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No surprise to me, a trend already showing today that the storm near 12/1 in the Plains/MW may not be as strong. Solutions were just unrealistically amped the previous 2 days which is why I said be wary of bridge jumping over the SER 12/1-12/4 because if we went the way we've gone most recent winters, those types of bombs, even in that part of the country have been hard to come by. Weaker or more strung out system there that SER won't pump anywhere near that strong

Picked up .12" yesterday morning. Another .12" this morning and then had a surprise thunderstorm this evening drop .39". This puts me at 1.44" for the month.

It could get icy at times. That’s the bigger risk than suppression.

It looks like 07-08. I will take my chances with this look ANY DAY over any strong or super Nino December.

Yes we are!!!

"It’s my locker room." This team...for this team to drop 6 straight and play like this in response? Give it to him. @Mount Joy SnowmanI think you make a valid point, but I don't know how you look past him right now.

That'll do it. The entire country just saw players endorse the guy. The search is over.

Yea, I wasn't trying to insinuate that you should take that particular rin verbatim, but rather my point was that that the overall pattern matched my composite qualitatively speaking.

This was last year's outlook.

Okay so let's remove the emotion. 1) Gateway was one of the best programs in the state when he ran it. So Smith is known throughout the WPIAL as a program builder and a winner. 2) He is already known as a great recruiter. Penn State recruits well in Philadelphia and Jersey suburbs, DC/NOVA, and the Hampton Roads. Where they seem to struggle a little bit is in Western PA, where the best football is played in the state. Perhaps some kids from Farrell, Aliquippa, Pine-Richland, and other places start to sniff around a little more instead of going straight to Pitt, West Virginia, and Ohio State when they're wanted. 3) He once obliterated his team after a 27-0 win for lack of effort. Players seem to respond to somebody who is going to provide you with the tools to be the best but then expects you to do so. Look at the list of candidates. Who do you think is automatically a better long term plan? Kalen DeBoer? Maybe but that's an expensive "What if?" Lane Kiffin isn't the least bit interested, Mike Elko is getting paid by the Cult, Eli Drinkwitz absolutely STINKS, Matt Rhule STINKS, Bob Chesney from James Madison is an absolute unknown based on the Chaos of Cignetti, which, if Indiana doesn't win a playoff game or two, that dude starts feeling heat fast. Joe Brady is likely staying in the league, Brian Hartline will probably get paid to wait out Ryan Day, so who is left? Remove the tag. Give him two years. If it doesn't work, in two years you go after the shiniest new hire. The fans are chanting "Terry" as I type this.

Looks pretty much standard La Nina. Not surprising from Them.

No, I meant on latter December -NAO. I agree regarding emergence of Pacific trough pattern.

That’s the last thing I want. I’d rather roll the dice with strong lows than hearing about deamplifying trends all season long.

I think it will. Goes to your warm up near Christmas.

Not hard. Thats just a picture at this time horizon. Artwork. We see these model phantoms a lot, due to said background state.

I wouldn't hold your breath on that.

I meant later as the PAC ridge might relax mid month.

I am extremely confident se Canada will be cold more often than not and have been since like August. ...like 10/10 confidence.

Yes, agreed.

Cards are stacked against us. Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no

I'm not basing it on a 15 day model...and yes, I've locked it in as it pertains to the seasonal mean.

73.5"...probably low 80s IMBY now

"It only takes one storm....." in 3, 2, 1.......

All -NAO would do is grind these waves. That modeled pattern is perfect.

Yeah probably some good chasing opportunities.