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Interesting Christmas solution on GFS today. certainly different and further south track of what appears to be a warm core clipper....I totally made that up...no such thing...

Someone w some cash to burn should acquire one of those fake snow systems that ski resorts use and see what happens. Maybe we can reverse-psychology ma nature into putting up finally... or you can pay my block a visit, it works out either way.

Still a little Christmas Eve snow on the GFS

We can ask the same question for Christmas, apparently.

we got all sorts of wind and fire out here! (probably not that much fire)

And then what happens later in Christmas week? Any shot at a white Christmas in Chester County?

Okay, that is what threw me off...I saw hot it compared to the 90s, which I perceive as a good decade.

Yes, I stand corrected. There was missing info in my data set post-depression from 1929 through 1935.

No they didn’t that well. That’s like 8-10” below climo. Where they got skunked a bit was the 1990s compared to ORH and BOS.

It doesn’t last too long but it’s pretty intense discomfort

It is also one of the coolest stations during summer heatwaves due to the overgrown tree canopy, so this cuts both ways.

I’m not seeing a way out (yet) from a canonical Niña February, I’ll reserve my final opinion once we are into January. That said, if there is in fact a major SSWE in February like you think there will be, with the lag, I would think that would/could affect March more so than February, especially if it occurs closer to mid-February (i.e. 2018)

Hartford averaged 37” in the 1930s

Up to 32.7° No real signs of dripping yet.

That was one my one great event...I had 16", but my mom in Wilmington had like 20".

That early Feb storm was a screw job for a lot of people, myself included when I was in RI.

My 4 yr old and now 11 month old have it.

Looping vis suggests this is transient and you open up out there over the next hour. We'll see. May not be "sunny" today, but a compromise

I only remember the 80s for 3" of snow followed by sleet an slop. Maybe it happened often, though.

Little OT, but I got my ass kicked by that virus that’s going around. Finally get back to work today and I have a full sidewall blowout on the highway. Been a fun past week.

QPF ramping down on the GFS. Will a 6" partially glacial pack withstand a 48hr warmup and maybe 3/4" rain? My guess is yeah, and even if not a coating to measurable seems kind of likely before christmas anyway.

Jesus... Man, you guys did fine in the 80s.

12z suite is rolling. I am going to put my thoughts on this suite in this single post. I will simply update it by editing. Feel free to comment. Just know this post is going to have several comments. So, you might "like" one thing, and it might be followed by something you don't like. Haha. 12z GFS -The GFS is really the first model to correct the Pacific NW. It has beens slowly doing this very several runs. Let's see where this run goes. I generally just toss the run if a slp wonders from British Columbia to 500 east of LA. 6z had a realistic solution. -@ 132 the GFS is flirting w/ a winter event over SE KY, SW VA, and NE TN. Probably is WAA, but tough to tell. Interesting development which I don't think has been there before. -The interesting thing is that there is a hp sitting over the top of that. -@ 195 that looks like more feedback over the Pac NW. Interestingly, there is an EPO ridge forming(temporary?). Definitely seems like this timeframe is a demarcation between a good path back to winter weather and on that is not.

The entire ENSO thread is a tug of war between those extremes.

At least we don't live in the 1930s. Decadal Average Annual Snowfall for Hartford, CT 1920–1929: ~31.0 inches 1930–1939: ~14.8 inches 1940–1949: ~35.4 inches 1950–1959: ~40.9 inches 1960–1969: ~60.5 inches 1970–1979: ~46.2 inches 1980–1989: ~39.2 inches 1990–1999: ~39.5 inches 2000–2009: ~45.2 inches 2010–2019: ~51.8 inches 2020–2024: ~27.3 inches