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I saw on a show a long time ago that the huge natural aquifer out in the Plains is being quickly depleted by all of the crop irrigation taking place. So water issues may arise out there someday if that's true.
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Don’t forget urine evaporating off the pavement.
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I have said it before, but I will be STUNNED if we pull do go on to have a bonafide El Niño AND the -PDO persists....I just don't see that happening. It will be interesting to dive into which El Niño seasons were very mild across the east in the absence of a -PDO and Uber-strong intensity. I think it may be a relatively short list of awful winter seasons with a RONI below 2.0 and +PDO. -
Summed up perfectly.
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Just think about those long DD lines in the cruiser in July. Surrounded by concrete and dews near 75°. The smell of pigeon droppings and rotting rats in the sewer baking in the mid afternoon sun. The sky full of exhaust and haze.
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Hopefully the prefrontal precip shown on some of the models for Tue morning pans out, as it looks like the late day convection will be another miss southeast. Luckily a nice wet system looks to be on the way for Thursday.
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I agree concerning the pattern of stagnating patterns....I've noticed that, as well. Obviously if the data continues to support it, that's one thing, but at this early juncture I reman skeptical of an uber El Niño in such rapid succession with 2015-2016 and 2023-2024. If this winter is a mild, it's going to have to be due to the warm ENSO overwhelming because I just can not envision reverting to the cold west/warm east configuration of the 2020s with he tropical Pacific moving the direction that it is. -
34 CPK and LGA 13 KFOK Pretty epic UHI .
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LongBeachSurfFreak started following March 2026
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34 CPK and LGA 13 KFOK Pretty epic UHI .
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The Great Lakes are the place to be when everything else goes to shit. At least we have fresh water.
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let's see that map with the heat wave included
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Easter egg hunt with some drizzle and temps in upper 30s . sounds beautiful
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Great March. Little to no snow and wasn't cold, lfg!
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Looks like shite after Wed
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not triggered at all....just having fun. -
2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I love how it triggers you. It’s honestly hilarious -
Been nice but a little chilly the last couple days. Snow melt has slowed some. Those bigger drifts are taking time to disappear, and the usual snow piles. Point looking chilly
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ah.....it's the time of year when @snowman19begins scanning the globe ....he's finally come upon hieroglyphics scribbled on a pyramid that when translated, offers conclusive evidence that El Nino will in fact be east-based, and winter is doomed. Love the dude's passion.....he's very eclectic and cultured in the he finds a way to ram it up the keister of winter enthusiasts in 17 different languages between spring and fall. -
2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
it was mid-loaded with regard to snowfall here. I agree about needing one more major storm to be considered a great season...I said the same, exact thing. -
March 29 1986: Record warmth occurs with July-like temperatures. A monthly record high of 83 occurs at the Twin Cities. For Sunday, March 29, 2026 1886 - Atlanta, GA, was drenched with a record 7.36 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The Weather Channel) 1920 - Clear Spring, MD, received 31 inches of snow in 24 hours to establish a state record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1921 - The temperature in Washington D.C. dropped from 82 degrees to 26 degrees thus ending an early spring. (David Ludlum) 1935 - A severe dust storm blanketed Amarillo, TX, for 84 hours. During one six hour period the visibility was near zero. (28th-31st) (The Weather Channel) 1945 - Providence, RI, hit 90 degrees to establish a March record for the New England area. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned tornadoes in Mississippi, and produced high winds and heavy rain in Louisiana. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 92 mph at Houma LA, and caused a million dollars damage in Terrebonne Parish. Avondale LA was deluged with 4.52 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in the Lower Mississippi Valley spawned a tornado which injured two persons at Bunkie LA, and produced high winds which down a large tree onto a trailer at Bastrop LA claiming the life of one child and injuring another. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced torrential rains in northeastern Texas and southwestern Arkansas. Longview TX reported 14.16 inches of rain. More than eleven inches of rain at Henderson TX caused a dam to give way, and people left stranded in trees had to be rescued by boat. Total damage in northeastern Texas was estimated at 10 to 16 million dollars. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather in southeastern Texas and southern Louisiana. Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes, including one which injured seven persons at Gray LA. Thunderstorms also produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 70 mph at Port O'Conner TX, and produced up to six inches of rain in Beauregard Parish LA. (Storm Data) 2007 - Eighteen year old Corey Williams is killed by a lightning bolt in Carbondale, IL, at the Community High School's first home track meet of the season. 2011 - A record 766 inches of snowfall at Boreal Ski Resort and nearly 59 feet at Squaw Valley in California's Sierra Nevada's are just two areas where snowfall records have been broke.
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Followup: Look how far-off the quoted 3/18 MJO progs are verifying! They had it in phase 7 3/24-29 headed to phase 8 vs the reality of them then already being in phase 8 headed toward phase 1: @EastonSN+
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Good contrast setting up between the SW, US and Alaska this Winter. A little more than typical index-based correlations. I wonder if such a thing will flux the PNA in future years. - Today
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Gotta be a top 3 or 4 worst March Warm when we wanted it cold. Cold when we wanted it warm. And mostly snowless
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This record cold March at Fairbanks is even more amazing when you consider how much above normal it was in the Arctic (80+N) in March: You can see evidence of this stark contrast of cold anomalies to the warm anomalies to the north in the Arctic as well as to the south in the lower 48 on this for March 1-17:
