Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. canderson
    Today marks the peak average hot day at NdT. Tomorrow the temp on average starts to decrease.
  3. Chicago Storm
    An embedded sup is trying to from in NE IL, similar to what is occurring in SE WI.
  4. high risk
    I think so too, but this is still really complicated, and the 12Z suite hasn't locked in on anything yet. It *does* seem like while the main MCS will be west of here in the morning hours, some piece of it will approach and probably strengthen a bit. If it arrives around commute time, it will probably be sub-severe, but if it's mid-morning, severe is possible. Guidance then differs sharply on how much heating will occur behind any morning activity, but how much will it matter. Steepening lapse and strong forcing might compensate for limited surface heating. At least scattered storms are likely by mid-afternoon, and some solutions are widespread. All hazards would be possible; the low-level winds are probably too weak for tornadoes, but the directional shear will be there, so it wouldn't take much to increase the tornado threat.
  5. A-L-E-K
    gonna end up with another just in time heavy soak
  6. Jackstraw
    Would've been nutz if that would've been 24 hours earlier when the Oshkosh Sunday train was exiting lol
  7. A-L-E-K
    WI coastline rocking from moneyman to racine
  8. Arishtat
    Wait, how does it make sense that there's no watch in an area with that many warnings and an MCD? Like...are they waiting for it to be in the lake first?
  9. canderson
    Have a gut feeling the good rains will be east of the river and not really ramp up into Lancaster County
  10. steve392
    My grounds are pretty dry already even after 3" last week. Cool breeze but very humid feeling as well. 80 but sticky.
  11. A-L-E-K
    should be just far enough north and east to get the tail end warned cell, blessed
  12. sbnwx85
    I was gonna say, which office is holding out?
  13. Powerball
    True. Though just as much blame goes to MKE / LOT. Watches are issued in coordination with local WFOs...
  14. oceanctyguy
    We've had some intense storms here in Ocean county recently. In some places the soil is almost pure sand so it drains and dries quickly. Despite the rains, I still have drip irrigation on in the garden because of this.
  15. sbnwx85
    They can suck for multiple reasons
  16. GaWx
    Thanks for the info on the current RDU station going only back to 1945. But that article did miss July 1991’s 10.27” at RDU: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=rah
  17. DaveNay
    It had been drying for a week. I had equipment problems that delayed the process. Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk
  18. Chicago Storm
    literally not the reason they suck. (hint: they always have)
  19. michaelmantis
    Storm in N IL just missed me by a mile or two. Can see the rainshaft looking east from Elgin towards Schaumburg. Could have used a bit of rain!
  20. George001
    Joe Bastardi is a grifter, you did your research and know what you are talking about so you can see through his bullshit. He’s not dumb (his credentials and knowledge are legit), but his goal is to get clicks and $$$ for his business, not truth. It works, he’s a good businessman, not a good long range forecaster. Hyperbole and promises of big winters in populated areas (new england) get the clicks and money.
  21. psv88
    Tied up with some friends to swim and hangout for the day.
  22. GaWx
    Ray, Please explain why you think the NOAA monthly PDO data that I quoted is overrated. What do you think about JB’s choice of a cross between. 1957-8 and 1965-6 as analogs (warm Dec except NN SE, colder Jan with BN S 2/3 of US, even colder Feb (cold most of US), and chilly Mar) making overall NDJFM avg cold concentrated in S 1/2 of US and JFM avg cool to cold most of US)? They are similar to the CFS fwiw.
  23. Damage In Tolland
    Feels nice to get these high dews back today
  24. sbnwx85
    5 SVR Warnings and a TOR Warning in SE WI but no watch yet.
  25. Damage In Tolland
    Guys talking about arcs and 1/100 year flooding yeah
  26. NorthHillsWx
    That’s slightly misleading, the RDU record has been broken (previously 9.11”). It was set in 2024: https://www.wral.com/archive/21561538/ The Raleigh record is what those tweets are speaking to and it is taking into account the switch to RDU as the reporting site in 1945, and observations at the previous sites which obviously go further back. So there is no RDU record pre-1945 as that site didn’t exist. But as shown, reporting site or not, tomorrow’s rain could shatter all records for the Raleigh area in July. My >13” total already has, if my site was official! It’s the wettest month I’ve had in 8 years of running my station
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...