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Couldn’t even break 70 today. Let’s skip ahead to Christmas morning, enough of this chilly bullcrap.

moderate vertical shear and strong upper-level divergence. Much of the intensity guidance suggests the hurricane should strengthen during this time, if the spread-out wind field can become more concentrated near the re-formed eyewall. On the basis of this happening, the new intensity forecast calls for slow strengthening during the first 36 h. However, an alternative scenario is that the central pressure falls considerably without a lot of increase in the winds as the hurricane grows larger. After 36 h, increasing shear and the start of extratropical transition should cause weakening, and Erin is now forecast to become an extratropical low by 96 h.

Erin has become a little better organized during the past several hours. Conventional satellite imagery shows persistent strong convection near and to the north of the center, while microwave overpasses and reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the eyewall is trying to re-form. After 72 h, the there is more spread, and the consensus models have shifted a little northward. In response, this portion of the track has been shifted to the north.

89’d today, maybe the last wave of 70 dews for the year.

We need my fantasy week of no snow cover and high temperatures in the single digits.

I went down to Falmouth the next day. Upper Cape / Buzzards Bay got tuned up!

High today was 70. from 65 low.

Still some strong winds aloft, but the need to rebuild convection and the expanding wind field has taken a toll on maximum surface winds

There were calls for 6-12", won't necro-bump but they were around

18z euro a little north.

Wasn’t expecting more than drops here so no…not invested

That would be great but as always this summer I'll believe it when I see it. Could easily focus way inland/north. Have to watch it evolve.

did you buy in?

Slapped away

Ha was just going to post the same thing

Hrrr steins

I was thinking stein in my area as recently as a day ago. Now it looks like at least some rain. Nasty day for August

Someone probably gets a few inches of rain, I just think it's to our north or south

I'll take the under

It just gets exhausting trying to explain this to the people that can’t synthesize global perspectives; probably as a native intellectual limitation. Which unfortunately is precisely what is needed if somebody’s going to understand how global warming works Dimes to donuts the majority of the people in the denier frame of mine are narrow perspective types

Was hoping for more, but I'll take an inch or so...

This screams NYC and NJ. There will be a bunch of have nots

Maybe this quasi-PRE can produce and someone floods tomorrow.

This is a childish perspective though Meteorology is not relegated to a single regions like that we are not decoupled from the continental circumstance. But in the end, this is all just subjective anyway. If the wind switched southwest, that heat would be available to this region. The back of summer being broken should to me mean is no more heat is available or likely to occur. Neither of those circumstances are true at this time and you know why… Because it’s only August 18.

Pretty bad that nobody knows what's going to happen the next 24 hours