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lol the entire NFC East should be relegated - maybe pull in the top 2 each from the SEC and the Big 10

Just wanted to make a quick update while I have some free time. Here are the results of the Max Temp forecast for each station. Green highlights a daily record high. DC managed 4 100+ degree days this year. Congrats to both Hudsonvalley and Donsutherland for a tie this year with some close contenders. I'll post in about a week about November forecasts.

Well, almost everybody.

Holy AI slop

Here is roughly the last month and a half update. At this time of the +12c we were at Thanksgiving. Roughly about a month ahead of where we are in equivalency to 1997. We should know in the next 2 weeks how this works out but have this feeling we are done with significant warmings but rather how long this holds on compared to typical sst's which flatline now until about mid to late December.

I hear the flood gates open in November.

First time in NFL history a division goes winless for two consecutive weeks...I mean dang, lol

I don't know why but something feels off about that. 80W would be right on the immediate coastline which would maybe make the most sense right at the absolute surface not subsurface of 50-100m. Also we have seen a +12c subsurface before the only thing that has changed between 1997 and now is the average. On scale this is pretty inline with 1997 as for absolutes it is a whole different story.

Biberty

im so proud of you

Forky, Liberty is free …….. he found a way. As always …..

Great video https://youtu.be/4gP_R1OGeQ8?is=EA6MCfhV6sw9i-6k

Great video. This El Nino might screw up the warm forecasts. https://youtu.be/4gP_R1OGeQ8?is=EA6MCfhV6sw9i-6k

With the autumn we’ve had so far it’s hard to believe this was the scene 6 years ago today.

The latest CFSv2 10 day mean prog for RONI for Oct is +2.5 and for Nov is +2.75. The current record high for any month since 1950 is the +2.5 of Jan of 1983. Judging by the blue lines all being at or below +2.75, this graph’s +2.75 mean for Nov is likely heading down in future 10 day runs. @40/70 Benchmark’s prediction for RONI is looking pretty good: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/Rnino34.ascii.txt

Buda has fallen to 79/59 average highs/lows. However we are headed for summerlike 90s. I think Central Texas will experience an unusual anomaly associated with this Nino. We will be well west of The Plume, and somehow also much warmer than usual throughout the Nino Event. Since the Base State will be much warmer in 2027, the Summer of 2027 will break hundreds of high temperature records in Texas. I now expect a very dry autumn and winter for Buda, as well as a very dry Spring in 2027, that will also be associated with much warmer temperatures right into Summer next year that shall be catastrophic for my part of the world. The southeast and Mid Atlantic will be troffy, very wet and Mid Atlantic will also experience snows associated with arctic air masses that time with prodigious moisture throughout the Nino Event.

Today’s Euro Weeklies 10 mb zonal mean wind prog is even weaker than yesterdays, which had its lowest at 14 m/s, with it down to 12 m/s:

Wow…everybody saying the same thing in New England about what a great foliage year. Nice picture.

February 1983 and January 2016 were not regional and were both much better than the overhyped March 1993. Name me any other storm with record setting 30 inch snowfall at both Allentown and JFK. Even December 1992 without any significant snow here was far more extreme than the so-called "super storm. " The 2016 Blizzard was the Michael Jordan of snowstorms the GOAT of all superblizzards! 01-02 was the worst winter of my lifetime but followed by a wonderful April with the bluest skies I've ever seen and a great summer! If you hand over your site to him your site will disappear. I picture him pressing a button that he has no idea what it will do and POOF! If we ever get to control the climate this is the first thing I would fix, with massive underwater turbines to mix up the water which would cause it to cool. What caused the Kara block that led to the historic January 2016 super blizzard? Their historic 40/40 season. The only other place on the east coast that had that was Norfolk, VA in 1965-66 another strong el nino. In my experience January 26th is the cut off point. Even in the historic season of 1977-78 that's when we had our first big snow. In November 2012 we had our earliest ever double digit snowstorm! Not by a long shot lol the 1980s were much worse. The 1990s had two historic seasons. I buy Pinatubo for the summerless 1992 but how do you explain the record setting 1993 and 1995 summers? And Pinatubo wasn't some supervolcano it was only a VEI 6 eruption. The 70s and 80s were much colder than the 90s with far less snow. The point being that you dont need it to be very cold to snow. As a matter of fact it can be too cold to snow.

free libertybell

But you forgot December 1992 which was much much more devastating for coastal areas than March 1993 could ever be. It even exceeded Ash Wednesday 1962 here.