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enjoy i NEED snow
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It's the 25th anniversary of the infamous March 4-6th, 2001 Blizzard. I've remapped this event now for about the 5th or 6th time and feel I've gotten as close to approximating what happened as i can get and included a new L. Northeast map. As this is a special historic event i also put together a couple of additional graphics, a town by town snowfall list and all 3 of the big storms of Winter 2000-2001. Mar 2001, Feb 2001 and Dec 2000 are the three big storms that really got me into weather at a young age and love for the extreme snowstorms and especially thundersnow. JDJ March 4-6th, 2001 Page - Our snowfall maps, full radar and surface map animations and additional images PolarWX Reanalysis - Tomer Burg's site with a reanalysis of the storm from the ECMWF Weathernet6 Archive - Steve LaPointe's Archive (scroll down and click on March 4-6th, 2001 on the left hand panel) Ray's Winter Storm Archive - Ray's March 4-6th, 2001 dedicated page Personal Recounting The first memory i have about this storm was turning on the local news on Friday night and hearing a teaser about "a storm we could be measuring in feet". All weekend i was flipping back and forth between TWC and local news stations. I remember seeing Kocin on air at the time talking about it could be the biggest snowstorm in NYC in 50 years (probably referring to 1947). When Sunday morning came the whole state and pretty much the east coast, was shut down and preparing for the incoming storm. Light snow broke out in the mid morning hours and continued throughout the day. By dark we had a couple inches on the ground and here came the sleet. It was nothing but a pelting all night long and into the day on Tuesday. At this point it could have been a massive bust but the storm really blew up and the radar filled in and heavy snow backed in from the east/southeast. A full blown blizzard was occuring during the evening and into the overnight hours. We were out snowmobiling up and down the streets with plows unable to keep up and most likely focused on the highways and main roads. By morning on Tuesday, a couple inches of snow & sleet mix turned into over a foot of new snow with light to moderate snow still falling. Throughout the day Tuesday snow continued to fall and seemed like it would never end, over 48 hours later. Snow finally came to an end around midnight, Wednesday about 64-65 hours after it had started. This one of the few surviving radar stills from WeatherTap on March 5th at 9PM. Snowfall Maps This was probably the most brutal storm to ever put together with widely varying snowfall totals and incomplete PNS reports. The BOX PNS is terrible but it at least has dates and times next to the reports so its easy to see the ones that aren't final. The OKX PNS is even worse. The official snowfall totals at climate sites are almost certainly wrong at many sites. The BDR official is 15.5 which seems reasonable until you see some of the reports nearby that are a lot lower. BDL is almost certainly wrong and too low. ORH, according to Will, stopped reporting so its probably slightly too low, and so on. I put together a town by town list of some selected reports and all 3 big storms and snowfall totals combined. And of course the best video on the internet
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Ya we take! GFS kind of looks like a paste job here
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RGEM/GEM remain the warmest but are slowly caving colder a bit.
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Really hoping the heaviest precip trends north a bit
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Can you post it? BOX doesn’t seem too enthusiastic in a serious icing.
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well yeah, it's a hot commodity. the only want is others want, so it's more of interest. you know how it is, when the snow is exclusive and it just hits diff
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Foggy in south Arlington this morning. Can barely see some lights at 1/4 mile, none at 1/2 mile. Channel 5 in DC warned those about to drive to NOT put on their high-beams.
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The big bust PHL-BOS storm! One of the first big mega hype media storm starting 5+ days out I think. I had 22" of wet snow in N Woburn MA w/ crazy vertical accumulations on power lines. Also, first time I noticed when you dig into wet snow that deep, esp. when cloudy, you see a blue tinge from the high moisture content.
