All Activity
- Past hour
-
Is we back? February discussion thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
This was a predictable outcome -
Well... obviously at 200+ hours none of this has much value but just for muse, you have the GFS backing a blue cling-snow bomb into a grid failed eastern NE, while the Euro's pushing up premature daisy shoots at that same time.
-
It did well in December when sniffing out the clipper threats and with the miss a week and a half ago.
-
Did your kid cry this time when he saw it? He should. Great opportunity to bond over weenie tears.
-
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
donsutherland1 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
The operational ECMWF abandoned its call for a big snowstorm, but its AI cousin maintained continuity from its earlier cycles with its call for a lack of snow. FWIW, I've seen some complaints on social media concerning the EC-AIFS. They concern the model's being a "black box." At this point, given what I've seen, it's probably better that the AIFS is, in fact, a "black box," as it limits the ability of those who don't like what they see from injecting their own biases into the mix; a lot of that occurs when the non-AI model solutions are pulled apart (often yielding incorrect solutions from the injection of subjectivity). The AIFS has done quite well this winter, especially within four days. It has sometimes seen changes, but its run-to-run continuity is generally better than its non-AI counterparts, aside from its accuracy. This allows for longer lead time without compromising accuracy. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I woke up this morning to see NWS had changed my forecast to mostly sunny and was expecting a decent day. It's been completely overcast and the north winds are howling. Just went for a walk around Harrisburg at lunch and it was miserable haha. -
It's not me, it's everybody else! "They're Gaslighting! By using my own words against me!!!!"
-
ding ding ding! 'what does he win, Johnny!' Now... one could have read my three paragraph physical dissertation on synoptic NVA's damping effects down at the short wave PVA scale as it was written probably three different ways over the last three days OR, 'had almost no chance' would have equally sufficed -
-
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
dendrite replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
-
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
Damage In Tolland replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Getting some snow showers moving thru . Looks like LES band -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
CPcantmeasuresnow replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
That sounds like Monmouth county. The flowers should be blooming next week. -
Is we back? February discussion thread
Damage In Tolland replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
Don’t think it’s done from just one run. Let’s see next day or two and ensembles. Stay the course for now -
not north of you only reached 40 here with clouds all day
-
Is we back? February discussion thread
CPcantmeasuresnow replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
If this were an AI model I'd swear they're just messing with the inferior beings already. -
remember that time our radar worked
-
No phase at 12Z on euro = suppressed storm
-
There was a massive sewage spill about a month ago just NW of DC. One of the largest (unintentional) spills in U.S. history. But right now, all of that sewage is sitting frozen (or under ice) in the canal area. An amped system would finally flush it out into our waterways where it will settle and create algae blooms along with an enormous stench throughout the spring and summer. Lets get this sewage moving. Amp this thing up! Unleash the sewage blob!
-
Lol once again trying to flip the script. I’ve been posting on some iteration of this board for over 20 years and have always been made to feel less than. -Always. When I finally fight back. Just more gaslighting. Okay! Rewrite 20 yrs of history
-
Is we back? February discussion thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
The AmwxMoney Ball group text just started like an hour ago. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
Jersey_Snowhole replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
You can feel it. It’s coming snowfall melt is rapidly accelerating thank God.
