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It’s funny you mention that because my days of tracking weather on this board have only been since 2019, but when I look back on the older pages for storms in the past, sometimes there would would be new threads for each one of the model suites when there was a big storm coming. This place used to get a lot of traffic back in the day, clearly. Been much quieter ever since.

Aren't you out near Winchester? Even if you are anywhere east of there it isnt better lol.

Ninja'd!

That's one hell of a big molar in nw Virginia. Quite the dental office there, I'm sure.

Nah not seeing a reason for negative attitude on that beyond the 25th no way… First of all the ridge axis associated with that positive PNA is perfectly climatologically aligned in terms of longitude. Anything that gets ejected each of that feature will end up west of that trough as depicted in the EPS mean that Brooklyn’ provided. But it’s not just that spatial reasoning and a-priori aspect, the index is numerological ie pure mathematics. It’s like we’re mathematically sounding an alarm and we have at least a reasonable footprint in the spatial structure out there? But you know yeah ..,we have the last 10 years of Stockholm syndrome and non-believability it’s super easy because of that. I can understand that If we change the indexes and that scaffolding starts to mutate, etc., no problem You know, frankly, I made the glib prediction back in early September that we would have an early loaded winter followed by a sputtering January and then a flowery February. Granted there’s a lot heuristics with that … no I think it might be difficult to hold onto this favorable look that deep into February. Much beyond the first week you guys are on your own.

Remember Ray’s maps from a few years ago with random arrows pointing here and there? His have gotten much better. Sam’s were always the best though. Saggy.

Is that a tooth over me or the Under Armour symbol

Crazy how Gefs and EuroAI snowfall is very similar thru 300hrs. Similar, but not good. Clearly, modeling is favoring as of now suppression and is unimpressed with anything else for us. The straw we can grasp for now is it's too far to be confident of anything.

Kid is good

Advisories expanded

Not terrible.

Lol it's better for me

he needs something to show success. Everything has been failed.

Pattern blows long range

At least this will be more than I got this morning

Great job kid, it'll make your dad proud.. Cool to share the same passion as your dad, my kids could care less about snow, but my son shares my passion for sports.

Yep, suffering down here

A look at anomalies and projections, plus an update on seasonal snowfall ... ____________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA __(anom 1-16) _____+2.0 _+3.1 _+2.8 ___ +6.7 _+6.8 _+8.3 __+10.2 _+4.8 _+2.7 __(p anom 1-31) ___-2.0 _-1.5 _-2.0 ___ -0.5 _+1.5 _+3.5 ___ +5.0 _ +4.0 _ +2.0 (17th) _ Extreme cold will dominate eastern and central regions in second half of January and will even cut into the large positive anomaly at DEN for a few days but will not reach PHX and will have less impact on the southeast. I could imagine even lower outcomes than shown in the east as these projections require an anomaly of about -6F now to 31st. Some days will average -15 to -20 anomalies. Snowfall reports below will be updated in this post whenever necessary. The end of Jan temp anomalies will be updated around the 24th and preliminary scoring will be posted after that update. ____________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ DTW _ BUF __ DEN _ SEA _ BTV snowfall to 1-17______1.6" __8.7" __5.4" __22.5"_ 24.7"_ 43.0"__ 7.9"_ 0.0" _ 36.3"

Tell me about it

Yeah that really moves my mojo

Glad you got something. We got nothing, again

Agreed Start an Observation Thread later tonight for Tomorrows event - this thread has gotten too long in the tooth so to say at 33 pages - back in the old days we would start new threads if they got too long

Also cut the precip in half. Getting accum snow was dependent on getting some actual rates to overcome the warmish air in the lower levels. Looks like very light snow now- probably will be snow tv after some rain.

Winter weather hates the midlands of SC with a passion known only by wives of drunken men.