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  2. Well... obviously at 200+ hours none of this has much value but just for muse, you have the GFS backing a blue cling-snow bomb into a grid failed eastern NE, while the Euro's pushing up premature daisy shoots at that same time.
  3. It did well in December when sniffing out the clipper threats and with the miss a week and a half ago.
  4. Definitely not the last shot by seasonal perspective, but I find March to be truly overrated in the snow dept. Really can’t rely on that around here. But it is kinda weird how we don’t get much snow it seems in late February…it’s kinda like our late December void.
  5. Did your kid cry this time when he saw it? He should. Great opportunity to bond over weenie tears.
  6. The operational ECMWF abandoned its call for a big snowstorm, but its AI cousin maintained continuity from its earlier cycles with its call for a lack of snow. FWIW, I've seen some complaints on social media concerning the EC-AIFS. They concern the model's being a "black box." At this point, given what I've seen, it's probably better that the AIFS is, in fact, a "black box," as it limits the ability of those who don't like what they see from injecting their own biases into the mix; a lot of that occurs when the non-AI model solutions are pulled apart (often yielding incorrect solutions from the injection of subjectivity). The AIFS has done quite well this winter, especially within four days. It has sometimes seen changes, but its run-to-run continuity is generally better than its non-AI counterparts, aside from its accuracy. This allows for longer lead time without compromising accuracy.
  7. I woke up this morning to see NWS had changed my forecast to mostly sunny and was expecting a decent day. It's been completely overcast and the north winds are howling. Just went for a walk around Harrisburg at lunch and it was miserable haha.
  8. It's not me, it's everybody else! "They're Gaslighting! By using my own words against me!!!!"
  9. ding ding ding! 'what does he win, Johnny!' Now... one could have read my three paragraph physical dissertation on synoptic NVA's damping effects down at the short wave PVA scale as it was written probably three different ways over the last three days OR, 'had almost no chance' would have equally sufficed -
  10. Looks like the max ran from Mark to Pope, but we were right on the edge of the jack zone here
  11. Getting some snow showers moving thru . Looks like LES band
  12. That sounds like Monmouth county. The flowers should be blooming next week.
  13. Don’t think it’s done from just one run. Let’s see next day or two and ensembles. Stay the course for now
  14. not north of you only reached 40 here with clouds all day
  15. If this were an AI model I'd swear they're just messing with the inferior beings already.
  16. remember that time our radar worked
  17. No phase at 12Z on euro = suppressed storm
  18. There was a massive sewage spill about a month ago just NW of DC. One of the largest (unintentional) spills in U.S. history. But right now, all of that sewage is sitting frozen (or under ice) in the canal area. An amped system would finally flush it out into our waterways where it will settle and create algae blooms along with an enormous stench throughout the spring and summer. Lets get this sewage moving. Amp this thing up! Unleash the sewage blob!
  19. Lol once again trying to flip the script. I’ve been posting on some iteration of this board for over 20 years and have always been made to feel less than. -Always. When I finally fight back. Just more gaslighting. Okay! Rewrite 20 yrs of history
  20. The AmwxMoney Ball group text just started like an hour ago.
  21. You can feel it. It’s coming snowfall melt is rapidly accelerating thank God.
  22. This is a big admission that a number should heed. Even 5 days out waffles all over the place but the 10+ day stuff is absolute chicanery
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