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Also, we have to give the ICON a lot of credit on this one. There were a few runs a couple days ago where it was the ONLY model showing accumulating snow.

Hi Res Nam. Should be at least some coatings in northern NC. If a band sets up maybe an inch or 2.

Central VA generally doesn't do well with anything other than an already developed low moving into cold air. For example, the second Feb 2010 storm was either a total whiff or a light event here. That's why I'd, based on pure semi-educated guess, lean towards a lower total. The precip has to develop mostly over us due to the coastal/ULL. I'd love to be proven wrong though lol

Yes it is

Both the NAM and HRRR want to redevelop moisture across central NC around 7-10PM

Better go back to Farmville I bet they get 4-6

00z NAM is going to absolutely pummel RIC especially south side of RIC metro. It also keeps precip around for longer

Lynchburg to Roanoke will do well. Might be a couple 6-7" spots

This means a lot thank you

I have thought all along we couple be looking at the end if DEC or early JAN.

Do the best you can during these difficult times. Don’t lose hope. Both of you are in my thoughts and prayers.

There will be a warmup I think but hopefully short-lived.

What? I don't think I'm one to jump prematurely...all I said was significant snow likely around mid month....to me, "significant " is like greater than 3".

Herb was Ch 10 and Robert's and O'Brien were Ch 6 back in the day. Who was the Ch 3 weather person, Tom Lamaine ?

Thank you, it’s really helpful to talk tonight

The NAM is in its range, right? I think that’s what I’ve read here? It shows a similar outcome as the EURO. .

I just looked at the last 3 seasons at BOS, and it was basically like the mid-Atlantic. 16.8" average.

the burn-in has happened to most, not all. December was not and won't be a snowy month for the coastal plain of SNE, including here. I do not see swift changes to that any time soon

That's awful. I really don't have the words to say, except that our family will be praying for your wife and yourself as well.

3K is a big nothing burger south of Virginia through 16hrs

If you take a blended approach I think it's not too far off. Especially after looking at the new Nam and Hi Res Nam.

Northern and Western Mass too

I think the reason is that bad seasons up north are 40-80” with long periods of deep winter. Bad seasons down in southern New England are like 10-20” with maybe a week total of snow pack.

Thank you