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  2. .67 here Should have mowed the lawn three days ago. I guess been lucky this week and back in July with these NW flow events. A few miles overall made a huge difference with monthly rainfall totals.
  3. Is there any chance that Edouard could be retired due to heavy rains like Allison?
  4. 50 mph gust at Frederick house but just 20 in kemp mill and 0.15” rain
  5. I'll be at a half inch in a few minutes.
  6. Constant thunder for 30 minutes as a train of storms skirts me one 1 mile to the north. Full sun, 25F hotter than 1 mile away. And lots of wind bringing down drought-stressed leaves everywhere.
  7. Not sure we’re gonna crack 100 today, haven’t been able to get above 98 and clouds have moved in. Sauna out regardless
  8. To add to the above, here are Nino 3 and Nino 4 (note that these aren’t relative, but that’s ok since my point is to show the slopes): Nino 3: still a slow rise through Aug instead of nearly flat like 3.4: Nino 4: had been falling through Aug 17th though a bumpy net slow rise since:
  9. I work in Pearl River. Saw the radar and left early to avoid that. Crazy fail
  10. it's going to survive into here as well...just what we don't need
  11. Really heavy! ...and my idiot town hwy department just pulled in with truckloads of steaming asphalt and a paver to start the resurfacing project.
  12. Yeah pretty much a non-event (but got some rain) here in Colesville. I'm not super enthused about tomorrow as well.
  13. Just hit windy for like 2 minutes at the office. Then the power went out. Back on now as rain begins in Alexandria.
  14. Incredible 1 hr hrrr fail here. Heavy rain. Again. Yay.
  15. .15" yesterday, hours of crap drizzle/mist today. Storms splitting here now to the N and S
  16. toss. the euro is horrid in handling these patterns and those complexes rarely occur.
  17. these ssw movers are usually nice time 2 lock in
  18. The new relative OISST (not ERSST) has just been released and the change from July jibes well for Nino 3.4 with the slope of the graphs we’ve been following (though as I’ve also been saying the weeklies/last 2 months are notably cooler than what the cyclonicwx graphs have been suggesting). 2026 7 2.84 1.73 0.34 1.38 2026 8 3.35 2.52 0.11 1.78 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/rel_mthsst9120.txt This 1.78 is a new record high (back to 1981) for August Nino 3.4 as it barely beats the 1.74 of 1997. Here are the warmest Augusts since 1981: 2026 1.78 1997 1.74 2015 1.30 1987 1.24 1982 1.19 1991 0.82 2002 0.80 1994 0.72 2004 0.71 2023 0.63 Note that Nino 3 rose twice as much and Nino 4 fell 0.23! Also, Nino 1+2 rose the 2nd most at 0.51. All of this indicates that this Nino has been becoming increasingly E based and that the W portion of Nino 3.4 is what is holding it back vs what model projections had been. Also, note that Nino 3.4 rose only 0.4C from the July avg to the Aug avg. I say “only” because several models were suggesting (as I’ve posted about several times) a record rapid rise for 3.4 of ~1C. It remains to be seen what the rise was per ERSST, but it’s clear that August didn’t warm nearly as much in 3.4 as model consensus had suggested, which has caused some at least near-term cooling of progs in some models’ recent runs. Here’s the latest OISST relative 3.4 chart through Sept 1st: STILL no sign of resumption of warming with it practically flat the last 31 days! The CDAS (not relative) agrees with the continuing flatness:
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