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Trading today for a much better Friday. Possibly Saturday too as I’ll be in Portland

Gotta watch exactly where that boundary ends up because we may see some transient supercells along it

We talk about NC a lot in here but man the upstate and especially southern half of GA and Florida are in even worse shape with almost those entire areas in D3 or D4

Clearing is actively working N-E ...question for me is whether there's a temp burst as that CT runs over as the sun is shining thru. interesting

nice to see that...we'll see how it works out. There's quite a bit of clearing sweeping up across the area at mid and u/a levels according to high res vis loop this hour. As that expands over this sludge it will be interesting to see how the mid April sun goes to war over top. The day glow is also already elevating over the last 10 min here so my est for 11 am might not be so bad.

Eh....maybe more like replacement level...say Darren Bragg https://www.fangraphs.com/players/darren-bragg/83/stats/batting

The good news is that this is one week w/o that crap-sometimes the whole month is lost to BDCF/east flow

Not directly New England golf related but what do people make of the LIV Golf news? LIV Golf not shutting down? CEO says 2026 season will be completed amid speculation over Saudi Arabia funding I don't think I would have an issue with a competing tour if the product they provided was at all comparable to the PGA Tour. Right from the start though I was skeptical about 54 holes, limited fields and no cuts. The shotgun starts didn't work for me either and don't even get me started on the stupid loud music blaring on every hole. I don't have an issue with music or shotgun starts when I am playing but it just didn't work me watching a tournament. As for the players that left? I don't blame many of them for taking the money but I do think some of them have definitely tarnished their reputations. Greg Norman and Phil Mickelson in particular seem to have done lasting damage. On the other hand, LIV forced the PGA Tour to make some changes that resulted in a better product in some ways. If LIV dies though, I won't miss it.

Yup!

This time of year it’s only a matter of when and how much we’re paying for a summer like stretch like this.

I’m sure we’ll start getting occasional breaks around 4p and clear out by 6p.

Wow Brian….dam that sucks for you guys there. Pushing 80 already here.

CANSIPs shows lingering nina-like convection in the maritime continent, while the CFS shows a classic nino response that slowly propagates eastward into winter.

5 out of the last 10 have been mid-range here (between 18-30) just 30 miles SE of NYC. I'd say that is more Ted Williams.

Satellite isn't exactly arguing you're going to get a better day out of this shit roll

Caved and put the stove on. 51.9°

The nightly lows in the low 60s make the daytime 90s not feel so bad. If only July was the same.

Looking at the TH co-op, they've only measured 2.69" YTD, but the CoCoRahs site at Flood Bay NE of town has 6.43". Other sites in the area around here are about the same or more. Issues there at the co-op.

Ties the all time DSCI record for the SE region previously set 12-18-2007

Yea, I can't even begin to say at this point. Contrary to what some are implying.....I haven't "forecast" anything yet. I have said numerous times that I don't even begin to delve in until after the spring barrier. While I have opined on several occasions throughout the thread that I doubt that a super El Nino will materialize, that is simply an early guess based on superficial observations. If June comes around and the data strongly suggests that we are going over 2.0, then my initial ENSO blogs will reflect that. I don't know why on earth anyone would struggle to distinguish casual discourse on an internet forum from an actual forecast. If it can be found and linked on my blog, then it's a forecast...if you are quoting a guess from an internet thread in March or April, then that isn't a forecast. That said, at the end of the day, the only forecast that is graded is what I post in the seasonal write up released in early November....data changes throughout the year, which is not a novel concept because seasonal forecasting is immensely complex, fluid and multifaceted. I often respond to dissenting viewpoints with sarcasm...yes, as I opt to inject humor into any semblance of conflict in an effort to mitigate tension. This is different from name calling in my mind. However, if it turns out that I am wrong, as was the case concerning the El Nino of 2023-2024, I think that both yourself, as well as @bluewavewould attest to the fact that I wholeheartedly capitulated and offered congratulations. I then authored a long blog post in an effort to illustrate where I exactly I went stray as part of a concerted effort to avail of the opportunity to learn from my mistake. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/05/winter-2023-2024-outlook-largely-failure.html Everyone makes errors, but an "idiot" refuses to own them, and then ultimately acquiesce to an alternative view point in order to gain a greater breadth of perspective. I think I have aptly demonstrated a willingness to do so by way of my online contributions to this forum.

