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I think you'll score. but maybe 3-6" instead of the largest snowstorm on record at DCA that the GFS depicts.

Not really. It has been consistently a fail for us. And it makes sense at the upper levels.

The initial wave isn’t from the IVT, it’s from the interaction of the northern and southern streams. The IVT only comes into play once the low starts to head well east. It actually mostly misses us on this run and slams York/Lancaster.

He's not even looking at the GFS when it comes to climo though. It is so far out of what everything else is saying.

So euro was extremely disappointing

Do you know where you are this is thunderdome

If I had to guess I’d say the AIFS ensembles will be a little east as well, lower heights ahead of it, a little more lingering of that stupid SE Canada malarkey

An IVT working out in the metro area is as likely as the Nats winning the WS this year

Tight gradient like you read about.

I'd be thrilled to get 5 inches from this. I'm glad the bad trends of the last couple days stopped and we're headed back in the right direction tonight. A light to moderate event looks likely.

10:1. SV doesn't kuchie or update their windows 96 like graphics

Threw precip a bit further north. Blizzard for cape and islands. AIFS looks good too

Is IVT the new meso "atmospheric river". cool. i like it

Another win for the machines or a comeuppance?

Is the IVT even reliable meh

Euro is a tick east but still nice

Of course!

If I wanted to get edged I could handle that myself

At least we have 2 ways to score a little fresh pow

Do you have a mirror handy?.

This Euro run hints at how someone that gets lucky with the IVT can pick up a foot. Where that ends up being becomes a nowcast.

I’ve seen many of those ways on both sides, I can concur.

Low, long rumbles.

Tomorrow night we should know if we still have high-end potential or if we're going to get "edged" again.