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That's the point, that's climo. Our snow is like bananas...it comes in bunches. No bunches, no snow. True flukes here are 95/96, 02/03, and 13/14.
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That was a fluke that saved us statistically. We had 48 hours of winter that year.
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Winter 2026-2027 Speculation
Prismshine Productions replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
60-66" at 10:1 not including March and April? Shit I might actually squeak out a seasonal (75" at my elevation) Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk -
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It's not like they had all offseason to come up with a few creative 2pt conversion plays when the game is on the line. When I saw that play, all I could think of was all the times I stuffed the Broncos in Super Tecmo Bowl when they would run that trash play. It only works if you execute blocks, so let's expose our weakest unit out there. Bates is 6'6" and 256 pounds, if you are going to use him, have him go two yards, box out and throw him a jump ball.
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Forgetting, of course, that the warmest December on record at BWI, 12/15, was followed the next month with the single biggest snowstorm on record during a strong Niño. Not to mention the 3rd or 4th largest snowfall in 2/83 was an east based strong Niño. You should know better that's how it works around here.
- Today
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Ice was pretty diffuse this year so the extent numbers aren't impressive. Too early to call the min quite yet as we're only about 20k above the 2026 min of 4.574 million sq km....but if that number holds, this would rank 11th lowest for extent minimum. This is for NSIDC (SSMI/S) extent....other sources like AMSR2 or DMI might be a bit different, but looking at them al, it's the same general idea. Extent minimum wasn't very low this year given the ice staying pretty diffuse and not compact.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
buckeye replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
WAD > CAD I'll take it -
107 feels like temp 97.2 so far seriously f this
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NSIDC area is currently at 2.86 million sq km...which is about 150k above the minimum back on 9/8. I think it is getting fairly safe to say we've reached the minimum. It would be highly unlikely to achieve a loss greater than 150k this late in the season and with lots of easy lower concentration to refreeze near the pole right now. The 2026 minimum of 2.711 million sq km would be 7th lowest (barely staying above 2025's 2.706 million sq km)....so we just barely miss on a top 5. Last 20 years of SSMI/S minimums since 2007's benchmark season: 1 2012 2.228429 2 2016 2.463209 3 2024 2.470035 4 2020 2.5859 5 2023 2.62866 6 2025 2.707455 7 2026 2.71105 8 2019 2.871403 9 2011 2.916451 10 2007 2.954993 11 2017 3.000742 12 2010 3.072129 13 2008 3.079552 14 2015 3.139137 15 2021 3.1658 16 2022 3.20126 17 2018 3.235357 18 2009 3.547109 19 2014 3.576643 20 2013 3.607877
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That was a great storm.
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Oh I lost hope decades ago
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As long as you have an ID you can either take the more advanced classes, or slide in for a refresher.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
kdxken replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
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Thanks Chuck
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
ineedsnow replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
66/41 beautiful day -
you aren't getting a negative epo. blocking in a nino this strong just means a bunch of well placed rainstorms
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this is stronger and further east than 1997. why is anyone remotely hopeful
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12z Euro/GFS both try to pop a 600dm ridge later this week over the southeast
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
OceanStWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Just seeing this now. Big help I know. I don't recall seeing something quite like this. Maybe a whole box upgraded to a Tornado Watch as situational awareness changes. I would just look back at the timing and reasoning in the MCDs and watch texts: MCD issued 1230 pm - SVR watch issued at 230 pm - TOR watch issued 255 pm - MCD issued 326 pm explaining things intensified more than expected I would prefer a MCD explaining the reasoning first, but maybe there was ongoing discussion between WFOs and SPC behind the scenes and it needed to happen fast. -
nw baltimore wx changed their profile photo
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still not enough protection for #5, but towards the end of the game, he was looking pretty good IMO
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
MJOatleast7 replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
And you'll both be secure in the knowledge that men are, with some exceptions, hardwired to be 10-15 degrees F warmer than women. Seriously, there ought to be a power-generating doohickey that sits between us in bed and somehow makes use of the thermal gradient and converts it into storable energy to power your house. Much like those machines that float in the ocean and generate electricity from wave energy. -
Sub-50s on the mesonet!
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Always a safe bet south of NYC.
