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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Yeah, over 24 hours of snow for most of NC. -
To give an idea to those not watching the models. 20 in charlotte NC, 10 or so in richmond. Basically a whiff north of DC.
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
Mikeymac5306 replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
The Baja ball is held back keeping it suppressed. Yikes. -
Colder aloft too, r/s line went south
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Well we all blew through page 22 quickly!
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So far, doesn't look like the GGEM is smoking that GFS crack rock
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It's going to end up decent for most, but nothing in the ball pack of what the potential is for this event.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That’s a deflating run… limp -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
Stormlover74 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
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GFS *forgot to hit TN...let me fix that"
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Mess flow. Srn stream dragging but the flow int the plains won’t allow it to pump up heights out east. Hell of an ice storm Deep South with only a narrow area of snow. -
6z AI GFS was lowkey a disaster, but I held my tongue. Just gotta hope the GFS is lost (as usual)
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It's just weird to me. Because the Euro used to be the model that liked to hold back energy. It is becoming even harder to understand model trends since the upgrades.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
weatherpruf replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
brain fog. -
My goodness. Still snowing at hr 126
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SnowHabit started following January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage and January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
Brian5671 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
some things never change -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Rd9108 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Lol gfs is terrible but concerning off course. Come on Canadian! -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
NC might stay all snow this time except for the SE part of the state. -
I could absolutely see this being a delayed, but not denied storm where we end up cashing in on the 2nd half when the southern stream wave enters the gulf. Pd2 was kind of a two parter as well with a very minor event that Friday evening before the big show Sunday morning.
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Don't think its any surprise AI GFS would be similar to GFS since its based off the same initial model conditions
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Only caveat to watch with the GFS is that it notoriously struggles with Baja low interactions.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
NJwx85 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
There’s no phasing and it all gets squashed south. If that Southern piece doesn’t eject in time we’re finished. -
Rare to see the wedge so far SW and W of where I am in most winter set ups. Im almost on top of KFFC, Peachtree city, GA. Normally we are usually right on the line but not with this one on most models.
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Much more elongated look as the Baja drags behind
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It's trash after that...no follow up...getting suppressed
