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4.59 inches here.

Had to drain the pool twice today ,,,just did it again after I walked the dog,,,,and still raining here in New City

Apparently there are water rescue calls starting to appear in Manassas.

At 4.59 inches now in Highland Mills. Hopefully most of this hit the reservoirs.

If anyone finds discrepancies in the numbers please let me know. For the deductions for June I picked 7 stations to knock down 1 point and 6 stations for RJay.

.37 today

Just west of there, but yeah. Hit 3 inches a few minutes ago and have had house shaking thunder for the better part of an hour. I haven't seen anything like this in a LONG time.

Im honestly debating on the late entries for this month (July) as it stands these are the forecasts and the what coinciding late entry percentages look like. Ill maul it over and if see if anyone else wants to chime in about it. Ill see if I can also do a quick update for max temps and where they stand thus far in a week or so.

Damn 5.47” for Shabbs

yeah anyone near Manassas looks like they are getting hammered.

Finally some rain. Yay.

Ok sorry for the delay got back on the 4th and was bombarded by storms, lost power and internet. Then yesterday we had flash flooding still no power, hope it comes back tomorrow. We had very little movement in numbers. We had a few late entries and they are marked with * 1% for those affected most were 7 points off RJAY ended up only 6 points off the original total so not much of a difference. I included a consensus number to both GaWx and Stormchaserchuck for the months they were missing to get an idea if they had played through where they would stand in the far right column.

Have had several periods of that soaking type rain that feels tropical in nature throughout the day. Up to 1.5" now. Far below some other areas, but you can already see the life coming back to the vegetation and grass. This type of event is better for doing that than those brief torrential downpours from a cell.

I am right under the western side of that cell. We have gotten about 2 in in under and hour and it is still coming down.

When they took that more S-N jog is when they really intensified. We have been getting much needed rain imby. Cold front sweeping though tonight might help with a bit more. .

At a time when most storms are ramping down, the cell near Manassas exploded, seemingly aided by a cell merger. Major downburst signal.

Chuck you must charge a ton to go to parties.

Received a whopping .06" from all the activity yesterday, followed by another .07" today. T&L all around but only a few occasional drops here. Congrats to all of those who are cashing in on the totals...

FINALLY getting some rain out here near Gainesville. First time it has been more than a few token drops all weekend. Got 1 in and it is still falling hard.

You can see on the maps four major differences to now if it isn't clear: 1) In 2023, you had hot water east of Mexico, cold water west of Mexico. That implied high pressure off the West Coast, and low pressure of the east coast. Absolute worst possible case for monsoon development. Followed the hottest June on record in Mexico, and coincided with the hottest July (and month) ever locally. in 2026, the warm water west of Mexico implies low pressure and the colder Gulf implies high pressure - nearly ideal pattern for moisture. Monsoon has been quite strong in Mexico since May and should pick up locally here too in the next week. 2) NE/SE Atlantic are night and day different - much colder now than 2023. 3) Coldest waters are relatively in the Atlantic now. Not the Pacific. 4) The SE Pacific (SW of South America) is much warmer, consistent maybe with steady weakening of the -PDO, just as the -PDO seems to be weakening somewhat in the NE Pacific. Still present though for both spots.

Awesome shot Jeremy. Wow!!! With this last bit of rain in the last 30 minutes or so, we are almost to half an inch here. I'll gladly take it, though we are on the lower end of rainfall totals in the area. Let it keep rainin'

Looking toward North Hills:

I'd make a hefty wager someone files a lawsuit and I'd wager if they do a settlement is reached. Emotional trauma or something along those lines.

Moderate to heavy rainfall here in Lucketts started up around 10:35.

Nobody was hurt so they’ll be fine.