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Why do you think the models trended south with this? Blocking.

Fwiw, Nam is the coldest of it, the Euro and Gfs. Euro is a little cooler than half way between the other 2. That's as of 84hrs on the 18z runs.

I’m not sure what CTP is thinking for Friday, but they have not updated their forecast discussion at all in the long range portion. They updated their point & click grids this afternoon as a few folks mentioned, but they still aren’t addressing the growing concern for Wintry weather on Friday, which again will be a major travel day for many.

Good luck up there. You should get an inch maybe? I haven't looked that closely at tonight as I knew I was in line for a participation trophy at best.

Is this Tomer any good? Does he know his stuff?

https://x.com/burgwx/status/2003254205935681822?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

MDT & Lancaster airport are both down to 31 degrees this hour with dew points in the low 20s at MDT & high teens in Lanco. Precip at least aloft has broken out in western PA.

That will guarantee you get high cirrus while Philly is on the northern fringe. Stay away from the bread and milk aisles until Saturday.

BL gets kind of marginal down there. Prob flakes but could be white rain for a while. If you had some decent omega punching into the snow growth region, then it would prob rip. But this is a pretty weak system.

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Absolutely, Thank you. He’s already got himself missing it lmao,

Dudes legit tiptoeing on ledge . Watch him get more than me

An inch today up here. Exceeded expectations. Still -SN out there. It’ll look like an underperformer all day, and then go right to fluff after sunset.

12z Eps snowfall on top and 18z below. I see movement south. Subtle, but it's there.

It’s hard to take anything good or bad for that system seriously when just yesterday it had rains to Maine

Feel like the warmth is being overdone in my location. The rates just might suck and it’s so weak, but I doubt we’ll be torched

Moisture slamming into a cold dome could yield a lot of snow but agree that it's very unlikely to be this far south unless blocking is very strong

That would be zero accumulation for much of MA. .05” qpf spread over 8 hours.

Well, you can see TBlizz starting to hint and show his hand already…he’s revving up for a tirade of negativity. This thing will waffle over the next few days…we gotta roll with it for a bit. As Will Said, anything from this is a bonus anyway.

Hoping for 1.5” tomorrow and that will get me to about 7” for the season and only 93” away from 100”!!!

Quit trying to excite Weather Will like that.

Carver, I think if the mjo gets active, it should allow the pacific to align for cold here for a few weeks, providing the mjo moves along imo

He’s so close to water which may be an issue for a time until winds go more N or NW. Light snow and 33-34 might struggle.

Always been my thought process. But some still enjoy useless cold and 4 hours to get an inch events over 60s in the winter.

That run was a clipper parade. Your new spot will continue to clean up with us in NNE if we get energy every couple days coming in from the NW and plenty of cold. The difference from your area to the eastern Adirondacks is pretty stark in these types of patterns.