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Waves look pretty damn huge in Atlantic beach right now https://www.oceananapier.com/fishing-pier

bummer

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next day or so, and Erin could become a major hurricane again tonight. Weakening is likely to begin by Friday, but Erin is forecast to remain a hurricane into the weekend. Erin is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 265 miles (425 km). During the past few hours, NOAA buoy 41002, located west of the center, has reported sustained winds of 62 mph (100 km/h) and a wind gust of 72 mph (115 km/h). The minimum central pressure just reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 941 mb (27.79 inches).

The temperature in White Plains has now fallen into the 50s. That is the 7th day this month and the most during August 1-20 since 2013.

1.57" of soaking rain.

Ok yeah, admittedly Augdewst is a fail but a couple days last week were miserable and they stick out in my mind lol

I can't believe they are allowing me to view this porn at work....

I think @WxUSAF hit the nail on the head. These bigger storms need general phasing pieces to really allow for a significant mid-latitude cyclone and we haven't seen too many due to the fast flow from the N/S and more chaotic nature of faster low amplitude waves. By the time they rendezvous, it's usually too far north in latitude to matter for these parts. We value blocking as that slows down the wave train and allows for greater amplitude in trough patterns as they migrate east of the Rockies. We've been on the outside looking in for years now, but hopefully some signs of the AMO shifting could bring back more periods of blocking across the North Atlantic. Until then, it's going to be tough to generate significant east coast storms at a higher frequency. Those that can develop could still be very strong, however so something to keep in mind when we do have signals for a major mid-latitude cyclone.

.57 so far here today

1.54" on the day with light rain now, 56/55.

Hartford is below normal for the month. 15 out of the first 20 days have been below normal. Humidity has been at an all-time low for the month of August. Did it get warm early in the summer? Sure did, especially June.

Phoenix is on track to record its fourth hottest summer on record. All four will have occurred since 2020. The ranking will be as follows: 1. 2024 2. 2023 3. 2020 4. 2025

About .9" and 52°. When did October start?

I guess we're all bored with Erin. Hurricane Isabel 165 MPH winds with a bizarre rotating eye in the eye. Never before, never again.

The waters are freaking high everywhere

2 hours ago: Unfortunately, Hurricane Erin's storm surge was too much for NC12 tonight. We will be CLOSING NC12 from Oregon Inlet to Hatteras Village at 6:30 p.m. Conditions are too unsafe for people to be driving in. If you come across any flood waters, turn around, don't drown. #ncwx

.18 rain today.

Definitely no at BDL tonight, 1.21" for the day. HRRR did a good job at least up here.

No I don't I'm saying it's been way too warm and humid this summer (Torch and DIT type weather) with the exception of a few days here or there. That's why I don't get why everyone is this excited about one, albeit exceptionally cool, day. We all know the drill, it'll be 70-80 right into November.

Moderate coastal flooding expected along the south shore tomorrow evening. Definitely enough to flood the low lying spots in Freeport, Lindenhurst, Island Park etc.

Interesting read on another weather anomaly happening in the Indian ocean. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/new-iod-event-developing-winter-pattern-forecast-united-states-canada-fa/

Erin might be the most overrated hurricane ever.

There are some signals that December can be a cold month here due to a weaker early season PV, displaced SE PV, and as you mentioned, a -QBO.

.56 with moderate rain. 55/55

It hasn’t strengthened at all based on that first pass. Winds probably still a bit generous. Think the opportunity to regain 3 intensity is rapidly fading. It does appear to be kicking east some. Based on buoy reports between the storm and hatteras I’m not certain tropical storm force wind will make it to land. I think the models may have overdone the western extent of TS force winds somewhat really unimpressive buoy reports anywhere near the coast