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‘92-93 went from a top 5 season to pretty mediocre quite quickly once you got into central CT and southwest. It was actually below normal for snowfall once you got to NYC. Pretty amazing season though for BOS-ORH corridor and northward into your hood.

There are always things to worry about 3+ days out, but this is about as good as it gets for the EPA-NJ-NYC-LI region with regard to model consensus (at the surface). 2-4" shown by all the major globals (Euro, AIFS, GFS, CMC, and UK at least) with potential for 4-7" shown by the AIFS, and GFS (and the others in spots) seems like a good guess right now. I do worry a little about the possibility of a changeover to rain as seen on the CMC up through Philly and SNJ keeping accumulations way down and that possibly even moving further north into CNJ, but that's quibbling...

I fixed my post. Sometimes it's a mistake when you're at work to try to make a post in between work stuff.

Lock it in. Not a single person on here misses out on that solution.

lol this is an absurd shift

oh yeah, yes several. add EPS to that too.

I really hope people aren’t giving up on Friday night for a few inches minimum . Plenty of potential changes to come

Sorry about that, and I'm at work and tried doing a quick post. I just fixed it. Didn't know if it showed us getting several inches, but I wasn't sure if we should trust what we're seeing at this point

12z Euro AI Ensemble 10:1 48-hour total snowfall for Friday-Saturday .

Dude needs to take a break. Sit the next few plays out.

Those echoes over Ottawa/Montreal sliding SSE are building too.

this is pretty comical. NYE is now a legit timeframe to watch with that amplifying trough

It’s been 32 most of the day here so most of what has fallen hasn’t melted except the street that they plowed and over salted. Steady light snow. I’ll be happy with 1-2”. But to reach 2” it’ll have to pick up at least for an hour or two

Well played. I know you know, in fact I think we were talking about it earlier this season, how sometimes you have to make your best educated guess.

He probably meant "significant"...

Replace silent with solid…

Finished with 2.5" here. Really came down good for about 2 hours after my last post. I would have to give this an "over perform" at least based on what I was expecting. Was thinking 1 to maybe 2" here but even overshot the 2".

That cold front looks fierce and will be ushering in serious cold. Could be a high wind scenario for nearly all of PA.

Meta are experts and are taught and expected to read through multiple scenarios and atmospheric conditions and use your analysis to make a forecast. It’s forecasting, not model reading.

What the hell happened to the blowtorch on the weeklies? We were supposed to close the shades until February.

Nice snowman ! Bummed you will be leaving the area.

i dont know what this means

Temps in the valley generally 35 or 36. Would be snow with any rates but there's no rates.

Interesting look

There is an extreme cold pool over western Canada and all of Canada has deep snow cover. This cold pool will not modify anytime soon. Get some of that on a favorable trajectory over snow covered ground and it could get seriously cold around here as we move toward or through the first 10 days of January.