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@Damage In Tolland is going to like the NAM and RAP.. Hopefully we can get the 6z NAM to bump north with that qpf.. major event incoming for someone
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Tomorrow’s NWS forecast….i guess I missed the heavy drizzle watch? Maybe we just go to a straight warning, maybe the criteria for a warning is greater than 20% chance of precipitation. Whatever I can’t wait to measure my heavy drizzle in millimeters! Be careful out there everyone! Areas of drizzle before noon, then isolated showers after 4pm. The drizzle could be heavy at times. Areas of dense fog before noon. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
^For the last 3 years (23-25), RONI has been -0.533c the value of ONI month-by-month (0.0 ONI is -0.53 RONI). Staying the same. -
It was great here but disappointing at the same time seeing areas in every direction get crushed with 20-30". But i can't be mad at a 17" snowstorm...that's still major in my book and probably on par with biggest ive seen. One day ill get to see what a 20+ or two foot storm looks like... Definitely the worst blizzard conditions ive ever seen by far. Still catching up on past maps from Feb 20, Feb 25, Mar 1, Mar 3-4 which will be done shortly.
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DJF: ONI -0.39 RONI -0.90 So, RONI minus ONI has dropped back down to -0.51. Most non-BoM model projections are ONI rather than RONI. Thus, in order to estimate RONI, one obviously needs to subtract ~0.5 from the model progs.
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0z GEFS look much stronger with -WPO in the medium range. I'm going to have to learn that the EPS has much better accuracy than GEFS.
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Absolutely incredible work, thank you for your efforts! I still can’t believe this storm happened, it’s almost surreal. The uncertainty, the Euro pivoting towards the GFS, then knowing it’s coming and the buildup to it, ugh such a dopamine kick. The storm itself was incredible, marred only slightly for me by familial duty (had to take my elderly parents in, couldn’t fully enjoy the storm while it was occurring). This was 1/29/22 better maximized and more NW. I do see similarities looking at this map, but this was the better storm for more of us. Definitely a very memorable event, to say the least. I’m very happy SNE got crushed, the areas that really maximized were more than due, and that’s a hell of a debt repayment. Spent a decent part of the last week in a dopamine crash since it ended.
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Sorry to dwell on the Winter West Coast ridge again, but this really stands out to me as an extreme anomaly Most extreme West Coast DJF ridge analogs The news is, the ridge really sticks around +time in analog cases.. this is the following year: March (not included in my visual analog picks.. yet almost as strong of an anomaly!) April (+60dm over the SW, US is extreme!) May Summer (June-August) Following Winter (26-27 analog) ^75% of the N. Hemisphere is +H5 in the following Winter, which fits a warming sequence possibly associated with El Nino. The main point is just the skew warm-general +time. This is the mid-latitudes the following Winter (26-27 analog) Winter PNA DJF 25-26 was negative, so interesting that they got a #1 record warm Winter on the West coast. Monthly PNA: -1.41 2026 0.79 -0.56 -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
SteelCity87 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I always think of 2018 March storm. Second half of the month and we still managed 10.5" despite it all. One of my favorite storms. March 2011 was another but that was extremely heavy. Believe we got 8" or so in about 4 or 5 hours. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Winters for me is around the days before Thanksgiving to well int March/early April. March April storms usually suck though... It was a B+ Winter at best so far. A+ it is not...., not even close to tell you the truth. -
Guess it’s the same down in SNE between ORH and everyone else around there. Dripping off rooftops at ORH but locked up tight elsewhere.
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Talk about an inversion and fake cold preserving snowpack down low… 3,600ft… 29F 2,600ft… 36F 1,550ft… 39F (Ops building) 750ft… 21F (MVL and local PWS)
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Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations
Stx_Thunder replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
DFW radar storm totals up near 8" just southeast of the metro. Just in the past couple hours. Still looks very convectively interesting heading into the weekend and early next week with a meandering front and cutoff Low setting up out west over Baja region. Ensembles starting to trend on a faster, but stronger/deeper track into the state. -
Snowfall totals from this light snow event. Went C-2 statewide, probably could have easily done C-1 and it would have been better with just a couple reports around Killingly area over 1".
