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Good luck!

I’ll sign up for thatb

Rgem loves tomorrow more than sunday

Pulling me back in lol

Just don't look.

Most of short range guidance has trended NW ... even the HRW-WRF models

Going to be drama all the way to the end.

Was the furthest west model, so not surprising.

It has tomorrows snow so much further east too , weird

Rgem further east for Sunday. Mostly offshore.

East and weak. Went from borderline warning for a lot of SNE to low end advisory

You can see how the 12km really curls the tail of the vortmax in at 48hr versus what the icon and rgem do.

Oh NAM why are u doing this to me lol

RGEM with a pretty sizable tick east lol

NAM and RRFS look pretty good. Icon came in better but still almost nothing verbatim. CMC up next

Hell of a cutoff but I will take it. The NW trend is undeniable across guidance. Its not done yet.. Cape storm lives!

Looked like it had some banding showing up on our side of CT....its probably wrong, but something fun to look at. I looked at the 18z EURO, even that run the whole system looked a little different than just some strung out system racing off shore. Who knows, guess we can sit back and hope this whole thing pulls a surprise, sort of luke that storm from 2000? Cant remember the date to be honest....

What is this evil witchcraft?

Yeah NNE has been fooled by a zonked 12k run late in the game many a time. Looks like the rgem is a tick east.

Like I told Ray 10 20 pages ago or whenever the hell it was we’ve been correcting shit west all season. Not saying that’s gonna happen. Just I wouldn’t be surprised. Far be it for anybody in this NOAA administration to come up with an argument of flying special sound emissions in the western Atlantic to see what it would do if we dumped a bunch of latent heat into that region… Gotta be careful with the nam though because it’s got a northwest bias in Western Atlanta at this time range Just some pros and cons

I dont like the cutoff and I dont like that we keep moving that cutoff a few miles in each direction. This storm has lots of downside and not much upside for Riverhead west.

RGEM didnt trend unfortunately

my forecast