that might end up too warm. I think we have a shot for the 15th threat if it ejects a healthy wave in time. The longer it waits the worse it gets.
  16. I’m Saturday Frederick drunk (yeah fuckers I know it’s only 7:23 PM) and don’t know shit about anything. Anyone have cliff notes for some snow next week? Following weekend? My apologies. Such language shouldn’t be tolerated unless I make 150K. Damn it! Only pulled off 149k in 2025. Sue me bitches.
  17. https://x.com/nynjpaweather/status/2020265182199501284?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  18. Yeah, the further out in time we go the lower the chance we have with that pattern establishing and flexing.
  19. need a salary check on Greyhat
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