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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The plains drought forcing the pattern is Eric’s theory as well. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
What's with this recent uptick of tropical systems going straight from Invest to Tropical Storm -
As always with CC it was warmer than normal cause of high dews causing overnight lows a degree or two warmer than normal. It did not "feel" like a warmer august in the slightest.
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I love that her name is Dolly. Get some heavy remnants into Pigeon Forge and I might have to change my spiritual beliefs.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Cyclone-68 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Unbelievable….. -
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Winter Wizard replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not sure what, if any implications, this will have going forward or exactly what the root cause is but it's pretty clear August 2026 behaved much differently than other Super Nino cases (1982, 1997, 2015) and was essentially a hotter version of 2023. I don't think there was anyone in the industry who predicted anything close to a recor Right away, you could probably attribute it, at least in part, to much higher national drought coverage than we've seen in other Nino cases since 2000. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
soadforecasterx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ended up with 1.11" with that storm that rolled through. -
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
NW CT and Berks. Yawn. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Nice mid-level meso on that cell headed towards Fairfield County. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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I've said that one way to cheat our way into a good winter is to get something like Dec 1997 pattern (pretty close to normal temps that month) but instead of Feb 1998, we get a more classic Nino Feb.
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The aren't, they are calling for post-tropical aka open wave
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Always appreciate your input-thanks! -
August was near normal here. Seems like this guy lives in the Plains and west.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
This is a good thing...allowing more breaks of sun and stronger instability to build. There is a subtle pre-frontal trough back across eastern PA to west of the Hudson. This should slide east during the day and that's when we'll see storms develop across the Hudson and western MA/CT...at least this is what I ws envisioning yesterday occurring but guidance does show this eastward shift. I still think it will be an active day for western sections -
There's a 14" value somewhere in there. Gonna miss the crazy NAM.
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Total here for August: 8.12" including .28" that fell earlier this morning.
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Interesting they are calling for it to go subtropical as it approaches the lesser Antilles. Not sure that I've ever seen a subtropical sorry that far south
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Picked up .28" here in two rounds of fast moving T-Showers. Lots of thunder. Wow, school starting early. I can never remember going back until Tuesday or Wednesday after Labor Day. Driving around yesterday I saw some trees starting to show some color, not brown but reddish orange in spots. Fall is coming.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
had a quick shower here but everything's hitting a brick wall around the CT/NY border
