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far enough out where that can change

Not much. All light. Maybe 3 inches lol?

Looks too warm.

__ Table of forecasts for January 2026 __ ____ FORECASTER _____________________ DCA _NYC _BOS ___ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA Rhino16 __________________________ +3.0 _+2.3 _+1.5 ___ -0.2 _+3.5 _+3.5 ___ -0.4 _-0.9 _+1.5 Scotty Lightning _________________ +1.0 _+1.0 _ +0.5 ___+0.5 _+1.5 _+1.5 ___ +0.5 _+1.0 _+0.5 wxallannj ________________________ +0.5 _-0.4 _-0.7 ___ -0.4 _+2.5 _+2.2 ___ +2.0 _+1.6 _+0.7 RJay ______________________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 __+3.0 _+4.0 ___+1.0 _+2.5 __0.0 ____ Normal _______________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 hudsonvalley21 __________________ -0.4 _-1.2 _-1.4 ___ -1.5 _ +0.7 _ +1.9 ___ -0.3 _ +2.1 _ +0.2 StormchaserChuck1 _____________ -0.5 _-1.2 _ -1.7 ___ -2.5 _ +1.0 _+2.7 ___ +1.5 _ +3.5 _ +0.7 DonSutherland1 _________________ -0.5 _ -1.9 _ -2.0 __ -0.2 _+2.2 _+3.8 ___ +2.0 _ +2.7 _ +2.0 ___ consensus ___________________-0.6 _ -1.2 _ -1.4 __ -0.3 _ +1.6 _ +2.1 ___ +1.1 __ +1.6 _ +0.9 RodneyS _________________________ -0.7 _-0.6 _-0.5 ___ +0.3 _+2.7 _+3.3 ___ +0.5 _+0.7 _+0.8 so_whats_happening _____________-1.1 __-1.0 _ -1.7 ___ -0.5 _ +1.6 _ +1.9 ___ +1.9 _ +1.6 _ +1.0 BKViking _________________________-1.5 _ -1.4 _ -1.2 ___ -1.6 _ +0.9 _ +1.0 ___ +0.5 _+1.6 _+1.0 Tom _____________________________ -1.9 _ -2.5 _-2.4 ___ -2.6 _ -0.8 _ +1.1 ____+0.7 _+1.2 _ +0.4 dmillz25 __________________________ -2.0 _-2.5 _-1.5 ___ +0.5 _+1.7 _+2.5 ___ +3.0 _+2.0 _+1.5 wxdude64 ________________________-2.1 _ -2.2 _-2.3 ___ -1.8 _-0.6 _+0.6 ____ +1.1 _ +2.1 _ +1.3 Roger Smith ______________________-2.5 _ -2.8 _ -2.9 __ -1.5 __ 0.0 _+2.0 ___ +4.5 _+3.5 _+1.0 ============================== Persistence (Dec 2025) __________-4.4 _-5.3 _-4.4 ____-3.5 _+1.7 _+4.0 ___ +11.1 _ +7.4 _ +3.2 ================= Highest and lowest forecasts (excluding persistence) are color coded; Normal is lowest for IAH and tied lowest for SEA.

hoping all of SNE can pick up something

Down to 13F so far, forecasted low of 13F so how low do we go?

Ok enough Hoffman chatter.

apparently a snowy owl was spotted by Haines Point, so a bunch of folks were over there.

Got a nother dusting of snow this evening. Currently mostly cloudy. 19.4°

Rain

Mixed south?

What's the total snowfall because I want to compare it to Pivotal.

You missed out on the politics thread, eh?

AIFS has like 5 snow events rt 2 north.. no true cutters through day 15

Monthly outcomes are the result of climate change, synoptic patterns and, in the major cities, urban heat island effect. Monthly outcomes are useful for illustrating how synoptic patterns translate in a warming climate. Flagstaff, Phoenix, Tucson, and Yuma have all seen a disproportionate share of their top 10 warmest years since 2000, 2010, and 2020. This skewing of results speaks strongly, but not entirely, of how the region's climate has changed. Similar skewing can be seen in the Arizona statewide data for warmest years and the Southwest regional data for the warmest years.

One of these days I’m going to sit outside by a fire with a winter storm warning and verification on the ground. When it happens, you’ll never catch me taking it for granted again.

3 new pages and I thought something good happened. Instead, just the same cliff diving and Amber Alerts for PSU. We never change

It certainly is! I do wonder what social media these folks could have seen that prompted them to cancel more than 2 weeks away. Cataloochee has been blowing snow since last Sunday night every night including Tube World.

These "under forecasted" snowfalls since wed night here, have been something else. I came home tonight to another 2.5 to 3" inches of new snow from today. Forecast this morning at last check was, a 40% chance of scattered snow showers lol. Since wed night, I've picked up 6" inches of snow. Pretty wild actually. I will absolutely remember this winter for its very frequent and over achieving nickle and dime events, and odd far stretching les streamers that actually put down good amounts. Seasonal total now sits at, 29.0". Feels like deep winter with a nice snow pack and 15 degrees currently. What a shame this will be wiped out next week.

the EURO AI keeps throwing snow our way after the 12th....its like a lake affect band that never stops

Someone cancelling a trip because they are worried about what the weather will be in the NC mountains 17 days in advance is certainly... a choice.

We need a threat so badly. Long range thread is mayhem.

Nice! Birdwatching is my big hobby. Was debating driving to Great Falls VA today. Very rare bird there the last 2 days. Red-flanked Bluetail.

Euro AIfS have been the most skillful on paper.