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Up in DC now, when do the storms arrive?
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Well, yeah that but I was talking about Western Europe a resurgence scenario. That ridge I annotated west of the Iberian Peninsula is in a critical mode/danger of engulfing the region episodically. -
yea I read your post on this thread and then it crashed lol
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@Wow will save us
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0.67" today. Let's do it again tomorrow.
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Terrible. Wish they would fix it. Takes forever to get logged in if you even can get logged it. Glad I'm not the only one having issues.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
The forecast heat dome is looking more and more impressive. The NBM shows a peak of 105° +/- 5° at Washington, DC. The all-time mark is 106°. This situation will merit watching. -
Storm from Union pulsing back up in Putnam
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
The board may be be on its last legs without a new server . It’s been quite a ride -
Seabrook NH a short time ago. Photo by Rich Hamel. That's about as good supercell structure you will see in the NEUS.
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It will be mainly cloudy tomorrow. Some showers are possible tonight into tomorrow. A warming trend could commence on Sunday. The guidance increasingly suggests that hot weather could return to conclude June and start July. Some of the guidance suggests that the region could see its highest temperatures so far this summer during the middle of next week. Baltimore, Newark, Philadelphia, and Washington, DC will all likely see the temperatures peak at or above 100°. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -13.92 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.710 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 97% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.4 (1.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Don if you wanna look brilliant, I'd go and start suggesting if now outright warning western Europe to watch the July 4 weekend .. signal's grown across 7 consecutive model cycles as trend on top of a background hemispheric foot that's not actually changed the non-linear/synergism -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Nah. It’s 60-70 microburst -
Anybody piss off Ginxy lately ? Maybe he's branched out from his AI model accumulator to denial of service. Creating autonomous botnets.
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Tornado with that cell?
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https://youtu.be/FVl7bdGO-sMso This place today.
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Seems like the "bad gateway" error is the worst it had been thus far. Not much CGs w/ the supercells. Once again, lack of solid CAPE. Best CAPE is "only" 1500, but the excellent shear is compensating.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Union gonna get crushed -
Half dollars reported in Windsor near the VT border. Constant rumbling here with some anvil -RA.
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Nice looking cell near Palmer
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Cell near Sunapee dropping quarters easily
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When god was handing out shit you thought he said wit and asked for seconds.
