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  2. Yeah, over 24 hours of snow for most of NC.
  3. To give an idea to those not watching the models. 20 in charlotte NC, 10 or so in richmond. Basically a whiff north of DC.
  4. The Baja ball is held back keeping it suppressed. Yikes.
  5. Well we all blew through page 22 quickly!
  6. So far, doesn't look like the GGEM is smoking that GFS crack rock
  7. It's going to end up decent for most, but nothing in the ball pack of what the potential is for this event.
  8. GFS *forgot to hit TN...let me fix that"
  9. Mess flow. Srn stream dragging but the flow int the plains won’t allow it to pump up heights out east. Hell of an ice storm Deep South with only a narrow area of snow.
  10. 6z AI GFS was lowkey a disaster, but I held my tongue. Just gotta hope the GFS is lost (as usual)
  11. It's just weird to me. Because the Euro used to be the model that liked to hold back energy. It is becoming even harder to understand model trends since the upgrades.
  12. Lol gfs is terrible but concerning off course. Come on Canadian!
  13. NC might stay all snow this time except for the SE part of the state.
  14. I could absolutely see this being a delayed, but not denied storm where we end up cashing in on the 2nd half when the southern stream wave enters the gulf. Pd2 was kind of a two parter as well with a very minor event that Friday evening before the big show Sunday morning.
  15. Don't think its any surprise AI GFS would be similar to GFS since its based off the same initial model conditions
  16. Only caveat to watch with the GFS is that it notoriously struggles with Baja low interactions.
  17. There’s no phasing and it all gets squashed south. If that Southern piece doesn’t eject in time we’re finished.
  18. Rare to see the wedge so far SW and W of where I am in most winter set ups. Im almost on top of KFFC, Peachtree city, GA. Normally we are usually right on the line but not with this one on most models.
  19. Much more elongated look as the Baja drags behind
  20. It's trash after that...no follow up...getting suppressed
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