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Va. Beach over here waiting what exactly falls from the sky lol

3k is very warm at the surface. I learned my lesson discounting it last year.

Yeah as much as some of us carp, I’m thankful for my incredible privilege in so many ways. But here we talk snow so why not complain…lol?

I'm actually glad Harbaugh decided not to chase the missed extra point there. He does that shit too much and gets burned.

12z runs looked terrible for SNE

Yes - let me know which stations/years you want and your email address and I will send it along.

Looking like a snoozefest for the next 7-10 days or so as most of the winter activity gets confined north of I70. Though the CFS has a dream scenario painted out for White Christmas lovers with a storm moving through the area on Christmas Eve/Day with a deeper dip in the NW flow pattern. Will have to watch to see if that trends as it gets closer.

I was thinking that when I wrote that post. But we’ve also had some pretty bad stretches up here, particularly compared to normal, in recent years. Actually, what calms me and keeps me positive is looking inside my windows at my kids. When I do that, nothing really matters when it comes to weather. Happiness abounds!

Loop is poop.

Who is that Mitchell guy??? Has anyone here ever heard of him? Surprised they didn’t go for two there.

Afternoon LWX AFD for late next week chances Upslope snow showers will linger across the Alleghenies through Thursday before moisture is cutoff under west to southwest flow. Additional moisture arrives with a secondary Arctic front that looks to cross Thursday night into Friday. In additional to the front an area of low pressure expect to track along the boundary from the Tennessee River Valley and toward the Carolina/VA Tidewater region during the same aforementioned timeframe. The combination of these two systems could bring another round of impactful wintry weather to the region. Uncertainty still remains as some guidance has backed away on the development of this system while other guidance has a more organized wave of energy pushing through. Confidence is still low in regards to timing, intensity, and totals. Each of the deterministic model solutions and their ensembles favor a quick moving storms Friday into Saturday with another potent blast of cold air in it`s wake. The GFS, ECMWF, GEFS, and EPC all have some snow for the area while the GEM, RDPS, and CMCE do not. Of course these models are subject to change and likely to flip-flop in the coming days ahead. Will continue to monitor these changes and post additional information at weather.gov/lwx/winter. Highs Thursday will remain in the upper 30s and mid 40s with lows Thursday night in the mid to upper 20s 20s outside the mountains. Similar readings can be expected Friday with temperatures crashing into the teens and 20s Friday night into the wake of the front. 850 mb temps this weekend will plummet to 12 to 17 degrees C yielding highs below freezing on both Saturday and Sunday (teens mountains).

Snake eyes baby!!!

It feels like five straight years of bad luck around here.

Arrived back up to Pit2 for some weenie flakes...hopefully pointing to the higher end amounts on the 1-3" forecast. 32*

I've been in MontCo for 32 years and have family in southern MD. I think the winter climo has changed where being in the "northern and western suburbs" is no longer an advantage. Marginal, mixed events are further north and we miss the southern sliders/coastal scrapers, leaving a snowfall minima in the center of our region.

Pretty much entire NYC metro area. Colder and dry looks to dominate next 7-10 days at least and that takes us to about 12/17. Beyond 12/17 through perhaps the end of the month I'd lean towards that period averaging colder than normal to at worst normal...along the lines of -2 to +.5 as an early call for 12/16 to 12/31. Below normal precipitation as well I think.

Will glance at the 00Z models but this one looks cooked for us. Maybe we will get some token flakes.

Look out your window. What is different for you vs many of us?

New NAM is terrible

Of course there’s a lot of things that could happen but there’s also a reasonable chance of good outcomes. I just appreciate that you don’t swing run to run and you just look at the whole situation and talk about what small shifts could we see that would have a big difference. I mean, whatever will be will be, but we live our life in each moment and it seems a shame to feed negative emotions and negativity.

I don't blame you. At this point, how can you believe it after what happened Friday and also today's milder outcome. To add insult to injury, several inches expected at Virginia Beach and down the NE Nc Beach area.

It’ll get pretty bad in here if we whiff on everything between now and mid-month and then if that relaxation trends back but instead hits closer to Xmas

55 here now! Hrrr and nam both keep the border counties snow. Looks like a nice 1-2" surprise may be in store for my area. I'll believe it when it's falling from the sky though.

I moved from by the Richmond airport to Spotsylvania County in 2017 thinking I would see a lot more snow. Since then have seen a lot of these types of southern sliders. It gets frustrating.

51 degree's here ! I almost pulled the trigger yesterday saying I wouldn't be surprised if we hit 50. The Great Valley warm nose, lol.