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29F last night. Masters is on. Got my new golf clubs yesterday. Temperatures warming. I am loving it.

Yep, Midwest stealing all our rain......

Ever since 2023 every time the Niña breaks the dry pattern injects steroids instead of dying. Did something else break in the atmosphere and now it’s raining less?

mild and dry times ahead. Take!

Rather than painstakingly line-itemizing everything that's taken place ... will defer to https://climate.copernicus.eu/sites/default/files/custom-uploads/GCH-2025/GCH2025-full-report.pdf ... to elucidate notables and various drill-downs. 2025 was the 3rd warmest year in general. Starting the thread for 2026 -->

33 for the low in Great Falls

Next week extreme will probably exceed 25% of the state

We rage on

KFOK 19°

Ditto. My garden has been doing decently well so far, but I too have fought the urge to plant the warm wx stuff. I may risk planting 1-2 in a cold frame next week. This pattern seems pretty stable, but we have both seen warm, spring patterns flips to one frost after another. The drought monitor has drought expanding across much of Tennessee.

Frosty 26°

can't remember the last time chicago was in D6 and D7 outlooks

27 here as well. Time to start that growing season for real.

44 .. up from 23 Probably heading for MOS+routine bust ticks. Little or no wind and now late summer solar rad will certainly max out the nape factor. Psycho babble this will put mindsets and posting vibe some distance from this morning's disgruntling bite. I'm not sure it's the last of the freeze chances (season) though, due to further below... But yeah, the models do shows some elevating thickness out there. It's just that the ambient polar boundary is still gradient packed and that's not a good look. Pattern is trying, but it is as though the models in an internal war to prevent seasonal change. That's that tongue-in-cheek vibe in the current modeling cinemas. The problem is ... it wouldn't look that way if we could just at last remove that 90/60 PV. 00z ensembles re-invigorated it, after a couple cycles whence it finally looked - after 7 months of it no less... - like it was going away. Until that succeeds, we'll keep seeing these wild temperature ranges, S-N, at mid latitude continent. We'll also suffer greater than normal BD in the means... I just recall at least 3 Mays since 2019 whence there were flurries at mid day with blown out virga cu passages, and I don't recall those years having this PV plague. Case in point, this next Wednesday. Seems with the above concepts in mind, then combining with base-line climo, there's a pretty good gamble that frontal arm ends up down near DCA with NE drill. Right now, the models are tussling with a boundary, selling a precariously float near Brain or myself latitudes. But 1030 mb and +PP N of that boundary like that? feels like a 10 year old wondering if Dad'll be mad when he gets home from work to find out he was playing with old man's gun

Nice stretxch upcoming. Noticed the first tiny leaves on maples in my yard yesterday evening. A bit early maybe?

it literally says L2 sig drought for the cape

Naw I just like good pool weather.

They finally stopped with the drought nonsense.

32

Yea, subtle shift with the "angle of the dangle" of that vortex, and whole new pattern. It was not only the -WPO ridge shifting east, but the /AONAO blocking dissipated, so we got the dreaded elongation of the "football" shaped PV.

Back to back lows of 24 and 22; chilly for sure.

Luckily it’s largely fake.