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Maybe the ground isn't frozen yet

Not after the gfs and Canadian runs at 12z

Was flurrying cleaning off the car.

Still having some light mood flakes, it’s nice .

Light snow/flurries continue to fall with a final of 3.2". Piles look as large if not larger than 12/13 storm when I had 7" though...11.4" for the season, 1st double digit December in at least 6/7 years I think...

I should add that yesterday's calendar day 4.3" ends our streak of not having a 4" daily total at 12. Now we begin a new streak.

Let's not forget, they measure and clear the board each time measurement is made, with how they had sleet and freezing rain, compaction was legit so if the got 4 it would likely not show 4 if any Joe smo stuck a ruler in the snow. I maybe wrong but that's what my guess would be.

Blackwater. So not THAT local, but there’s one living in Ellicott City that I’ve seen several times but haven’t had my camera with me. i shot the one above with a 300 mm Nikon lens. @Ian taught me on here to invest in good glass! His photos are amazing.

It didn’t look like that with nearly all model runs even yesterday!

Februarys were a blowtorch, however. Very curious. Will be interesting to see if a similar theme plays out in 2026.

I've known you for almost 20 years now

I cry on the inside when people post calls for its summary execution. It's still usually deadly within 24 hours, although I'll admit it doesn't seem as good as it used to be and there have been one or two spectacular fails in recent times.

Wow, this is interesting how cold the ensuing Januarys were following the warmest Decembers. Some are forecasting a cold January this year as well.

Just keep the rain cold enough so the pack stays here. Y’all up there should get some good icing

HRRR likes ice BDL

Melted down to .81 and I have 6" at my stake, trying to make sense of that since it was 5.4" on the board.

Finished with 9 inches, 18 for the season. It was a good storm up here. Anywhere between 8 and 10.5 according to reports.

This is an important question since the nature of the rest of the winter depends on the answer.

It looks like officially NYC got more snow than BOS. But the greater Boston area received about the same amount of snow as the metro NYC area. It sure didn't look like that would happen 2 or 3 days ago.

What type of gauge do you have Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

The old Euro-ETA combo. A deadly accurate force back in the day didn’t again for one final time time last night

Either way, a VERY respectable anomaly. From a historical standpoint, this could wind up warmer than any December prior to 2015 if PRISM is close. Not sure what's going on with recent Decembers. 3 of the past 4 were even warmer. So from a historical standpoint, EXTREMELY impressive, but from the vantage point of recent years, pretty ho-hum national anomaly. It doesn't appear to be data error, because the USCRN network suggests recent Decembers were even warmer than given by the nClimDiv numbers.

Don't ignore the NAM inside 48 hours. Yes, it's prone to bigger run-to-run shifts than the globals, but its multi-run trends are meaningful. And it wins more often than any other model when it's a perceived outlier. And to counter potential false memories, the NAM 36 hours ago had some support from the ECM. When the short range models plus the UK and others started to follow suit, it should have gotten more attention. This really could have been better forecasted if people hadn't ignored the best short range model we have for this kind of forecast. In any case, most of us woke up to a beautiful morning today!

This is probably all you need to see. A massive closed upper level low casually walking across and turning up. Storms like this will be picked up pretty far in advance on current models.

I bit the bullet and picked up a subscription for the PRISM estimates. It's estimating 2.76F through Christmas day, but we've been adding 0.5F per day lately. Extrapolating through yesterday, PRISM would probably have us up to ~+3.2F for the month to date.