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  2. La Niña did not start fading in December lol
  3. RGEM is now a modest hit for the Cape, perhaps advisory. I know, exciting for all on here.
  4. What’s is the precipitation forecast for this time?
  5. FWIW the 18z ICON has some closer members compared to 12z
  6. .02 isn’t much. I’d think something was up if it didn’t go up or down a little. .
  7. Going to say pretty rare. I only moved here in 2020 so it was definitely the most I'd seen in one storm! Originally from Georgia!
  8. https://www.facebook.com/share/1Zzhhs4Wud/?mibextid=wwXIfr How the south does it!
  9. It’ll come back down. Models are even barely grazing the outer Cape now. Ouch.
  10. Pattern is just so dry…gotta find a way to get next week to turn into a minor event like BChill said. Would really be a waste to not get at least a stat padder/snow topper out of this Arctic pattern.
  11. So far most all 18Z have trended NW. Not a huge jump but maybe the NW trend has begun. It should be subtle thru tomorrow 12z. But hope its there.
  12. This ongoing cold wave has erased the big above normal departures of the first half of January
  13. Temps since Saturday imby. What a stretch. Sat: 18.1/9.0 Sun: 21.7/13.5 Mon: 28.3/16.8 Tue: 26.3/8.5 Wed: 22.7/9.1 Thu: 23.3/5.2
  14. Kat, with Mike in the background said 9min ago they are sticking to 3-6 but have considered bumping it up. Haven’t decided yet. They are holding. Numbers have NOT gone down on their forecast since this morning. They have only upped some areas. on same topic, WRAL is notorious for saying the euro shows things it doesn’t. They are also regularly guilty of mixed messaging minute by minute and between social media accounts as far as verbal comments.
  15. No, because the cold air is here with snow on the ground...acts like a warm blanket for them
  16. It's just getting more into a better range for it. Also, keep in mind, most models tend to actually underestimate QPF.
  17. Mike Maze put out a PM update. He said snow total probabilities are dropping off on the Euro. Two bullseyes setting up.
  18. Johnson City is 93 percent for over 4 and about 80 percent for oved 6.
  19. Hate RGEM is trending drier each run. One trend red flag for me on the difference between snow and a solid snow.
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