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Next 6-7 days almost looks fall like. 3 straight incredible days already, this is absolutely unbelievable considering where we were

Good lord is that your biggest comeback? How anyone on this forum deals with you is beyond me. You're a literal moron who delights in being the biggest Trumptard on here.

Echoing what Andy said on twitter here, this has been my thinking with any tropical system development in the MDR this month: https://x.com/AndyHazelton/status/1952439813619003854 We've had round after round of SAL outbreaks across the Atlantic the past month or two. It looks to relax a bit in this favorable stretch approaching, but I won't believe any model until we see a potent AEW with persistent convection. Also, beyond just a wave developing into a TC, I think the real key in the modeling is how they handle the weak ULL in the north Atlantic and if that allows for a weakness for a TC to slip north. Current SAL situation: 12z GFS with the tropical wave and some lessening of the dry upper air regime.

12z EPS was quite aggressive today. The sooner we get a low to form the higher the odds of genesis becomes. Note where the highest probabilities are. Looking at the GEFS/GFS however there’s still a lot of uncertainty with this one.

A little surprised that the EPS was so bullish on the disturbance at 12z. Very high odds of a TD with modest odds of a TS. Note where the highest probabilities are.

Pretty meh at the surface

Dews will not and cannot and will never be kept down .

This quite literally went up in smoke.

LOL ... yeah, it's all Steve's fault the planet Earth has accelerated CC to the point where unmitigated natural disasters befall a burgeoning population that's been 1,000 years in making an 8 billion population of environmental destroyers ... f*n boomer! sorry that exchange was funny

78/68, but feels muggier

Starting to tickle up here. 61 td I did turn the AC back on, partially to Filter any smoke, partially for incoming dews.

Dew is 67. Starting to feel good out there again after last few days

Augdewst

Of which month?

Days and days..

Or Chumpy voices support for Trump

Gross air quality. My lungs are hating on this. sneaky warmth today as well. 88F

2025 is the 7th year during which Newark had 30 or more 90° or above highs by August 4th. Today was its 31st such day. Here's how things evolved during the prior six years:

Looks like a really low probability of rain in our region end of the week and through the weekend . HP is dominant and any forcing is super weak. Early next week doesn't look all that promising right now either, but we shall see. The HP will be shifting eastward into the western Atlantic, so an opportunity for a disturbance to make some northward progress with with a more moisture laden flow on the backside.

If you're right, you buy everyone beers on CC or near landfall. deal?

k

Week of 17th

When's the cane

quoted from another board