Records: Highs: EWR: 92 (2002) NYC: 92 (2002) LGA: 89 (2002) JFK: 86 (2003) Lows: EWR: 26 (1943) NYC: 29 (1928) LGA: 31 (1943) JFK: 32 (2014) Historical: 1849: Charleston, South Carolina recorded their latest freeze ever with a temperature of 32 degrees while 6 inches of snow fell at Wilmington, North Carolina. Snow fell as far south as Milledgeville, Georgia. A damaging hard freeze occurred from Texas to Georgia devastating the cotton crop. 1851: "The Lighthouse Storm" of 1851 struck New England on this date. Heavy gales and high seas pounded the coasts of New Hampshire and eastern Massachusetts. The storm arrived at the time of a full moon, and high tide was producing unusually high storm tides. The storm was so named because it destroyed the lighthouse at Cohasset, Massachusetts. Two assistant lighthouse keepers were killed there when the structure was swept away by the storm tide. 1851 - The famous "Lighthouse Storm" raged near Boston Harbor. Whole gales and gigantic waves destroyed Minot Light with its two keepers still inside. The storm resulted in great shipping losses and coastal erosion. (David Ludlum) 1880 - A tornado near Marshall, MO, carried the heavy timbers of an entire home a distance of twelve miles. (The Weather Channel) 1933 - Franklin Lake, NH, was buried under 35 inches of snow. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1960 - A wind gust of 70 mph was measured at the Stapleton International Airport in Denver CO, their highest wind gust of record. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A slow moving storm system produced heavy rain over North Carolina and the Middle Atlantic Coast States. More than six inches of rain drenched parts of Virginia, and flooding in Virginia claimed three lives. Floodwaters along the James River inundated parts of Richmond VA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A storm in the northeastern U.S. produced a foot of snow at Pittsburg VT. Severe thunderstorms produced baseball size hail and spawned five tornadoes in the Southern High Plains Region. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A cold front, ushering sharply colder air into the north central U.S., brought snow to parts of Montana and North Dakota. At midday the temperature at Cutbank MT was just 22 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a stationary front produced large hail and damaging winds across Oklahoma, with 99 reports of large hail and damaging winds during the evening and early nighttime hours. Thunderstorms produced baseball size hail south of Carney, and wind gusts to 100 mph in the Oklahoma City area which swept away many Federal tax returns being transported from a mail cart to a waiting truck about the time of the midnight deadline. Will Rogers Airport in Oklahoma City reported a record wind gust of 92 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2002: High temperature records were shattered in many cities across the East and Midwest as spring turned into summer over much of the United States. This followed on the heels of many records that fell the day before across the Plains and Midwest. The abnormal heat was the result of a jet stream pushed way to the north. In stark contrast, the West had temperatures below normal with snow falling in some of the mountainous regions. Cooke City, MT reported 10 inches while 9 inches fell at Roundup, MT and 8 inches at Billings, MT. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2007: Albany, NewYork: Albany, NewYork: An intense nor'easter raging along the New England Coast causes the barometric pressure reading at Albany to to fall to 28.84 inches of mercury, the lowest barometric pressure reading ever recorded in April in the Empire State's capital city. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2011: Eleven tornadoes touched down in the Wakefield, VA NWS warning area on April 16th. Unfortunately, there were some deaths from these touchdowns, 12 in Bertie County, NC and 2 in Gloucester County, VA, both EF3 tornadoes. Significant tornadoes also struck parts of central North Carolina (outside our area). See the following link for details: Virginia Tornadoes Events by NWS at Wakefield,VA

76 and sunny…off to the races. We enjoy, for next week as Scott says is gonna be lousy.

Latest drought monitor for MD Most of VA in Severe category

81 / 58 some clouds peak heat continues today. Fall back Friday and the weekend. Front through Sunday then a period of near to below normal overall with trough nearby the NE onshore flow backing middle of next week. Overall the peiord 4/20 - 4/28 looking cooler and we'll see how much of the rain / showers can add up to.