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  2. I was spoiled in ORH for that 12 month period....had back to back nor' easters Dec 6-7, 1996 totaling 26", then 33.0" in the April .97 storm and then 18" in the Dec '97 positive bust. That was the end of the luck for a while though....brutal next 3 years until 2000-2001
  3. Scooter says we have to wait until December 2027 for our next real winter threat.
  4. Brockton or GHG at the time? Yah, but you just had the Bliz of 97 9 months earlier! "I want everything IMBY no matter what!!!" LOL.
  5. It’s not even a bad pattern either, we’re just back to having a few things not go quite as we want it.
  6. Kicked the can to 3/23-24 now....
  7. What happened to the March 17th "event"?
  8. skating outdoors on the first nice day of the year is peak existence
  9. March has been difficult to get much in the snow dept since 2020
  10. Yeah I guess it really is over. Crazy how it just abruptly ended. Kind of a hard stop
  11. A Super Nino would almost certainly suck....but I'll roll the dice any day with a mod/strong Nino as long as it's not east based.
  12. there's still a good spread, but a majority are a quality hit along/north of the border currently.
  13. summer is coming for you. you can run and you can hide. might as well throw on shorts and flip flops and enjoy, like a normal person would.
  14. I think I'm going for an initial target of Galesburg, IL. Multiple models seem to be maximizing the parameters there near 0Z Wednesday, and some initiate discrete convection. In addition, just anecdotally there seems to be something about the west side of the Illinois River valley from Beardstown on up to Peoria; multiple notable tornado events have occurred there in recent years.
  15. Crude front month plunged 10 cents in just 25 minutes a little while ago! I wonder what happened. It’s now down 5 on the day to 86, which is an amazing $33 lower than its 119 peak just 17-18 hours ago! This is an historic day for crude oil in terms of volatility. Edit: Now I know why. I just read that Trump says the war “could”end soon. But he could say the opposite tomorrow and it go right back up. After all he only days ago said it could easily go longer than a month. It must be a nightmare to trade this and stocks due to whiplash! But that also provides opportunities if timed right due to luck. Is this a cousin to the TACO trade?
  16. Looks like we could see some lows in the mid to upper 20's here in the NC piedmont next week. That will at least temporarily unalive some of these early insect hatchers.
  17. I haven't really followed the Winter 26/27 talk, but are we talking about a Super Nino? So we'll get a more active subtropical jet with more storm chances, with above normal temps. Kinda roll the dice with the storm tracks and lack of artic outbreaks..but could be worse I think. Eh, I'm think i'm mixing that up with Strong El Nino..in which case we might be fooked
  18. The PNA index could fit an even in there and it wouldn't be an egregious correlation ... However, given to the time of year and the tenor of the guidance combined, those factors lean me to thinking it's more a period with active cold fronts - each imparting testicle squeezes to spring/warm enthusiasts ... while simultaneously not doing jack shit for winter/cold holdouts - who probably would smugly take that as a win because their petty but that's something else. LOL
  19. The next week only gets us to Monday the 16th..it was that day and beyond when it starts to look decent. But we’ll see. You on the cape…I get that. Temp went up as I drove…73 degrees..just wow.
  20. I'd safely say we can punt the next week for any meaningful snow in SNE. If it's not going to snow, just give me warmth
  21. I have a little bit on a shady north facing slope and piles of course but even those are going fast. It was weird driving to work this morning without any snow banks aloong the roads, its been a while.
  22. he said the trough not the colder than normal cold air supply in Canada which will be tapped into epecially from back door fronts down here polar vortex is being shoved south by the strat warming event through at least March could be 75 in DC and in the 40's up here down the road
  23. And... poof. Snow's all gone. I'm good with spring now.
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