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At least we’re not burning prime climo but I am very concerned given it being Nina and pacific heading to crap. All this blocking and +PNA we’ve had has still managed to produce a “heatwave” and northern storm track so losing blocking and pacific turning bad does not bode well

And got some nice icicles overnight lol

Snowing nicely again

Hopefully it all comes in 1 storm.

They’re running for their lives up here. Lots of good ol’ boys up the hill shooting off their heavy artillery. I don’t even dare walk into the woods out back right now. There’s been a lot of wild turkeys around lately and I often see them stopping cars when they cross.

Hopefully a latitude winter. 100" there 30" here

The snow came down furiously in the late afternoon/evening. I have some videos from then and I recently rewatched them and remembered how heavy it was coming down.

Most of us had a weaker 500 mb PNA this December than last year using different methods.

Completely agree. I see the December, 1983 talk by some as being equally ridiculous….volcanic stratosphere from a VEI-5 tropical eruption the year before, +QBO, +PDO

Fruit fly in the coffee this morning?

Raked the yard yesterday. Guessing you won’t be able to tell by this evening.

My wife almost hit one last week, a small deer ran into the road in front of our car and just stopped and stared into the headlights. Close call but the little guy was alright.

Yes. A PNA- is one of my baseline assumptions for December. The combination of EPO-/WPO-/AO- with a PNA- isn't all that bad based on the composite values and the majority of dates in the clusters for such a setup. There should be some intrusions of cold air into the East with perhaps some snowfall prospects. I could see December finishing with 2"-4" monthly snowfall in the NYC area (much more in the Great Lakes Region, especially Detroit to Toronto). For now, I don't think a blockbuster snowy month is in order. I don't think we'll see anything close to December 2010-type cold. I do believe that the EPO-/WPO- should thwart the possibility of a top 10 warmest December. Given the timeframe involved, changes are still possible.

Wonder if anybody knows that scene.

“Mountain Magic”

Who's we

The ensembles are starting to show more of an Aleutian/Bering Sea ridge setting up in early December as opposed to an Alaskan ridge. If correct, that’s going to allow a lot more -PNA/RNA. I know Ray expected this to happen for December….

But it FEELS like it’s the windiest and that’s what really matters

Wxrisk.com MILD / DRY TRAVEL DAY WED 11/26 and TURKEY DAY 11/27 FOR EASTERN US then the stuffing goes sideways IMAGE #1 is the 500mb map from the European Ensemble valid as of November 25 on the left and November 30th on the right. and you can see the massive changes that occurs during the Thanksgiving holiday across the Central and Eastern us and North America in general. IMAGE #2 shows the 850mb temperatures (approx 1 miles above ground) … this is essentially the basic guide for used in determining snow versus rain during the winter months. and you can see how this is really cold air which is delineated by the -10C at 8:50mb with a yellow line it plunges dramatically Southward during Thanksgiving weekend.

Wow, and we have the winter and spring winds to go till it starts settling down.

Low of 50. Winds were howling overnight. Should be some nice squalls around today. I got a final mow and a bunch of yard cleanup in yesterday. Ready for winter, despite some mild spells looking to take hold over the next few weeks.

I mean we have pics of Alex’s snow covered evergreens, PFs chairlifts shrouded in dendrites, and Jspin’s novels of how the snow texture changed from 2k to 3k at Smugglers Notch. What more could you ask for?

@sauss06 maybe would lend a hand as well? I am already done with wind this Fall.